Araştırma Makalesi
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IS THE GLOBAL HEALTH SECURITY INDEX PREDICTIVE OF HEALTH SPENDINGS?

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2, 213 - 222, 22.07.2025

Öz

The current study has been designed to examine the relationship between health expenditure and the levels of global health security observed in OECD member countries and key partners. The variables analyzed in this study include the GHS index data, the share health expenditure of gross domestic product and the proportion of public health expenditure in total health expenditure. A total of 43 countries were then ordered from highest to lowest according to each variable. To assess the predictability of health expenditure in relation to the GHS Index, a Spearman rank correlation analysis was conducted. The results show a statistically significant and positive correlation (Spearman coefficient = 0.693, p = 0.00) between the GHS Index and the share of health expenditure in GDP, indicating that higher health spending as a percentage of GDP is associated with improved global health security. However, no statistically significant correlation was found between the GHS Index and the proportion of public health expenditure in total health expenditure (Spearman coefficient = 0.226, p = 0.146). The study suggests that an increase in the allocation of resources to health and potential global crises in public finances could lead to an improvement in global health security levels.

Kaynakça

  • Bell J. A. ve Nuzzo, J. B. (2021). Global health security index: Advancing collective action and accountability amid global crisis. Nuclear Threat Initiative.
  • Dieleman, J. L., Templin, T., Sadat, N., Reidy, P., Chapin, A., Foreman, K., … Kurowski, C. (2016). National spending on health by source for 184 countries between 2013 and 2040. The Lancet, 387(10037), 2521-2535.
  • Dudine, P., Hellwig, K. P. and Jahan, S. (2020). A framework for estimating health spending in response to COVID-19. July 24, 2020. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2020/07/24/A-Framework-for- Estimating-Health-Spending-in-Response-to-COVID-19-49550 (15.08 2024).
  • Evans, D. B. and Etienne, C. (2010). Health systems financing and the path to universal coverage. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 88, 402-403.
  • Fan, V. Y. and Savedoff, W. D. (2014). The health financing transition: A conceptual framework and empirical evidence. Social Science & Medicine, 105, 112-121.
  • Filippini E. L. Y. and Filippini F. (2021). Social and economic impact of COVID-19. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/research/ social-and-economic-impact-of-covid-19/ (15.08. 2024).
  • Gaies, B. (2022). Reassessing the impact of health expenditure on income growth in the face of the global sanitary crisis: The case of developing countries. The European Journal of Health Economics, 23(9), 1415-1436.
  • Glassman, A., Keller, J. M. and Smitham, E. (2023). The future of global health spending amidst multiple crises. CGD Note, Center for Global Development, Washington, DC.
  • Global Health Security Index (2021). Global health security index. Retrieved from https://ghsindex.org/ (15.08.2024).
  • Heymann, D. L., Chen, L., Takemi, K., Fidler, D. P., Tappero, J. W., Thomas, M. J., ... Rannan-Eliya, R. P. (2015). Global health security: the wider lessons from the west African Ebola virus disease epidemic. The Lancet, 385(9980), 1884-1901.
  • Khan, J. R., Awan, N., Islam, M. M. and Muurlink, O. (2020). Healthcare capacity, health expenditure, and civil society as predictors of COVID-19 case fatalities: a global analysis. Frontiers in Public Health, 8, 347.
  • Lal, A., Erondu, N. A., Heymann, D. L., Gitahi, G. and Yates, R. (2021). Fragmented health systems in COVID-19: rectifying the misalignment between global health security and universal health coverage. The Lancet, 397(10268), 61-67.
  • Leive, A. and Xu, K. (2008). Coping with out-of-pocket health payments: empirical evidence from 15 African countries. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 86(11), 849-856.
  • Marginean, S. and Orastean, R. (2022). Health spending patterns and COVID-19 crisis in European Union: A cross-country analysis. Systems, 10(6), 238.
  • Morgan, D. and Astolfi, R. (2015). Financial impact of the GFC: health care spending across the OECD. Health Economics, Policy and Law, 10(1), 7-19.
  • OECD (2024). Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/ (16.08.2024).
  • Oxley, H. and MacFarlan, M. (1994) Health care reform controlling spending and increasing efficiency. OECD Economics Department Working Papers 149: 1–125
  • Sanjeev, G. and Lucas, S. (2022). Assessment of expenditure choices by low- and low-middle-income countries during the pandemic and their impact on SDGs. CGD Policy Paper 262. Washington, DC: Center for Global.
  • Sileem, H. H. M. (2016). Health expenditure, climate changes and corruption in the MENA region: a granger causality approach. Journal of African Development, 18(2), 61-72.
  • The World Bank (2024). Global economic prospects. June 2022. Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects (05.09. 2024).
  • Thomson, S., García-Ramírez, J. A., Akkazieva, B., Habicht, T., Cylus, J. and Evetovits, T. (2022). How resilient is health financing policy in Europe to economic shocks? Evidence from the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2008 global financial crisis. Health Policy, 126(1), 7-15.
  • Warner, M. and Zaranko, B. (2022). NHS funding, resources and treatment volumes. The Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • WHO (2022). Global spending on health: rising to the pandemic’s challenges. Geneva: World Health Organization.
  • WHO (2010). World health report 2010—health systems financing: The path to universal coverage. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/whr/2010/en/ (15.08. 2024).
  • World Bank (2024). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator (15.08.2024)
  • World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2024). Our world in data. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/indicators (15.08.2024)

KÜRESEL SAĞLIK GÜVENLİĞİ İNDEKSİ SAĞLIK HARCAMALARINI BELİRLER Mİ?

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2, 213 - 222, 22.07.2025

Öz

Bu çalışma, OECD üye ülkeleri ve temel ortaklarında gözlemlenen küresel sağlık güvenliği düzeyleri ile sağlık harcamaları arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemek üzere tasarlanmıştır. Bu çalışmada kullanılan değişkenler GHS indeksi verileri, gayri safi yurtiçi hasıladaki sağlık harcamalarının payı ve toplam sağlık harcamalarındaki kamu sağlık harcamalarının oranıdır. 43 ülke her değişkene göre en yüksekten en düşüğe doğru sıralanmıştır. Sağlık harcamaları ve GHS indeksinin öngörülebilirliğini değerlendirmek için bir Spearman sıralaması korelasyonu yürütülmüş ve sağlık harcamaları ve GHS indeksiyle ilgili değişkenler karşılaştırılmıştır. GHS indeksi ile gayri safi yurtiçi hasıladaki sağlık harcamalarının payı arasındaki Spearman korelasyon katsayısı 0,693 olup p değeri 0,00'dır. Küresel sağlık güvenliği ile gayri safi yurtiçi hasıladaki sağlık harcamalarının payı arasında anlamlı ve pozitif bir ilişki bulunduğu görülmüştür (p < .05). GHS indeksi ile kamu harcamalarındaki toplam sağlık harcamalarının payı arasındaki Spearman korelasyon katsayısı 0,226 olup p değeri 0,146'dır. Spearman korelasyon katsayısına göre, küresel sağlık güvenliği ile kamu harcamalarındaki sağlık harcamalarının payı arasında anlamlı bir ilişki bulunmadığı görülmüştür. Sonuç olarak, sağlığa ayrılan kaynak tahsisinin artırılması ve kamu maliyesinde yaşanabilecek küresel krizlerin, küresel sağlık güvenliği seviyelerinde iyileşmeyle çözülebileceği düşünülmektedir.

Etik Beyan

Çalışmada ikincil veri kullanıldığı için etik kurul izni alınmamıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Bell J. A. ve Nuzzo, J. B. (2021). Global health security index: Advancing collective action and accountability amid global crisis. Nuclear Threat Initiative.
  • Dieleman, J. L., Templin, T., Sadat, N., Reidy, P., Chapin, A., Foreman, K., … Kurowski, C. (2016). National spending on health by source for 184 countries between 2013 and 2040. The Lancet, 387(10037), 2521-2535.
  • Dudine, P., Hellwig, K. P. and Jahan, S. (2020). A framework for estimating health spending in response to COVID-19. July 24, 2020. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2020/07/24/A-Framework-for- Estimating-Health-Spending-in-Response-to-COVID-19-49550 (15.08 2024).
  • Evans, D. B. and Etienne, C. (2010). Health systems financing and the path to universal coverage. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 88, 402-403.
  • Fan, V. Y. and Savedoff, W. D. (2014). The health financing transition: A conceptual framework and empirical evidence. Social Science & Medicine, 105, 112-121.
  • Filippini E. L. Y. and Filippini F. (2021). Social and economic impact of COVID-19. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/research/ social-and-economic-impact-of-covid-19/ (15.08. 2024).
  • Gaies, B. (2022). Reassessing the impact of health expenditure on income growth in the face of the global sanitary crisis: The case of developing countries. The European Journal of Health Economics, 23(9), 1415-1436.
  • Glassman, A., Keller, J. M. and Smitham, E. (2023). The future of global health spending amidst multiple crises. CGD Note, Center for Global Development, Washington, DC.
  • Global Health Security Index (2021). Global health security index. Retrieved from https://ghsindex.org/ (15.08.2024).
  • Heymann, D. L., Chen, L., Takemi, K., Fidler, D. P., Tappero, J. W., Thomas, M. J., ... Rannan-Eliya, R. P. (2015). Global health security: the wider lessons from the west African Ebola virus disease epidemic. The Lancet, 385(9980), 1884-1901.
  • Khan, J. R., Awan, N., Islam, M. M. and Muurlink, O. (2020). Healthcare capacity, health expenditure, and civil society as predictors of COVID-19 case fatalities: a global analysis. Frontiers in Public Health, 8, 347.
  • Lal, A., Erondu, N. A., Heymann, D. L., Gitahi, G. and Yates, R. (2021). Fragmented health systems in COVID-19: rectifying the misalignment between global health security and universal health coverage. The Lancet, 397(10268), 61-67.
  • Leive, A. and Xu, K. (2008). Coping with out-of-pocket health payments: empirical evidence from 15 African countries. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 86(11), 849-856.
  • Marginean, S. and Orastean, R. (2022). Health spending patterns and COVID-19 crisis in European Union: A cross-country analysis. Systems, 10(6), 238.
  • Morgan, D. and Astolfi, R. (2015). Financial impact of the GFC: health care spending across the OECD. Health Economics, Policy and Law, 10(1), 7-19.
  • OECD (2024). Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/ (16.08.2024).
  • Oxley, H. and MacFarlan, M. (1994) Health care reform controlling spending and increasing efficiency. OECD Economics Department Working Papers 149: 1–125
  • Sanjeev, G. and Lucas, S. (2022). Assessment of expenditure choices by low- and low-middle-income countries during the pandemic and their impact on SDGs. CGD Policy Paper 262. Washington, DC: Center for Global.
  • Sileem, H. H. M. (2016). Health expenditure, climate changes and corruption in the MENA region: a granger causality approach. Journal of African Development, 18(2), 61-72.
  • The World Bank (2024). Global economic prospects. June 2022. Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects (05.09. 2024).
  • Thomson, S., García-Ramírez, J. A., Akkazieva, B., Habicht, T., Cylus, J. and Evetovits, T. (2022). How resilient is health financing policy in Europe to economic shocks? Evidence from the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2008 global financial crisis. Health Policy, 126(1), 7-15.
  • Warner, M. and Zaranko, B. (2022). NHS funding, resources and treatment volumes. The Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • WHO (2022). Global spending on health: rising to the pandemic’s challenges. Geneva: World Health Organization.
  • WHO (2010). World health report 2010—health systems financing: The path to universal coverage. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/whr/2010/en/ (15.08. 2024).
  • World Bank (2024). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator (15.08.2024)
  • World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2024). Our world in data. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/indicators (15.08.2024)
Toplam 26 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular İş Sistemleri (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Nazan Kartal 0000-0002-5416-7952

Yayımlanma Tarihi 22 Temmuz 2025
Gönderilme Tarihi 15 Kasım 2024
Kabul Tarihi 30 Ocak 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Kartal, N. (2025). IS THE GLOBAL HEALTH SECURITY INDEX PREDICTIVE OF HEALTH SPENDINGS? Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 26(2), 213-222.