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Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis

Cilt: 4 Sayı: 1 31 Ocak 2022
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Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis

Öz

Making reliable forecasts is very important for financial analysis. For this reason, financial analysts make analyzes using different models. Financial analysts try to make the most accurate estimation in these analyzes. The artificial neural network model is a widely used method in the field of finance. In this study, BIST 100 index was estimated using artificial neural networks and regression model. By using the closing prices of the BIST 100 index between 2010 and 2020, the closing values of the BIST 100 index for 2021 were estimated. Moreover, the regression model and artificial neural network model predictions were obtained. The mean square error of the neural networks and regression model was also found. Finally, according to the result of the mean of error squares, the performance of the models was compared and seen that the artificial neural network model was better.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Artificial Neural Network, Regression, BIST 100, Forecasts

Kaynakça

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Kaynak Göster

APA
Ünvan, Y. A., & Ergenç, C. (2022). Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies, 4(1), 20-32. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1039669
AMA
1.Ünvan YA, Ergenç C. Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis. BILTURK. 2022;4(1):20-32. doi:10.47103/bilturk.1039669
Chicago
Ünvan, Yüksel Akay, ve Cansu Ergenç. 2022. “Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis”. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies 4 (1): 20-32. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1039669.
EndNote
Ünvan YA, Ergenç C (01 Ocak 2022) Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies 4 1 20–32.
IEEE
[1]Y. A. Ünvan ve C. Ergenç, “Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis”, BILTURK, c. 4, sy 1, ss. 20–32, Oca. 2022, doi: 10.47103/bilturk.1039669.
ISNAD
Ünvan, Yüksel Akay - Ergenç, Cansu. “Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis”. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies 4/1 (01 Ocak 2022): 20-32. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1039669.
JAMA
1.Ünvan YA, Ergenç C. Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis. BILTURK. 2022;4:20–32.
MLA
Ünvan, Yüksel Akay, ve Cansu Ergenç. “Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis”. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies, c. 4, sy 1, Ocak 2022, ss. 20-32, doi:10.47103/bilturk.1039669.
Vancouver
1.Yüksel Akay Ünvan, Cansu Ergenç. Forecasting BIST 100 Index with Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis. BILTURK. 01 Ocak 2022;4(1):20-32. doi:10.47103/bilturk.1039669