ÇEVRESEL KUZNETS EĞRİSİ HİPOTEZİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME VE NEDENSELLİK ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’nin 1960-2010 dönemi için Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi EKC hipotezinin geçerliliğini test etmektir. Değişkenler arasındaki ilişki ARDL sınır testi ile Granger nedensellik testiyle araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonucu, EKC hipotezinin Türkiye için geçerli olduğu ve özellikle enerji tüketimi EC , finansal gelişme FD ve dışa açıklığın OP karbondioksit CO2 emisyonunu arttırdığı tespit edilmiştir. Nedensellik testi sonucuna göre, kısa dönemde FD’den CO2 emisyonuna, EC’ye ve GDP’ye doğru tek yönlü nedensellik belirlenmiştir. Uzun dönemde ise CO2 emisyonu ile EC, CO2 emisyonu ile ekonomik büyüme EG ve CO2 emisyonu ile FD arasında feed-back geri-besleme hipotezini doğrulayan bulgular elde edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi, CO2 Emisyonu, Finansal Gelişme, Dışa Açıklık, ARDL Sınır Testi

THE ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE HYPOTHESIS: COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS FOR TURKEY

Öz

ABSTARCT: The aim of study examines the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve EKC hypothesis in Turkey between the years of 1960 and 2010. The relationship among variables were researched by ARDL bound test and Granger causality analysis. As the result of analysis it is stated that the EKC hypothesis is valid for Turkey and especially energy consumption EC , financial development FD and openness OP have an increasing effect on CO2 emission. As a result of causality test, unidirectional causality from FD to CO emission, EC and EG have been found in short term. Findings which confirm the feed-back hypothesis between CO2 emission and EC, CO2 emisson and EG, CO2 emission and FD variables have been obtained in long term

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Environmental Kuznets Curve, CO2 Emissions, Financial Development, Openness, ARDL Bounds Test

Kaynakça

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