TÜRKİYE ÖDEMELER BİLANÇOSU DENGESİNİN SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİRLİĞİ: SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2011, Sayı: 29, - , 20.06.2015

İsmet Göçer

Öz

In this paper, the sustainability of the balance of payments equilibrium in Turkey has been studied by bounds testing approach using the data between 1992: M01-2010: M11. The empirical evidence of the study suggests that cointegration relationship has been between the balance of payments revenues and expenses. In short-term deviations between the series ceased to exist long-term and long-term revenues to balance of payments, balance of payments costs were supported by the strong sense. Based on these results, it can be said that the balance of payments equilibrium in Turkey is sustainable

Anahtar Kelimeler

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TÜRKİYE ÖDEMELER BİLANÇOSU DENGESİNİN SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİRLİĞİ: SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de ödemeler bilançosu dengesinin sürdürülebilirliği, sınır testi yaklaşımı kullanılarak, 1992:M01–2010:M11 dönemi için araştırılmıştır. Çalışmanın ampirik kanıtlarına göre, ödemeler bilançosu gelirleri ile giderleri arasında eş bütünleşme ilişkisinin olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Kısa dönemde seriler arasında meydana gelen sapmaların uzun dönemde ortadan kalktığı ve uzun dönemde ödemeler bilançosu gelirlerinin, ödemeler bilançosu giderlerini güçlü anlamda desteklediği görülmüştür. Elde edilen sonuçlara dayanarak, Türkiye’ de ödemeler bilançosu dengesinin sürdürülebilir olduğu söylenebilir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ödemeler Bilançosu, Sürdürülebilirlik, Sınır Testi

Kaynakça

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