EKONOMİK KOMPLEKSİTENİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜMEYE ETKİSİ: OECD ÜLKELERİ İÇİN PANEL KOENTEGRASYON ANALİZİ

Yıl 2025, Sayı: 16, 156 - 167, 30.12.2025

Ercan Yaşar , Sena Gedizli

https://doi.org/10.58627/dpuiibf.1821719

Öz

Son yıllarda Hausmann ve Hidalgo (2009) tarafından geliştirilen ve istikrarlı bir ekonomik büyümenin
yaratılması anlamında kulanılan ekonomik kompleksite, ülkelerin hem gelir hem de büyüme farklılıklarını
açıklamada yardımcı olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada 36 OECD ülkesinde 1995-2019 yılları arasında ekonomik
kompleksitenin, ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi analiz edilmektedir. Çalışmada ekonomik kompleksite ve
ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi panel eşbütünleşme testi ile analiz edilmektedir. Bu kapsamda ilk önce yatay kesit
bağımlılığı ve homojenite testi yapılmaktadır. Çıkan sonuçlara göre birim kök testi ve ardından panel
eşbütünleşme testi uygulanıp, veriler arası eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olup olmadığına bakılmaktadır. Son olarak ise
uzun dönemli katsayı testi uygulanmaktadır. CCE Ortalama Grup tahmincisi modeli sonucunda elde edilen
bulgular Ekonomik kompleksitenin (ECI) ekonomik büyüme (GDPPCG) üzerindeki etkisinin istatistiksel olarak
anlamlı olduğu ve ECI değişkeninde meydana gelecek bir birimlik artışın GDPPCG değişkenini 3.014 birim
artırdığı belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Karmaşıklık , Ekonomik Büyüme , Panel Eşbütünleşme

THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC COMPLEXITY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: A PANEL COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS FOR OECD COUNTRIES

Öz

In recent years, the concept of economic complexity, developed by Hausmann and Hidalgo (2009), has emerged as a significant analytical framework for explaining the determinants of sustained economic growth. Economic complexity helps elucidate the disparities in both income levels and growth performance across countries by capturing the diversity and knowledge intensity embedded in their production structures. This study investigates the impact of economic complexity on economic growth for 36 OECD countries over the period 1995–2019. The relationship between economic complexity and economic growth is examined using panel cointegration analysis. Within this framework, cross-sectional dependence and homogeneity tests are first conducted. Based on these results, appropriate panel unit root tests and subsequently panel cointegration tests are applied to determine whether a long-run equilibrium relationship exists among the variables. Finally, long-run coefficient estimates are obtained. The findings derived from the Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (CCE-MG) estimator reveal that economic complexity (ECI) exerts a statistically significant and positive effect on economic growth (GDPPCG). Specifically, a one-unit increase in the ECI variable leads to an estimated 3.014-unit increase in GDPPCG.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Keywords: Economic Complexity , Economic Growth , Panel Cointegration , OECD Countries.

Kaynakça

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