Türkiye’de Otomobil Talebinin Rasyonel ve İrrasyonel Dinamikleri

Öz

Ulaşım ve taşıma ihtiyaçlarını karşılamak için icat edilen otomobil zaman içerisinde satış sayılarını artırmış ve günlük hayatın vazgeçilmezlerinden olmuştur; ancak çeşitli etkenler nedeniyle otomobil talebi dönemler boyunca dalgalı bir seyir izlemiştir. Bu çalışma Türkiye’deki otomobil talebini etkileyen rasyonel ve irrasyonel dinamikleri tartışmayı, rasyonel dinamik olarak kabul edilen makroekonomik değişkenlerin otomobil talebi üzerindeki etkisini ARDL yaklaşımıyla analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Elde edilen bulgular Türkiye'de otomobil talebini etkileyen en önemli değişkenlerin, işsizlik, otomobil fiyatları ve enflasyon olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• otomobil talebi
• işsizlik
• döviz kuru

Rational and Irrational Dynamics of Automobile Demand in Turkey

Öz

The automobile, which was invented for the purpose of carrying passengers and freight, with the increase in sales, it has become an indispensable part of daily life. However, due to various factors, automobile demand fluctuated throughout the periods. This study discusses rational and irrational dynamics affecting the demand for automobiles in Turkey and it aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on automobile demand by using ARDL approach. The findings show that the most important variables affecting the demand for automobiles in Turkey are unemployment, car prices and in short term is inflation.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• automibile demand
• unemployment
• exchange rate

Kaynakça

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