Proje İzlemede Sahteciliğin Önlenmesi İçin Yapay Zeka Destekli Anomali Tespiti

Öz

Proje ilerlemesinin doğru izlenmesi, zamanında teslimat, maliyet kontrolü ve dolandırıcılığın önlenmesi için çok önemlidir. Gerçek hatalardan, çalışan yetersizliklerinden veya dahili tehditlerden kaynaklanan ilerleme raporlamasındaki sorunlar, büyük projeler için önemli riskler oluşturur. Bu çalışma, proje takibindeki veri tutarsızlıklarını, hileli raporlamayı ve diğer sıradışılıkları belirlemek için istatistiksel ve makina öğrenmesi tekniklerini incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Gerçek ve kirli veriler de dahil olmak üzere bir projenin 118 haftalık anlık görüntülerinden oluşan bir veri kümesini kullanan bu araştırma, sıradışılıkları belirlemede çeyreklik aralığın (interquartile range, IQR), izolasyon ormanının (isolation forest, IF) ve bileşik yaklaşımların etkinliğini değerlendirir. Sonuçlar, etkili proje yönetimi için eniyilenmiş bir tespit çerçevesi önerirken istatistiksel ve makina öğrenmesi modellerinin güçlü ve zayıf yönlerini vurgular.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Siber Güvenlik
• Anomali Tespiti
• Veri Zehirlenmesi Saldırıları
• Hileli Raporlama Tespiti
• Proje Yönetimi
• Dahili Tehdit Tespiti

AI-Driven Anomaly Detection for Fraud Prevention in Project Monitoring

Abstract

Accurate tracking of project progress is crucial for timely delivery, cost control, and fraud prevention. Issues in progress reporting, whether due to real mistakes, employee inefficiencies, or internal threats, present considerable risks to major projects. This study aims to examine statistical and machine learning techniques to identify data inconsistencies, fraudulent reporting, and other anomalies in project tracking. Utilizing a dataset of 118 weekly snapshots, including genuine and tainted data, this research assesses the effectiveness of the interquartile range, isolation forest, and an ensemble approach in detecting anomalies. The results underscore the strengths and weaknesses of statistical and machine learning models while proposing an optimal detection framework for effective project management.

Keywords

• Cybersecurity
• Anomaly Detection
• Data Poisoning Attacks
• Fraudulent Reporting Detection
• Insider Threat Detection
• Project Management

Kaynakça

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