Ekonomik Büyüme, Yenilenebilir Enerji, İşsizlik ve Finansal Gelişmişlik Değişkenlerinin Yük Kapasitesi Faktörü Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye İçin Yapısal Eşitlik Modeli Analizi

Öz

Bu araştırmanın amacı Türkiye'de ekonomik büyüme, yenilenebilir enerji, kentleşme ve finansal gelişmişlik değişkenlerinin yük kapasitesi faktörü (LCF) üzerindeki etkilerini incelemektedir. Çalışmanın uygulama kısmında, 1990-2020 dönemine ait yıllık verilerden yararlanılmıştır. Araştırma kapsamında toplanan veriler yapısal eşitlik modeli ile çoklu bağımsız değişkenlerin hem doğrudan hem de dolaylı etkileri analiz ederek karmaşık ilişkileri inceleme olanağı sunan istatistiksel yöntemle analizi yapılmıştır. Araştırma sonuçlarına göre, ekonomik büyüme ile LCF arasında negatif bir ilişki olduğu bulunmuştur. Özellikle hızlı ekonomik büyüme, kaynak tüketimini artırarak çevresel baskıyı yükseltmektedir. Buna karşılık, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımı ile LCF arasında pozitif bir ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Bu durum, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımının çevresel sürdürülebilirliğe katkıda bulunarak yük kapasitesini artırabileceğini ortaya koymaktadır. İşsizlik oranı değişkeninin de LCF üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisi olduğu belirlenmiştir. Finansal gelişmişlik değişkeninin ise LCF üzerindeki etkisi incelendiğinde, finansal gelişimin çevresel sürdürülebilirlik açısından karmaşık bir etki yarattığı görülmüştür. Türkiye’de çevresel sürdürülebilirlik ve yük kapasitesi üzerindeki makroekonomik belirleyicileri analiz ederek çalışma literatürdeki boşluğu doldurmayı hedeflemektedir. Bu nedenle, çalışma yapısal bir denklem modeli aracılığıyla, ekonomik büyüme, yenilenebilir enerji, kentleşme ve finansal gelişmişlik değişkenlerinin yük kapasitesi faktörü üzerindeki etkilerini belirlemektir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ekonomik büyüme
• Yenilenebilir enerji
• İşsizlik
• Yük kapasite faktörü
• Yapısal eşitlik modeli

THE EFFECTS OF ECONOMİC GROWTH, RENEWABLE ENERGY, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND FİNANCİAL DEVELOPMENT VARİABLES ON THE LOAD CAPACİTY FACTOR: A STRUCTURAL EQUATİON MODEL ANALYSİS FOR TURKEY

Öz

This study aims to examine the effects of economic growth, renewable energy, urbanization and financial development variables on the load capacity factor (LCF) in Turkey. In the application section of the study, annual data covering the period from 1990 to 2020 was utilized. The data collected within the scope of the research were analyzed by structural equation modelling, a statistical method that allows the analysis of complex relationships by analyzing both the direct and indirect effects of multiple independent variables. According to the research results, there is a negative relationship between economic growth and LCF. Rapid economic growth, in particular, increases resource consumption and increases environmental pressure. On the other hand, a positive relationship was found between renewable energy use and LCF. This suggests that the use of renewable energy can increase load capacity while contributing to environmental sustainability. The unemployment rate variable is also found to have a significant effect on LCF. When the effect of the financial development variable on LCF is analyzed, it is seen that financial development has a complex effect on environmental sustainability. The study aims to fill the gap in the literature by analyzing the macroeconomic determinants of environmental sustainability and load capacity in Turkey. Therefore, the study aims to determine the effects of economic growth, renewable energy, urbanization and financial development variables on the load capacity factor through a structural equation model.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Economic Growth
• Renewable Energy
• Unemployment
• Load Capacity Factor
• Structural Equation Modeling

Kaynakça

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