A STATIC PROBABILISTIC MODEL OF IMMIGRATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

Öz

Bu makalede, statik olasılıklı bir model kullanılarak ekonomik entegrasyon ve illegal göç arasındaki muhtemel ilişki incelenmiştir. Levy 1997 modelinin ana hatları kullanılarak emek yoğun bir ülkeden sermaye yoğun bir ülkeye olan göçün bu iki ülke arasında ekonomik entegrasyona yol açabileceği gösterilmiştir. Modelde göç hareketi, göçmen alan sermaye yoğun ülkedeki medyan seçmenin fayda düzeyini azaltarak, bu ülkedeki seçmenlerin, göçmen gönderen emek yoğun ülkeden gelebilecek daha fazla göçü engelleyecek bir serbest ticaret anlaşmasını desteklemelerine yol açmaktadır

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ekonomik Entegrasyon, Serbest Ticaret Anlaşmaları, Eşitsizlik, Uluslararası Ticaret, Medyan-seçmen.

STATİK OLASILIKLI GÖÇ VE EKONOMİK ENTEGRASYON MODELİ

Öz

In this paper, by using a probabilistic static model, a possible relationship between the desirability of economic integration and illegal immigration is studied. Using the framework developed in Levy 1997 , it is shown that migration from a labour abundant country to a capital abundant country might lead to economic integration between the two countries. By reducing the median voter's utility in the capital abundant host country, migration induces voters in this country to support a free trade agreement with the labour abundant migrant sending country that will stop further immigration.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Economic Integration, Free Trade Agreements, Inequality, International Trade, Median - Voter

Kaynakça

1. BENHABIB, J. (1996). On the political economy of immigration. European Economic Review, 40, pp. 1737-1743.
2. BOND, E., CHEN, T. (1987). The welfare effects of illegal immigration. Journal of International Economics 23, pp. 315-328.
3. BUCCI, G. A., TENORIO, R. (1996). On financing the internal enforcement of illegal immigration policies. Journal of Population Economics, 9, pp. 65-81.
4. CENTER FOR IMMIGRATION STUDIES. (2004). [Internet] Illegal Immigration. Available from [Accessed April 1, 2004]
5. ETHIER, W. J. (1986). Illegal immigration: The host-country problem, American Economic Review 76, pp. 56-71.
6. FACCHINI, G. (2002). [Internet] Why join a common market?, Available from [Accessed March 5, 2003]
7. GEDDES, A. (2003). The Politics of Migration and Immigration in Europe, London, Sage Publications.
8. KING, R. (1995). European international migration 1945-90: a statistical and geographical overview, in R. King (ed), Mass Migration to Europe: The Legacy and the Future, John Wiley & Sons, pp. 19-39.

9. LEVY, P. I. (1997). A Political-economic analysis of free trade agreements. American Economic Review, 87, pp. 506-519.
10. MARKUSEN, J. R. (1983) Factor movements and commodity trade as complements. Journal of International Economics, 14, pp. 341-356.
11. MARKUSEN, J. R., SVENSSON, L. E. O. (1985) Trade in goods and factors with international differences in technology. International Economic Review, 26, pp. 175-192.
12. MAYER, W., (1984). Endogenous tariff formation. American Economic Review, 74, pp. 970-985.
13. MUNDELL, R. A. (1957). International trade and factor mobility. American Economic Review, 47, pp. 321-335.
14. NEARY, J. P. (1995). Factor mobility and international trade. The Canadian Journal of Economics, 28, pp. S4-S23.
15. OECD (2003). Trends in International Migration: The 2003 SOPEMI Report, Paris, OECD
16. RIVERA-BATIZ, F. L. (2001). Illegal immigrants in the US economy: a comparative analysis of Mexican and non-Mexican undocumented workers, in S. DJAJIC (ed), International Migration: Trends, policies and economic impact, London and New York, Routledge, pp. 180-203.
17. SJAASTAD, L. A. (1962). The costs and returns of human migration. Journal of Political Economy, 70, pp. 80-93.
18. SVENSSON, L. E. O. (1984). Factor trade and goods trade, Journal of International Economics, 16, pp. 365-378.
19. WHITE, P. E. (1986). International migration in the 1970s: evolution or revolution? in FINDLAY, A.M. and WHITE, P.E. (eds), West European population change, Croom Helm, London, pp. 50-80.
20. WONG, K. Y. (1986). Are international trade and factor mobility substitutes?. Journal of International Economics, 21, pp. 25-44.
21. YOSHIDA, C., (2000). Illegal immigration and economic welfare, Heidelberg, Physica-Verlag.