Climate Change Will Cause a Pollination Crisis in the Mediterranean Basin

Öz

In the study, habitat suitability simulations of Apis mellifera species, which have great service in pollinating many natural and cultural plants, were made according to climate change scenarios that may occur in the Mediterranean Basin. The most striking result among the results obtained is that, for the pessimistic scenario, it shows that the Mediterranean Basin will face drought at the end of the century and A.mellifera, a pollinator insect species, will move away from the seacoast and seek suitable climatic conditions inland due to this drought. If this scenario is realized, it is predicted that coastal areas will be affected by the pollination crisis in Mediterranean countries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Pollination crisis
• Climate change
• Apis
• Mediterranean Basin.

Kaynakça

1. Abdulnabi M.M.H. (2019) Comparison of Apis mellifera anatolica and Eristalis tenax as Pollinators. Kastamonu University Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences.
2. Baldwin, R.A. (2009). Use of maximum entropy modeling in wildlife research. Entropy, 11(4), 854-866.
3. Cho, K. H., Lee, S. H. (2015). Prediction of changes in the potential distribution of a waterfront alien plant, Paspalum distichum var. indutum, under climate change in the Korean Peninsula. Ecology and resilient infrastructure, 2(3), 206-215.
4. Grünewald, B. (2010). Is pollination at risk? Current threats to and conservation of bees. GAIA-Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society, 19(1), 61-67.
5. Kass JM, Vilela B, Aiello‐Lammens ME, Muscarella R, Merow C, Anderson RP. (2018). Wallace: A flexible platform for reproducible modeling of species niches and distributions built for community expansion. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9:1151–1156.
6. Kass JM, Pinilla-Buitrago GE, Paz A, Johnson BA, Grisales-Betancur V, Meenan SI, Attali D, Broennimann O, Galante PJ, Maitner BS, Owens HL, Varela S, Aiello-Lammens ME, Merow C, Blair ME, Anderson RP. (2022). wallace 2: a shiny app for modeling species niches and distributions redesigned to facilitate expansion via module contributions. Ecography, e06547.
7. Kluser, S., Neumann, P., Chauzat, M. P., Pettis, J. S., Peduzzi, P., Witt, R., ... & Theuri, M. (2010). Global honey bee colony disorders and other threats to insect pollinators.
8. Le Conte, Y., Navajas, M. (2008). Climate change: impact on honey bee populations and diseases. Revue Scientifique et Technique-Office International des Epizooties, 27(2), 499-510.

9. Özbek H. (2008). Insects Visiting Temperate Region Furit Trees in Turkey. U. Bee J. 8(3): 92-103.
10. Phillips, S. J., Anderson, R. P., Dudík, M., Schapire, R. E., Blair, M. E. (2017). Opening the black box: An open‐source release of Maxent. Ecography, 40(7), 887-893.
11. Phillips, S.J.; Anderson, R.P., Schapire, R.E. (2006). Maximum entropy modelling of species, geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling, 190(3-4), 231-259. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.03.026
12. Sıralı, R., Deveci, M. (2002). Investigation of Plants Important for Honeybee (Apis mellifera L.) in Thrace Region. Uludag Journal of Beekeeping, 2(1), 17-26.
13. Tirado, R., Simon, G., Johnston, P. (2013). Bees in decline: A review of factors that put pollinators and agriculture in Europe at risk. Greenpeace Research Laboratories Technical Report (Review), 1(2013), 1-48.