COVID – 19 Pandemisi ve Azerbaycan Ekonomisi: Zor Zamanlarda Politika Dersleri

Öz

Petrol fiyatlarındaki ve arzındaki herhangi bir dalgalanma Azerbaycan ekonomisini doğrudan etkilemektedir. Hükümet, enerji gelirlerini kullanarak ekonomisini çeşitlendirmek ve petrol dışı sektörleri geliştirmek için çeşitli devlet programlarının uygulanmasına başlamıştır. COVID-19, petrol fiyatlarının zaten düşük olduğu bir dönemde patlak vermiştir. İkinci Karabağ Savaşı, pandeminin etkilerini daha karmaşık hale getirmiştir. Sağlık, askeri ve ekonomik sorunlarla karşı karşıya kalan Azerbaycan, üç farklı cephede savaşmıştır. Bu çalışma, pandeminin Azerbaycan ekonomisi üzerindeki etkilerini değerlendirmekte; onun yakın gelecekte petrol ve gaz endüstrisini olumsuz etkileyeceğini; uzun vadede ise devleti, Devlet Petrol Fonu’nun gelirlerinden yararlanarak ekonomiyi yeniden yapılandırmaya ve dönüştürmeye, petrol dışı sektörlerin payını artırmaya ve yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarına daha fazla alan açmaya zorlayacağını öne sürmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Azerbaijan
• COVID-19
• Karabağ Savaşı
• Petrol Sanayisi

COVID-19 Pandemic and Azerbaijan’s Economy: Policy Lessons In Hard Times

Öz

Any fluctuation in oil prices and supply has a direct effect on Azerbaijan’s economy. The government has started the implementation of several state programs to diversify its economy and to develop the non-oil sectors, using energy revenues. COVID-19 has broken out in such a period that the oil prices were already low. The Second Karabakh War has complicated impacts of the pandemic. Facing health, military and economic problems, Azerbaijan has fought on three different fronts. This study evaluates the effects of the pandemic on Azerbaijan’s economy, suggesting that it will affect the oil and gas industry negatively in near future. It is argued that in a long term, the state will be pushed to restructure and transform the economy, to increase the share of the non-oil sectors and to open more space for renewable energy sources, taking advantage of the incomes of The State Oil Fund.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Azerbaijan
• COVID
• Karabakh War
• Oil Industry

Kaynakça

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