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HUMAN PERFORMANCE TECHNOLOGY MODEL FOR THE IMPROVEMENT OF ORGANIZATIONAL PERFORMANCE

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1, 59 - 78, 01.03.2010

Öz

-

Kaynakça

  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L., “Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria?”, American Economic Review, Vol. 75, 1985a, p. 708-720.
  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L.. “A Near Rational Model of the Business Cycle with Wage and Price Inertia”, Quarterly Journal of Economics,Vol. 100 (Supplement), 1985b, p. 823-38.
  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L., “The Macroeconomic Applications of a Dynamic Envelope Theorem”, Manuscript, University of California, Berkeley, 1987.
  • AKERLOF, George A., DICKENS, William T. and PERRY, George L., “Near- Rational Wage and Price Setting and the Long-Run Phillips Curve”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 2000:1, 2000, p. 1-60.
  • BARLAS-OZER, Y. and MUTLUER, D., “Inflation Expectations In Turkey: Statistical Evidence from the Business Tendency Survey”, Central Bank Review, Vol. 5, No. 2, 2005, p. 73-97.
  • BAKHSHI, H., KAPETANIOS, G. and YATES, T., “Rational Expectations and Fixed-Event Forecasts: An Application to UK Inflation,” Empirical Economics, Springer, Vol. 30, No. 3, October, 2005, p. 539-553.
  • BEEBY, M., HALL, S. G. and HENRY, S. B., “Rational Expectations and Near Rational Alternatives: How Best to Form Expectations”, European Central Bank Working Paper 86, 2001
  • BHALOTRA, Sonia, “Near Rationality in Wage Setting”, Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, Vol. 38, No.21, December, 2006, p. 2513-2521.
  • BONHAM, C. S. and COHEN, R. H., “To Aggregate, Pool or Neither: Testing the Rational-Expectations Hypothesis Using Survey Data.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol. 19, No. 3, 2001, p. 278-291.
  • BROWN, B. W. and MAITAL, S., “What Do Economists Know? An Empirical Study of Experts Expectations, Econometrica, Vol. 49, No. 2, March, 1981, p. 491– 504.
  • BRYAN, Michael F. and PALMQVIST, Stefan, “Testing Near-Rationality Using Detailed Survey Data”, Working Paper 0502, Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelan, 2005..
  • CABALLERO, Ricardo J., “Near-Rationality, Heterogeneity and Aggregate Consumption,” NBER Working Papers 4035, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1992.
  • CAGAN, P., The monetary dynamics of inflation. In: M. Friedman (Ed.), Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1956.
  • CARLSON, John A., “A Study of Price Forecasts.” Annals of Economic. and Social Measurement, Vol. 6, No.1,Winter, 1997, p. 27-56.
  • COCHRANE, John H, “The Sensitivity of Tests of the Intertemporal Allocation of Consumption to Near-Rational Alternatives,” American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3, June, 1989, p. 319-37.
  • EVANS, G.and GULAMANI, R., “Test for Rationality of the Carlson–Parkin Inflation Data”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 46, No. 1, 1984, p. 1-19.
  • FRIEDMAN, F., “The Quantity Theory of Money: A Restatement” in Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, edited by M. Friedman. Reprinted in The Optimum Quantity of Money (2005), 1956, p. 51-67.
  • FRIEDMAN, Benjamin M., “Survey Evidence on the Rationality of Interest Rate. Expectations”, The Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 6, 1980, p. 453-65.
  • GIBSON, William E., “Interest Rates and Inflationary Expectations: New Evidence”, The American Economic. Review, Vol. 62, No. 5, December, 1972, p. 854- 65.
  • HANSEN, L.P. and HODRICK, R. J., “Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 88, 1980, p. 829-53.
  • JEONG, J. and MADDALA, G. S., “Measurement Errors and Tests for Rationality”, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 9, No.4, 1991, p. 431-39.
  • KARA, H. and KUCUK-TUGER, H., “Some Evidence on the (Ir)rationality of Inflation Expectations in Turkey,” CBRT Working Paper No: 50/12, 2005.
  • KARADAS, E. and OGUNC, F., “An analysis of private Manufacturing Industry’s Inflation Expectations,” Central Bank Review, Vol. 3, No. 2, 2003, p. 57-83.
  • KEANE M. P and RUNKLE, D. E. (1990). “Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data”, American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 4, September, 1990, p. 714-35.
  • KEYNES, John Maynard, “The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money”, London: Macmillan (reprinted 2007), 1936.
  • KURT, Serdar, “Beklentilerde Rasyonellik ve Yakın Rasyonalitenin Ekonometrik Testi”, Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, 2009.
  • LEROY, S., and PORTER, R., “The Present Value Relation: Tests Based on Variance Bounds”, Econometrica, Vol. 49, 1981, p. 555-74.
  • MEHRA, Yash P., “Survey Measures of Expected Inflation: Revisiting the Issues of Predictive Content and Rationality”, Economic Quarterly, Vol. 88, No.3, p. 17–36.
  • METIN, K. and MUSLU, I., “Money Demand, the Cagan Model, Testing Rational Expectations vs Adaptive Expectations: the Case of Turkey”, Empirical Economics, Vol. 24, 1999, p. 415-426
  • MULLINEAUX, Donald J., “On Testing for Rationality: Another Look at the Livingston Price Expectations Data”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 86, No. 2, April, 1978, p. 329-36.
  • MUTH, John F., “Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements”, Econometrica, Vol. 29, 1961, p. 315-35.
  • PESANDO, James E., “A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expecta- tions”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 83, No.4, August, 1975, p. 849- 58.
  • PHELPS, Edmund S., “Phillips Curves, Expectations of Inflation and Optimal Unemployment over Time”, Economica, New Series, Vol. 34, No. 135, 1967, p. 254-81.
  • PYLE, David H., “Observed Price Expectations and Interest Rates”, Review of Economics. and Statistics, Vol. 54, August, 1972, p. 275-80.
  • RICCI, U. D., “Synthetische Ökonomie” von Henry Ludwell Moore, Z. Nationaliikon, Vol. 1, 1930, p. 649-468.
  • SCHULTZ, H., “Der Sin der Statistischen Nachfragen,” Veroffentlichungen der Frankfurter Gesellschaft fiir Konjunkturforschung, Vol. 10, Kurt Schroeder Verlag, Bonn, 1930.
  • SHILLER, R. J., “Do Stock Price Move too Much to be Justified by Subsequent. Changes in Dividends?”, American Economic Review, Vol. 71, 1981, p. 421- 436.
  • TARGETTI, F., Nicholas Kaldor: The Economics and Politics of Capitalism as a Dynamic System, Oxford: Clarendon Pres, 1992.
  • TURNOVSKY, S. J., “Empirical Evidence on the Formation of Price Expectations”, Journal of American Statistics Association, Vol. 65, December, 1970, p. 1441-54.
  • TURNOVSKY, Stephen J. and WACHTER, Michael L., “A Test of the Expectations Hypothesis Using Directly Observed Wage and Price Expectations”, Review of Economics. and Statistics, Vol. 54, February, 1972, p. 47-54.
  • UYGUR, Ercan, Neoklasik Makroiktisat ve Fiyat Bekleyişleri: Kuram ve Türkiye Ekonomisine Uygulama, Ankara: Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi, 1983.
  • UYGUR, Ercan, “Inflation Expectations of the Turkish Manufacturing Firms”, CBRT Research Department Discussion Paper No. 8904, 1989.
  • WEDER, Mark, “Near-rational Expectations in Animal Spirits Models of Aggregate Fluctuations,” Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Vol. 21, No.2, March, 2004, p. 249-65.
  • YAMAK, R. and KUCUKKALE, Y., “Anticipated Versus Unanticipated Money in Turkey”, Yapı Kredi Economic Review, Vol. 9, No. 1, June, 1998, p. 15-25.

Örgütsel Performansın Yükseltilmesinde İnsan Performans Teknolojisi Modeli

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1, 59 - 78, 01.03.2010

Öz

Çalışma, makroiktisatta son dönemde egemen görüş olan yeni klasik okulun “Rasyonellik” varsayımının günümüz iktisadında ve gerçek hayatta geçerli olup olmadığının beklenti anketleri ve ekonometrik testler vasıtasıyla araştırılmasını amaçlamaktadır. Öncelikle beklentilerin rasyonel olup olmadığı zayıf ve güçlü rasyonellik testleri kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Bununla birlikte, Palmqvist ve Brayn (2005) kullanmış olduğu yöntemler esas alınarak bireylerin beklentilerinde incelenmiştir. Türkiye’de bireylerin beklenti yapılarının rasyonel beklenti yapısından daha çok yakın rasyonaliteye uygun olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır. Tam rasyonellik testleri bireylerin tam rasyonaliteye sahip olmadıklarını ve yakın rasyonaliteye daha uygun olduğunu göstermiştir. Dolayısıyla, elde edilen bulgular, uygulanacak iktisadi politikaların kısmen etkin olabileceği görüşünü desteklemektedir

Kaynakça

  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L., “Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria?”, American Economic Review, Vol. 75, 1985a, p. 708-720.
  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L.. “A Near Rational Model of the Business Cycle with Wage and Price Inertia”, Quarterly Journal of Economics,Vol. 100 (Supplement), 1985b, p. 823-38.
  • AKERLOF, George. A. and YELLEN, Janet. L., “The Macroeconomic Applications of a Dynamic Envelope Theorem”, Manuscript, University of California, Berkeley, 1987.
  • AKERLOF, George A., DICKENS, William T. and PERRY, George L., “Near- Rational Wage and Price Setting and the Long-Run Phillips Curve”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 2000:1, 2000, p. 1-60.
  • BARLAS-OZER, Y. and MUTLUER, D., “Inflation Expectations In Turkey: Statistical Evidence from the Business Tendency Survey”, Central Bank Review, Vol. 5, No. 2, 2005, p. 73-97.
  • BAKHSHI, H., KAPETANIOS, G. and YATES, T., “Rational Expectations and Fixed-Event Forecasts: An Application to UK Inflation,” Empirical Economics, Springer, Vol. 30, No. 3, October, 2005, p. 539-553.
  • BEEBY, M., HALL, S. G. and HENRY, S. B., “Rational Expectations and Near Rational Alternatives: How Best to Form Expectations”, European Central Bank Working Paper 86, 2001
  • BHALOTRA, Sonia, “Near Rationality in Wage Setting”, Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, Vol. 38, No.21, December, 2006, p. 2513-2521.
  • BONHAM, C. S. and COHEN, R. H., “To Aggregate, Pool or Neither: Testing the Rational-Expectations Hypothesis Using Survey Data.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol. 19, No. 3, 2001, p. 278-291.
  • BROWN, B. W. and MAITAL, S., “What Do Economists Know? An Empirical Study of Experts Expectations, Econometrica, Vol. 49, No. 2, March, 1981, p. 491– 504.
  • BRYAN, Michael F. and PALMQVIST, Stefan, “Testing Near-Rationality Using Detailed Survey Data”, Working Paper 0502, Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelan, 2005..
  • CABALLERO, Ricardo J., “Near-Rationality, Heterogeneity and Aggregate Consumption,” NBER Working Papers 4035, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1992.
  • CAGAN, P., The monetary dynamics of inflation. In: M. Friedman (Ed.), Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1956.
  • CARLSON, John A., “A Study of Price Forecasts.” Annals of Economic. and Social Measurement, Vol. 6, No.1,Winter, 1997, p. 27-56.
  • COCHRANE, John H, “The Sensitivity of Tests of the Intertemporal Allocation of Consumption to Near-Rational Alternatives,” American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3, June, 1989, p. 319-37.
  • EVANS, G.and GULAMANI, R., “Test for Rationality of the Carlson–Parkin Inflation Data”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 46, No. 1, 1984, p. 1-19.
  • FRIEDMAN, F., “The Quantity Theory of Money: A Restatement” in Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, edited by M. Friedman. Reprinted in The Optimum Quantity of Money (2005), 1956, p. 51-67.
  • FRIEDMAN, Benjamin M., “Survey Evidence on the Rationality of Interest Rate. Expectations”, The Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 6, 1980, p. 453-65.
  • GIBSON, William E., “Interest Rates and Inflationary Expectations: New Evidence”, The American Economic. Review, Vol. 62, No. 5, December, 1972, p. 854- 65.
  • HANSEN, L.P. and HODRICK, R. J., “Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 88, 1980, p. 829-53.
  • JEONG, J. and MADDALA, G. S., “Measurement Errors and Tests for Rationality”, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 9, No.4, 1991, p. 431-39.
  • KARA, H. and KUCUK-TUGER, H., “Some Evidence on the (Ir)rationality of Inflation Expectations in Turkey,” CBRT Working Paper No: 50/12, 2005.
  • KARADAS, E. and OGUNC, F., “An analysis of private Manufacturing Industry’s Inflation Expectations,” Central Bank Review, Vol. 3, No. 2, 2003, p. 57-83.
  • KEANE M. P and RUNKLE, D. E. (1990). “Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data”, American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 4, September, 1990, p. 714-35.
  • KEYNES, John Maynard, “The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money”, London: Macmillan (reprinted 2007), 1936.
  • KURT, Serdar, “Beklentilerde Rasyonellik ve Yakın Rasyonalitenin Ekonometrik Testi”, Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, 2009.
  • LEROY, S., and PORTER, R., “The Present Value Relation: Tests Based on Variance Bounds”, Econometrica, Vol. 49, 1981, p. 555-74.
  • MEHRA, Yash P., “Survey Measures of Expected Inflation: Revisiting the Issues of Predictive Content and Rationality”, Economic Quarterly, Vol. 88, No.3, p. 17–36.
  • METIN, K. and MUSLU, I., “Money Demand, the Cagan Model, Testing Rational Expectations vs Adaptive Expectations: the Case of Turkey”, Empirical Economics, Vol. 24, 1999, p. 415-426
  • MULLINEAUX, Donald J., “On Testing for Rationality: Another Look at the Livingston Price Expectations Data”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 86, No. 2, April, 1978, p. 329-36.
  • MUTH, John F., “Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements”, Econometrica, Vol. 29, 1961, p. 315-35.
  • PESANDO, James E., “A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expecta- tions”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 83, No.4, August, 1975, p. 849- 58.
  • PHELPS, Edmund S., “Phillips Curves, Expectations of Inflation and Optimal Unemployment over Time”, Economica, New Series, Vol. 34, No. 135, 1967, p. 254-81.
  • PYLE, David H., “Observed Price Expectations and Interest Rates”, Review of Economics. and Statistics, Vol. 54, August, 1972, p. 275-80.
  • RICCI, U. D., “Synthetische Ökonomie” von Henry Ludwell Moore, Z. Nationaliikon, Vol. 1, 1930, p. 649-468.
  • SCHULTZ, H., “Der Sin der Statistischen Nachfragen,” Veroffentlichungen der Frankfurter Gesellschaft fiir Konjunkturforschung, Vol. 10, Kurt Schroeder Verlag, Bonn, 1930.
  • SHILLER, R. J., “Do Stock Price Move too Much to be Justified by Subsequent. Changes in Dividends?”, American Economic Review, Vol. 71, 1981, p. 421- 436.
  • TARGETTI, F., Nicholas Kaldor: The Economics and Politics of Capitalism as a Dynamic System, Oxford: Clarendon Pres, 1992.
  • TURNOVSKY, S. J., “Empirical Evidence on the Formation of Price Expectations”, Journal of American Statistics Association, Vol. 65, December, 1970, p. 1441-54.
  • TURNOVSKY, Stephen J. and WACHTER, Michael L., “A Test of the Expectations Hypothesis Using Directly Observed Wage and Price Expectations”, Review of Economics. and Statistics, Vol. 54, February, 1972, p. 47-54.
  • UYGUR, Ercan, Neoklasik Makroiktisat ve Fiyat Bekleyişleri: Kuram ve Türkiye Ekonomisine Uygulama, Ankara: Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi, 1983.
  • UYGUR, Ercan, “Inflation Expectations of the Turkish Manufacturing Firms”, CBRT Research Department Discussion Paper No. 8904, 1989.
  • WEDER, Mark, “Near-rational Expectations in Animal Spirits Models of Aggregate Fluctuations,” Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Vol. 21, No.2, March, 2004, p. 249-65.
  • YAMAK, R. and KUCUKKALE, Y., “Anticipated Versus Unanticipated Money in Turkey”, Yapı Kredi Economic Review, Vol. 9, No. 1, June, 1998, p. 15-25.
Toplam 44 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yonca Gürol Bu kişi benim

Onur Muhteşem Çapan Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Mart 2010
Gönderilme Tarihi 24 Haziran 2014
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2010 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Gürol, Y., & Çapan, O. M. (2010). Örgütsel Performansın Yükseltilmesinde İnsan Performans Teknolojisi Modeli. Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 8(1), 59-78.

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