Exploring Predictors of Team Performance in Curling Championships: An Investigation of Factors Predicting Success

Yıl 2023, , 845 - 853, 31.12.2023

Süleyman Erim Erhan , Fatih Ağduman , Deniz Bedir

https://doi.org/10.33459/cbubesbd.1307573

Öz

Curling is one of the most popular sports of the Olympic Winter Games. As strategy is very important for curling, it is called “chess on the ice”. Given the exponential surge in sports-related data, the analysis of game performance has assumed paramount importance, as it provides a valuable avenue for improving overall athletic performance. The aim of this research was to examine the effect of some parameters on championship performance of elite level curling teams. The data used in this study were taken from the World Curling Federation Historical Results database. World Mens/Womens Curling Championships (2021 – 2022 – 2023) and European Mens/Womens Curling Championships results (2019 – 2021 – 2022) included in the study. A multiple linear regression analysis was conducted to determine the extent to which the independent variables, namely Draw Shot Challenge distance, shot performance, stolen points for, stolen points against, hammer efficiency, force efficiency, and difference of generated and given points, explained team success. Statistical Package for Social Sciences 24.0 software used for statistical analyses. The results revealed an R-value of 0.902 and an adjusted R-squared value of 0.804. In the study investigating the factors influencing team success in World and European Curling Championships, it was concluded that the difference of points generated and given points, Draw Shot Challenge distance, and hammer use efficiency predicts championship success.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Chess on the ice, Strategy, Game analysis

Curling Şampiyonalarında Takım Performansı Yordayıcılarının Araştırılması: Başarıyı Yordayan Faktörlerin İncelenmesi

Öz

Curling, Kış Olimpiyat Oyunları'nın en çok izlenen branşlarından biridir. Stratejinin curling için büyük öneme sahip olması nedeniyle curling "buz üzerinde satranç" olarak adlandırılmaktadır. Günümüzde sporla ilgili verilerin hızla artmasıyla birlikte, oyun performansının analizi genel spor performansını iyileştirmek için son derece önemli bir yol sağlamaktadır. Bu araştırmanın amacı, elit seviyedeki curling takımlarının şampiyona performansını etkileyen bazı parametrelerin incelenmesidir. Araştırmada kullanılan veriler, Dünya Curling Federasyonu şampiyona sonuçları veritabanından alınmıştır. Çalışmaya dahil edilen veriler, Dünya Erkek/Kadın Curling Şampiyonası (2021 - 2022 - 2023) ve Avrupa Erkek/Kadın Curling Şampiyonası sonuçlarını (2019 - 2021 - 2022) içermektedir. Çoklu doğrusal regresyon analizi, Draw Shot Challenge mesafesi, atış performansı, çalınan puanlar, çaldırılan puanlar, çekiç hakkı kullanım verimliliği, rakibi bir sayı almaya zorlama durumu ve şampiyonada alınan – verilen edilen puanların farkı gibi bağımsız değişkenlerin takım başarısını ne ölçüde açıkladığını belirlemek için yapılmıştır. İstatistiksel analizler için SPSS 24.0 yazılımı kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar, R değeri 0.902 ve düzeltilmiş R-kare değeri 0.804 elde edilmiştir. Dünya ve Avrupa Curling Şampiyonalarında takım başarısını etkileyen faktörleri inceleyen bu çalışmada, alınan – verilen puan farkı, draw shot challenge mesafesi ve çekiç hakkı kullanım verimliliğinin şampiyona başarısını yordadığı sonucuna varılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Buz üzerinde satranç, Strateji, Maç analizi

Kaynakça

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