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Finansal Kapsayıcılık ve Reel Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Türkiye, Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler, Gelişmiş Ülkeler ve Dünya Örneği

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 55, 310 - 335, 25.01.2025
https://doi.org/10.35408/comuybd.1516794

Öz

Bireylerin ve işletmelerin finansal sisteme entegrasyonunu kolaylaştıran finansal kapsayıcılık, ekonomik süreçlere daha geniş bir katılım sağlamakta ve ekonomik kalkınmaya katkıda bulunmaktadır. Son birkaç yılda, Türkiye finansal kapsayıcılığı artırma konusunda, büyük ölçüde dijital teknolojideki gelişmelere atfedilen önemli ilerlemeler kaydetmiştir. Ancak, bu ilerlemenin ekonomik büyümeyi ne ölçüde desteklediği hala tartışılmaktadır.

Finansal kapsayıcılığı ölçmek için genellikle banka hesabı sahipliği, mobil ödeme platformlarının kullanımı ve krediye erişim gibi göstergeler kullanılmaktadır. Bu göstergeler, ekonomik büyümeyi hem doğrudan hem de dolaylı yollarla etkiler. Finansal hizmetlere artan erişim, işletmelerin finansmana daha kolay ulaşmasını sağlarken, bireylerin tasarruflarını daha etkili bir şekilde yönetmelerine yardımcı olur. Bununla birlikte, yetersiz finansal okuryazarlık, finansal kapsayıcılığın ekonomik büyümeyi teşvik etme potansiyelini azaltabilir.

IMF'nin Uluslararası Finansal Endeksi'nden 2009-2022 dönemini kapsayan veriler kullanılarak ve ARDL modeliyle yapılan Türkiye'nin finansal kapsayıcılık göstergelerinin ayrıntılı bir değerlendirmesi, finansal kapsayıcılığın ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisinin görece sınırlı olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Düşük gelirli grupların finansal hizmetlere sınırlı erişimi ve bölgesel eşitsizliklerin devam etmesi gibi çeşitli zorluklar, finansal kapsayıcılığın ekonomik kalkınmayı etkili bir şekilde yönlendirme potansiyelini kısıtlamaktadır.

Türkiye'nin finansal kapsayıcılık göstergeleri, gelişmiş ülkelerinkinin hala gerisinde kalsa da, dijital finansal hizmetlerin artan kullanım oranı, gelecekteki ilerleme için fırsatlar sunmaktadır. Diğer ülkelerden elde edilen kanıtlar, daha yüksek finansal kapsayıcılık seviyelerinin ekonomik büyümeyi dönüştürücü bir şekilde destekleyebileceğini vurgulamaktadır.

Bulgular, Türkiye'nin finansal kapsayıcılığın ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki tam faydalarını henüz gerçekleştiremediğini göstermektedir. Gelecek araştırmalar, finansal kapsayıcılığa yönelik politikaları optimize etmeyi ve bunların etkisini artıracak yaklaşımlar geliştirmeyi hedeflemelidir. Önemli girişimler arasında finansal okuryazarlığın artırılması, dijital finansal platformların erişiminin genişletilmesi ve finansal hizmetlere erişimdeki bölgesel eşitsizliklerin ele alınması yer alabilir.

Etik Beyan

Makalede kullanılan tüm veriler IMF'nin (Uluslararası Para Fonu) web sayfasında tüm kullanıcılar için ücretsiz ve izinsiz olarak ulaşılabilen veri tabanından elde edilmiş olup, çalışma tamamen özgündür ve intihal yapılmamıştır. Benzerlik oranı yüzde 20 olmakla birlikte, benzerliklerin büyük kısmı araştırmada kullanılan araştırma yöntemindeki formül ve katsayılar ile Eviews programının çıktısındaki başlık ve açıklamalardan kaynaklanmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Ahamed, M., & Mallick, S. (2019). Does financial inclusion improve bank stability? Cross-country evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 64, 101-139.
  • Allen, F., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., & Martinez Peria, M. S. (2016). The foundations of financial inclusion: Understanding ownership and use of formal accounts. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 27, 1–30.
  • Aluko, O. A., & Ajayi, M. A. (2018). Financial inclusion and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from panel ARDL analysis. African Development Review, 30(2), 221–235.
  • Anzoategui, D., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Martínez Pería, M. S. (2015). Banking competition and financial stability in developing countries. World Development, 72, 203–219.
  • Beck, T., & Brown, M. (2015). Foreign bank entry and entrepreneurial access to credit. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 18(2), 159–174.
  • Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality, and the poor: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), 27–49.
  • Bulut, E., & Çizmeci Akyüz, A. (2020). Digital banking and economic growth in Turkey: An ARDL cointegration analysis. Journal of Financial Research, 19(3), 223–239.
  • Cabeza-García, L., Del Brío, E. B., & Rueda-Cantuche, J. M. (2019). Gender diversity and economic growth: The role of women’s financial inclusion. Economic Modelling, 82, 101–115.
  • Chibba, M. (2009). Financial inclusion, poverty reduction and the millennium development goals. European Journal of Development Research, 21(2), 213–230.
  • Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., & Singer, D. (2018). Financial inclusion and inclusive growth: A review of recent empirical evidence. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8040.
  • Evans, O., & Adeoye, B. W. (2016). The determinants of financial inclusion in Africa: A dynamic panel data approach. African Journal of Economic Policy, 23(1), 10–28.
  • Fayissa, B., & Nsiah, C. (2008). The impact of remittances on economic growth and development in Africa. American Economist, 52(2), 92–103.
  • Fedderke, J. W., Perkins, P., & Luiz, J. M. (2006). Infrastructure investment in long-run economic growth: South Africa 1875–2001. World Development, 34(6), 1037–1059.
  • Feng, Y., Yu, X., & Li, J. (2017). The effect of interest rate, exchange rate, and stock market index on economic growth: Evidence from India. Journal of Emerging Markets, 22(2), 211–224.
  • FinEquity. (2021). Digital financial inclusion: Lessons from the global south. FinEquity Knowledge Guide.
  • Giri, A. K., & Sehrawat, M. (2017). The impact of financial development on economic growth in South Asia: Evidence from panel ARDL. International Journal of Social Economics, 44(12), 2000–2016.
  • Gomber, P., Koch, J.-A., & Siering, M. (2017). Digital finance and FinTech: Current research and future research directions. Journal of Business Economics, 87(5), 537–580.
  • Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2020). Trade openness and economic growth: Evidence for a panel of emerging economies. World Development, 132, 104977.
  • Honohan, P. (2008). Cross-country variation in household access to financial services. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(11), 2493–2500.
  • Honohan, P. (2008). Household financial assets in the process of development. World Economic Review, 3(1), 45–64.
  • Idun, A. A., & Aboagye, A. Q. Q. (2014). Bank competition, financial innovations, and economic growth in Ghana. African Journal of Economic Policy, 21(1), 13–31. Keho, Y. (2017). Trade openness and economic growth: Evidence from time-series data in West Africa. African Journal of Economic Policy, 24(2), 33–49.
  • Klapper, L., & Singer, D. (2015). Financial inclusion and inclusive growth: A review of recent empirical evidence. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8040.
  • Kousar, S., Rehman, H. U., & Rehman, A. (2020). Remittances, education expenditures, and economic growth: Evidence from developing countries. Economic Modelling, 85, 265–276.
  • Kumar, R. R., & Stauvermann, P. J. (2014). Capital formation, financial development, and economic growth in East Asia. International Journal of Social Economics, 41(3), 239–253.
  • Lacheheb, M., & Ismail, N. W. (2020). The impact of remittances and financial development on economic growth: Evidence from panel data. Journal of International Development, 32(1), 133–150.
  • Lawanson, O. A., & Umar, N. S. (2020). The impact of education expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria: An ARDL approach. International Journal of Educational Development, 78, 102248.
  • Mamun, A., Sohag, K., & Ismail, S. (2015). Remittance and economic growth: Empirical evidence from panel ARDL approach. South Asian Journal of Business and Management Cases, 4(2), 101–116.
  • Mas, I., & Radcliffe, D. (2010). Mobile payments go viral: M-PESA in Kenya. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 2818.
  • Mialou, A., Amidzic, G., & Massara, A. (2017). Assessing countries’ financial inclusion: A new composite index. IMF Working Paper No. 17/235. Musila, J. W., & Belassi, M. (2004). The impact of trade liberalization on economic growth in Uganda. Journal of Economic Studies, 31(1), 33–47.
  • Ozili, P. K. (2018). Impact of digital finance on financial inclusion and stability. Borsa Istanbul Review, 18(4), 329–340.
  • Park, C. Y., & Mercado, R. V. (2018). Financial inclusion, poverty, and income inequality in developing Asia. Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 426.
  • Pazarbaşıoğlu, C., Dömbekci, K., & Kara, A. (2020). Digital financial services and their impact on economic growth. Journal of Financial Services Research, 57(2), 143–165.
  • Peng-Lee, H., & Ismail, N. W. (2023). Public debt and economic growth in the European Union: An ARDL analysis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 28(3), 2045–2060. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.
  • Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., & Norman, N. R. (2014). ICT infrastructure and economic growth: Evidence from OECD countries. Telecommunications Policy, 38(6), 558–571.
  • Rojas-Suarez, L., & Amado, M. A. (2014). Understanding Latin America's financial inclusion gap. Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 367.
  • Samargandi, N., Fidrmuc, J., & Ghosh, S. (2014). Financial development and economic growth in an oil-rich economy: The case of Saudi Arabia. Economic Modelling, 43, 267–278.
  • Sarma, M. (2010). Index of financial inclusion: A measure of financial sector inclusiveness. Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations Working Paper No. 215. Sarma, M., & Pais, J. (2011). Financial inclusion and development. Journal of International Development, 23(5), 613–628.
  • Shahbaz, M., Haouas, I., & Hoang, T. H. V. (2013). Economic growth and financial development in South Asia: Evidence from a panel ARDL approach. South Asian Journal of Economic Studies, 4(2), 144–159.
  • Soytas, U., & Sari, R. (2003). Energy consumption and GDP: Causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets. Energy Economics, 25(1), 33–37.
  • Suri, T., & Jack, W. (2016). The long-run poverty and gender impacts of mobile money. Science, 354(6317), 1288–1292.
  • Tafa, B. A. (2015). The effects of export, import, and trade openness on economic growth in Namibia: Evidence from ARDL approach. Journal of African Trade, 2(1-2), 14–20.
  • Toronto Center. (2022). Financial inclusion and resilience: The role of digital financial services. Toronto Center Knowledge Guide. Retrieved from https://www.torontocenter.org

The Relationship Between Financial Inclusion and Real Economic Growth: Examples from Turkey, Developing Countries, Developed Countries, and the World

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 55, 310 - 335, 25.01.2025
https://doi.org/10.35408/comuybd.1516794

Öz

Facilitating the integration of individuals and enterprises into the financial system, financial inclusion promotes wider engagement in economic processes and contributes to economic development. Over the past few years, Turkey has made significant strides in enhancing financial inclusion, largely attributed to advancements in digital technologies. Nevertheless, the precise role of these improvements in driving economic growth remains a topic of ongoing discussion.

Key indicators such as bank account ownership, the utilization of mobile payment platforms, and access to credit are commonly used to measure financial inclusion. These indicators influence economic growth through both direct and indirect channels. Increased access to financial services enables businesses to obtain funding more effectively and supports individuals in managing their savings. However, limited financial literacy can act as a barrier, reducing the potential positive effects of financial inclusion on economic growth.

An in-depth analysis of Turkey's financial inclusion indicators, utilizing data from the IMF's International Financial Index spanning 2009 to 2022 and assessed through the ARDL methodology, indicates a modest influence of financial inclusion on economic growth. Several challenges, such as inadequate access to financial services for low-income populations and ongoing regional disparities, have limited the capacity of financial inclusion to significantly propel economic advancement.

While Turkey's financial inclusion indicators still fall short of those seen in developed countries, the increasing uptake of digital financial services highlights opportunities for future progress. Evidence from other nations underscores that higher levels of financial inclusion can play a transformative role in fostering economic growth.

The findings suggest that Turkey has yet to realize the full economic benefits of financial inclusion. Future studies should aim to optimize policies targeting financial inclusion and develop approaches to enhance their effectiveness. Key initiatives may include promoting financial literacy, expanding the reach of digital financial platforms, and addressing regional disparities in access to financial services.

Kaynakça

  • Ahamed, M., & Mallick, S. (2019). Does financial inclusion improve bank stability? Cross-country evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 64, 101-139.
  • Allen, F., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., & Martinez Peria, M. S. (2016). The foundations of financial inclusion: Understanding ownership and use of formal accounts. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 27, 1–30.
  • Aluko, O. A., & Ajayi, M. A. (2018). Financial inclusion and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from panel ARDL analysis. African Development Review, 30(2), 221–235.
  • Anzoategui, D., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Martínez Pería, M. S. (2015). Banking competition and financial stability in developing countries. World Development, 72, 203–219.
  • Beck, T., & Brown, M. (2015). Foreign bank entry and entrepreneurial access to credit. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 18(2), 159–174.
  • Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality, and the poor: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), 27–49.
  • Bulut, E., & Çizmeci Akyüz, A. (2020). Digital banking and economic growth in Turkey: An ARDL cointegration analysis. Journal of Financial Research, 19(3), 223–239.
  • Cabeza-García, L., Del Brío, E. B., & Rueda-Cantuche, J. M. (2019). Gender diversity and economic growth: The role of women’s financial inclusion. Economic Modelling, 82, 101–115.
  • Chibba, M. (2009). Financial inclusion, poverty reduction and the millennium development goals. European Journal of Development Research, 21(2), 213–230.
  • Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., & Singer, D. (2018). Financial inclusion and inclusive growth: A review of recent empirical evidence. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8040.
  • Evans, O., & Adeoye, B. W. (2016). The determinants of financial inclusion in Africa: A dynamic panel data approach. African Journal of Economic Policy, 23(1), 10–28.
  • Fayissa, B., & Nsiah, C. (2008). The impact of remittances on economic growth and development in Africa. American Economist, 52(2), 92–103.
  • Fedderke, J. W., Perkins, P., & Luiz, J. M. (2006). Infrastructure investment in long-run economic growth: South Africa 1875–2001. World Development, 34(6), 1037–1059.
  • Feng, Y., Yu, X., & Li, J. (2017). The effect of interest rate, exchange rate, and stock market index on economic growth: Evidence from India. Journal of Emerging Markets, 22(2), 211–224.
  • FinEquity. (2021). Digital financial inclusion: Lessons from the global south. FinEquity Knowledge Guide.
  • Giri, A. K., & Sehrawat, M. (2017). The impact of financial development on economic growth in South Asia: Evidence from panel ARDL. International Journal of Social Economics, 44(12), 2000–2016.
  • Gomber, P., Koch, J.-A., & Siering, M. (2017). Digital finance and FinTech: Current research and future research directions. Journal of Business Economics, 87(5), 537–580.
  • Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2020). Trade openness and economic growth: Evidence for a panel of emerging economies. World Development, 132, 104977.
  • Honohan, P. (2008). Cross-country variation in household access to financial services. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(11), 2493–2500.
  • Honohan, P. (2008). Household financial assets in the process of development. World Economic Review, 3(1), 45–64.
  • Idun, A. A., & Aboagye, A. Q. Q. (2014). Bank competition, financial innovations, and economic growth in Ghana. African Journal of Economic Policy, 21(1), 13–31. Keho, Y. (2017). Trade openness and economic growth: Evidence from time-series data in West Africa. African Journal of Economic Policy, 24(2), 33–49.
  • Klapper, L., & Singer, D. (2015). Financial inclusion and inclusive growth: A review of recent empirical evidence. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8040.
  • Kousar, S., Rehman, H. U., & Rehman, A. (2020). Remittances, education expenditures, and economic growth: Evidence from developing countries. Economic Modelling, 85, 265–276.
  • Kumar, R. R., & Stauvermann, P. J. (2014). Capital formation, financial development, and economic growth in East Asia. International Journal of Social Economics, 41(3), 239–253.
  • Lacheheb, M., & Ismail, N. W. (2020). The impact of remittances and financial development on economic growth: Evidence from panel data. Journal of International Development, 32(1), 133–150.
  • Lawanson, O. A., & Umar, N. S. (2020). The impact of education expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria: An ARDL approach. International Journal of Educational Development, 78, 102248.
  • Mamun, A., Sohag, K., & Ismail, S. (2015). Remittance and economic growth: Empirical evidence from panel ARDL approach. South Asian Journal of Business and Management Cases, 4(2), 101–116.
  • Mas, I., & Radcliffe, D. (2010). Mobile payments go viral: M-PESA in Kenya. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 2818.
  • Mialou, A., Amidzic, G., & Massara, A. (2017). Assessing countries’ financial inclusion: A new composite index. IMF Working Paper No. 17/235. Musila, J. W., & Belassi, M. (2004). The impact of trade liberalization on economic growth in Uganda. Journal of Economic Studies, 31(1), 33–47.
  • Ozili, P. K. (2018). Impact of digital finance on financial inclusion and stability. Borsa Istanbul Review, 18(4), 329–340.
  • Park, C. Y., & Mercado, R. V. (2018). Financial inclusion, poverty, and income inequality in developing Asia. Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 426.
  • Pazarbaşıoğlu, C., Dömbekci, K., & Kara, A. (2020). Digital financial services and their impact on economic growth. Journal of Financial Services Research, 57(2), 143–165.
  • Peng-Lee, H., & Ismail, N. W. (2023). Public debt and economic growth in the European Union: An ARDL analysis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 28(3), 2045–2060. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.
  • Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., & Norman, N. R. (2014). ICT infrastructure and economic growth: Evidence from OECD countries. Telecommunications Policy, 38(6), 558–571.
  • Rojas-Suarez, L., & Amado, M. A. (2014). Understanding Latin America's financial inclusion gap. Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 367.
  • Samargandi, N., Fidrmuc, J., & Ghosh, S. (2014). Financial development and economic growth in an oil-rich economy: The case of Saudi Arabia. Economic Modelling, 43, 267–278.
  • Sarma, M. (2010). Index of financial inclusion: A measure of financial sector inclusiveness. Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations Working Paper No. 215. Sarma, M., & Pais, J. (2011). Financial inclusion and development. Journal of International Development, 23(5), 613–628.
  • Shahbaz, M., Haouas, I., & Hoang, T. H. V. (2013). Economic growth and financial development in South Asia: Evidence from a panel ARDL approach. South Asian Journal of Economic Studies, 4(2), 144–159.
  • Soytas, U., & Sari, R. (2003). Energy consumption and GDP: Causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets. Energy Economics, 25(1), 33–37.
  • Suri, T., & Jack, W. (2016). The long-run poverty and gender impacts of mobile money. Science, 354(6317), 1288–1292.
  • Tafa, B. A. (2015). The effects of export, import, and trade openness on economic growth in Namibia: Evidence from ARDL approach. Journal of African Trade, 2(1-2), 14–20.
  • Toronto Center. (2022). Financial inclusion and resilience: The role of digital financial services. Toronto Center Knowledge Guide. Retrieved from https://www.torontocenter.org
Toplam 42 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Uluslararası Finans
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Kartal Somuncu 0000-0002-5087-414X

Yayımlanma Tarihi 25 Ocak 2025
Gönderilme Tarihi 16 Temmuz 2024
Kabul Tarihi 12 Ocak 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 23 Sayı: 55

Kaynak Göster

APA Somuncu, K. (2025). The Relationship Between Financial Inclusion and Real Economic Growth: Examples from Turkey, Developing Countries, Developed Countries, and the World. Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 23(55), 310-335. https://doi.org/10.35408/comuybd.1516794

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