Araştırma Makalesi

Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey

Cilt: 10 Sayı: 1 30 Haziran 2020
PDF İndir

Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey

Öz

By the previous studies, exchange rate fluctuations have been considered to be an important factor affecting the real sector of economies as economies have become more open. Most of the studies focused on its trade impact, however, through different channels, exchange rate movements can also influence the unemployment. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rate and its volatility on unemployment for Turkey over the period from 2005 to 2019 by using quarterly data. As a solution for possible endogeneity problem, VAR analysis was performed. Results show that although exchange rate fluctuations do not affect the unemployment, exchange rate volatility significantly increases unemployment. Moreover, positive output shocks contribute statistically significantly to the reduction of unemployment in line with Okun’s Law. In conclusion, different policy measures should be employed to reduce the exchange rate volatility or its effect on unemployment or both.  

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Andersen, T.M., & Sørensen, J. R. (1988). Exchange rate variability and wage formation in open economies. Economics Letters, 28, 263–268.
  2. Aghion, P., Bacchetta, P., Rancière, R., & Rogoff, K. (2009). Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 56, 494–513.
  3. Akıncı, Ö., Özer, Y. B., & Usta, B. (2005). Dolarizasyon Endeksleri: Türkiye’deki Dolarizasyon Sürecine İlişkin Göstergeler. TCMB Araştırma ve Para Politikası Genel Müdürlüğü Çalısma Tebliği, No. 05/17, Aralık 2005, Ankara, 1-23.
  4. Ay, A., & Ayhan, F. (2016). Employment and Exchange Rate Volatility Relationship: The Turkish Case. Journal of Business Economics and Finance, 5(1), 108-114.
  5. Ayhan, F. (2016). Döviz Kuru Oynaklığı, Dış Ticaret ve İstihdam İlişkisi: Türkiye Uygulaması, Doktora Tezi, Selçuk Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Anabilim Dalı, Konya, Şubat 2016.
  6. Bakhshi, Z., & Ebrahimi, M. (2016). The effect of real exchange rate on unemployment. Marketing and Branding Research, 3(2016), 4-13.
  7. Becker, R., Enders, W., & Hurn, S. (2004). A general test for time dependence in parameters. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19, 899-906.
  8. Bekkers, E., & Francois, J. (2014). Bilateral Exchange Rates and Jobs. Review of International Economics, 22(2), 275-298.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Ekonomi

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

30 Haziran 2020

Gönderilme Tarihi

28 Eylül 2019

Kabul Tarihi

28 Nisan 2020

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2020 Cilt: 10 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA
Akarsu, G. (2020). Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 10(1), 179-209. https://doi.org/10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327
AMA
1.Akarsu G. Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;10(1):179-209. doi:10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327
Chicago
Akarsu, Gülsüm. 2020. “Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey”. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 10 (1): 179-209. https://doi.org/10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327.
EndNote
Akarsu G (01 Haziran 2020) Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 10 1 179–209.
IEEE
[1]G. Akarsu, “Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey”, Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 10, sy 1, ss. 179–209, Haz. 2020, doi: 10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327.
ISNAD
Akarsu, Gülsüm. “Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey”. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 10/1 (01 Haziran 2020): 179-209. https://doi.org/10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327.
JAMA
1.Akarsu G. Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;10:179–209.
MLA
Akarsu, Gülsüm. “Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey”. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 10, sy 1, Haziran 2020, ss. 179-0, doi:10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327.
Vancouver
1.Gülsüm Akarsu. Unemployment, Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility Relation: Analysis for Turkey. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 01 Haziran 2020;10(1):179-20. doi:10.18074/ckuiibfd.626327

Cited By