TÜRKİYE’DE YOKSULLUĞUN RASSAL ETKİLER MULTİNOMİAL LOGİT MODEL İLE İNCELENMESİ

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 4, 503 - 521, 26.12.2018

Çiler Sigeze , Seda Şengül

https://doi.org/10.16953/deusosbil.413034

Cited By: 5

Öz

Yoksulluk bulunulan dönemdeki ve konumdaki refah
düzeyindeki farklılıklara göre değişiklik gösterdiği için yoksulluğun dinamik
yapısının incelenmesi oldukça önemlidir. Yoksulluğun dinamik yapısının panel
verilerle incelenmesi yoksulluğun hem kronik ve
geçici boyutunun öğrenilmesine hem de kronik ve geçici yoksul hanelerin
profilinin ayrıntılı incelenmesine olanak sağlamaktadır. Panel verilerle aynı
zamanda geçici yoksulların dönem dönem yoksulluğa giriş ve yoksulluktan
çıkışlarını etkileyen etmenlerin de incelenmesi mümkün olmaktadır. Bu
bilgiler doğrultusunda, bu çalışmada 2009-2012 dönemine ait TÜİK Gelir ve Yaşam
Koşulları Araştırması (GYKA) panel mikro veri anketinden yararlanarak
Türkiye’de hanelerin yoksulluktan çıkış, yoksulluğa geçiş ve kronik yoksulluk durumlarının
belirleyicileri rassal etkiler multinomial logit modeli ile tahmin edilmiştir. Elde
edilen sonuçlara göre hanehalkı reisinin ve hanenin özelliklerinin hanenin
yoksulluk geçişi ve kronik yoksul olması üzerindeki etkileri farklılık göstermiştir. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kronik Yoksulluk, Geçici Yoksulluk, Rassal Etkiler Multinomial Logit Model

AN EXAMINATION OF POVERTY IN TURKEY: AN EVIDENCE FROM MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL WITH RANDOM EFFECTS

Öz

It is important to
examine the dynamic structure of poverty, as poverty can differ according to
differences both in the welfare level and situation at a point in time. The
examination of the dynamic structure of poverty by panel data allows both the
learning of the chronic and transitory dimension of poverty and the examination
of the profiles of chronic and transient poor families. It is also possible to
investigate the factors influencing both of people who entries poverty at a
point in time and people exist from poverty employing panel data. Therefore,
this paper aims to provide the profile of poverty in Turkey,  examining the determinants of poverty taking
into account the dynamics of poverty; poverty outflow, transitory poverty and
chronic poverty in Turkey using Turkish Statistical Institute, Income and Living Conditions Survey
(SILC) panel micro data estimated employing the multinomial logit model with random effects The results show that the feautures of the household’s head and household
have a different impact both on the transitory poverty and chronic poverty of
household. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Chronic Poverty, Transient Poverty, Multinomial Logit Model with Random Effects

Kaynakça

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