KAR PAYI ORANLARI İLE MEVDUAT FAİZ ORANLARI ARASINDAKİ NEDENSELLİK İLİŞKİSİ
Yıl 2016,
Cilt: 25 Sayı: 1, 17 - 28, 30.04.2016
H.Ali Ata
Mehmet Fatih Buğan
,
Şemsettin Çiğdem
Öz
Fon sahiplerinin fonlarını ödünç verme neticesinde elde edecekleri gelirin belirleyicisi, klasik bankacılık sisteminde mevduat faizi oranı iken katılım bankalarında kar payı oranı olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, analiz dönemi olan 2004-2014 yılları arasında Türkiye‟de konvansiyonel bankaların uygulamış olduğu aylık ağırlıklı ortalama mevduat faiz oranları ile katılım bankalarının aylık ortalama kar payı oranları arasında nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığı ve yönü Hacker ve Hatemi (2006) Nedensellik Testi ile tespit edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Analiz sonucunda 1, 3 ve 6 ay vadeli mevduat faiz oranlarından kar payı oranlarına doğru tek yönlü, 12 ay vadeli oranlar arasında ise çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisine rastlanmıştır. Ayrıca kayan pencerelerde nedensellik testi sonucunda her iki oranın bileşenleri arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir.
Kaynakça
- Adebola, S. S., Yusoff, W. S. W. ve Dahalan, J. (2011). The Impact Of Macroeconomic Vari-ables On Islamic Banks Financing In Malaysia. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 2(4), 22–32.
- Bacha, O. I. (2004). Dual banking systems and interest rate risk for Islamic banks. The Journal of Accounting, Commerce & Finance – Islamic Perspective, 8(1), 1-42.
- Balcilar, M. ve Ozdemir, Z. A. (2013). The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach. Empirical Economics, 44(2), 639–660. doi:10.1007/s00181-012-0562-8
- Chong, B. S. ve Liu, M.-H. (2009). Islamic banking: Interest-free or interest-based? Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 17(1), 125–144.
- Çevik, S. ve Charap, J. (2011). Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey. International Monetary Fund.
- Deloitte. (2014). Türkiye Katılım Bankacılığı. Deloitte.
- Ergeç, H. E. ve Kaytanci, B. G. (2014). The causality between returns of interest-based banks and Islamic banks: the case of Turkey. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 7(4), 443–456.
- Ertürk, M. ve Yüksel, S. (2013). Causal Link Between Islamic and Conventional Banking: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector (Working Paper No: 6) (s. 20). İstanbul: Rese-arch Department of Borsa İstanbul.
- Granger, C. W. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 424–438.
- Hacker, R. S. ve Hatemi-J, A. (2006). Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application. Applied Economics, 38(13), 1489–1500. doi:10.1080/00036840500405763
- Hasan, M. ve Dridi, J. (2010). The effects of the global crisis on Islamic and conventional banks: A comparative study. International Monetary Fund.
- Hosseini, H. M. ve Kaneko, S. (2012). Causality between pillars of sustainable development: Global stylized facts or regional phenomena? Ecological Indicators, 14(1), 197–201.
- Inglesi-Lotz, R., Balcilar, M. ve Gupta, R. (2014). Time-varying causality between research output and economic growth in US. Scientometrics, 100(1), 203–216. doi:10.1007/s11192-014-1257-z
- Ito, T. (2013). Islamic rates of return and conventional interest rates in the Malaysian deposit market. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 6(4), 290–303.
- Jalil, A., Feridun, M. ve Ma, Y. (2010). Finance-growth nexus in China revisited: New evi-dence from principal components and ARDL bounds tests. International Review of Economics & Finance, 19(2), 189–195.
- Jolliffe, I. (2002). Principal component analysis ,2nd Edition. Springer, New York.
- Kader, R. A. ve Leong, Y. K. (2009). The impact of interest rate changes on Islamic bank fi-nancing. International Review of Business Research Papers, 5(3), 189–201.
- Kaleem, A. ve Isa, M. M. (2003). Casual relationship between Islamic and conventional ban-king instruments in Malaysia. International Journal of Islamic Financial Services, 4(4), 3–10.
- Kapetanios, G. (2005). Unit-root testing against the alternative hypothesis of up to m structu-ral breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 26(1), 123–133.
- Lumsdaine, R. L. ve Papell, D. H. (1997). Multiple trend breaks and the unit-root hypothesis. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(2), 212–218.
- Maki, D. (2012). Tests for cointegration allowing for an unknown number of breaks. Economic Modelling, 29(5), 2011–2015. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.022
- Manly, B. (1994). Multivariate statistical methods: a primer. Chapman& Hall, London.
- Murthy, K. V. ve Kalsie, A. (2009). Measurement of international currency crises: A panel data approach using composite indices. Anjala. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1344050.
- Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1361–1401.
- Pradhan, R. P., Tripathy, S., Chatterjee, D., Zaki, D. B. ve Mukhopadhyay, B. (2014). Development of banking sector and economic growth: the ARF experience. Decision, 41(3), 245–259. doi:10.1007/s40622-014-0056-y
- Saraç, M. ve Zeren, F. (2015). The dependency of Islamic bank rates on conventional bank interest rates: further evidence from Turkey. Applied Economics, 47(7), 669–679.
- Sharma, S. (1996). Applied multivariate techniques. Wiley Publication, New York.
- TKBB, “Başlıca Finansal Veriler ve Mali Tablolar”, Katılım Bankaları 2010, İstanbul: Türkiye Katılım Bankalar Birliği, 2011a, ss.72-87.
- Toda, H. Y. ve Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with pos-sibly integrated processes. Journal of econometrics, 66(1), 225–250.
- Yusoff, M. (2013). Riba, profit rate, Islamic rate, and market equilibrium. International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting, 21(1).
- Zainol, Z. ve Kassim, S. H. (2010). An Analysis of Islamic Banks‟ Exposure to Rate of Return Risk. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 31(1), 59–84.
- Zivot, E. ve Andrews, D. W. (1992). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(0), 3.
Yıl 2016,
Cilt: 25 Sayı: 1, 17 - 28, 30.04.2016
H.Ali Ata
Mehmet Fatih Buğan
,
Şemsettin Çiğdem
Kaynakça
- Adebola, S. S., Yusoff, W. S. W. ve Dahalan, J. (2011). The Impact Of Macroeconomic Vari-ables On Islamic Banks Financing In Malaysia. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 2(4), 22–32.
- Bacha, O. I. (2004). Dual banking systems and interest rate risk for Islamic banks. The Journal of Accounting, Commerce & Finance – Islamic Perspective, 8(1), 1-42.
- Balcilar, M. ve Ozdemir, Z. A. (2013). The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach. Empirical Economics, 44(2), 639–660. doi:10.1007/s00181-012-0562-8
- Chong, B. S. ve Liu, M.-H. (2009). Islamic banking: Interest-free or interest-based? Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 17(1), 125–144.
- Çevik, S. ve Charap, J. (2011). Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey. International Monetary Fund.
- Deloitte. (2014). Türkiye Katılım Bankacılığı. Deloitte.
- Ergeç, H. E. ve Kaytanci, B. G. (2014). The causality between returns of interest-based banks and Islamic banks: the case of Turkey. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 7(4), 443–456.
- Ertürk, M. ve Yüksel, S. (2013). Causal Link Between Islamic and Conventional Banking: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector (Working Paper No: 6) (s. 20). İstanbul: Rese-arch Department of Borsa İstanbul.
- Granger, C. W. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 424–438.
- Hacker, R. S. ve Hatemi-J, A. (2006). Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application. Applied Economics, 38(13), 1489–1500. doi:10.1080/00036840500405763
- Hasan, M. ve Dridi, J. (2010). The effects of the global crisis on Islamic and conventional banks: A comparative study. International Monetary Fund.
- Hosseini, H. M. ve Kaneko, S. (2012). Causality between pillars of sustainable development: Global stylized facts or regional phenomena? Ecological Indicators, 14(1), 197–201.
- Inglesi-Lotz, R., Balcilar, M. ve Gupta, R. (2014). Time-varying causality between research output and economic growth in US. Scientometrics, 100(1), 203–216. doi:10.1007/s11192-014-1257-z
- Ito, T. (2013). Islamic rates of return and conventional interest rates in the Malaysian deposit market. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 6(4), 290–303.
- Jalil, A., Feridun, M. ve Ma, Y. (2010). Finance-growth nexus in China revisited: New evi-dence from principal components and ARDL bounds tests. International Review of Economics & Finance, 19(2), 189–195.
- Jolliffe, I. (2002). Principal component analysis ,2nd Edition. Springer, New York.
- Kader, R. A. ve Leong, Y. K. (2009). The impact of interest rate changes on Islamic bank fi-nancing. International Review of Business Research Papers, 5(3), 189–201.
- Kaleem, A. ve Isa, M. M. (2003). Casual relationship between Islamic and conventional ban-king instruments in Malaysia. International Journal of Islamic Financial Services, 4(4), 3–10.
- Kapetanios, G. (2005). Unit-root testing against the alternative hypothesis of up to m structu-ral breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 26(1), 123–133.
- Lumsdaine, R. L. ve Papell, D. H. (1997). Multiple trend breaks and the unit-root hypothesis. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(2), 212–218.
- Maki, D. (2012). Tests for cointegration allowing for an unknown number of breaks. Economic Modelling, 29(5), 2011–2015. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.022
- Manly, B. (1994). Multivariate statistical methods: a primer. Chapman& Hall, London.
- Murthy, K. V. ve Kalsie, A. (2009). Measurement of international currency crises: A panel data approach using composite indices. Anjala. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1344050.
- Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1361–1401.
- Pradhan, R. P., Tripathy, S., Chatterjee, D., Zaki, D. B. ve Mukhopadhyay, B. (2014). Development of banking sector and economic growth: the ARF experience. Decision, 41(3), 245–259. doi:10.1007/s40622-014-0056-y
- Saraç, M. ve Zeren, F. (2015). The dependency of Islamic bank rates on conventional bank interest rates: further evidence from Turkey. Applied Economics, 47(7), 669–679.
- Sharma, S. (1996). Applied multivariate techniques. Wiley Publication, New York.
- TKBB, “Başlıca Finansal Veriler ve Mali Tablolar”, Katılım Bankaları 2010, İstanbul: Türkiye Katılım Bankalar Birliği, 2011a, ss.72-87.
- Toda, H. Y. ve Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with pos-sibly integrated processes. Journal of econometrics, 66(1), 225–250.
- Yusoff, M. (2013). Riba, profit rate, Islamic rate, and market equilibrium. International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting, 21(1).
- Zainol, Z. ve Kassim, S. H. (2010). An Analysis of Islamic Banks‟ Exposure to Rate of Return Risk. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 31(1), 59–84.
- Zivot, E. ve Andrews, D. W. (1992). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(0), 3.