The Wealth Effect Of Carbon Taxes On Energy Intense Sectors In Turkey: General Equilibrium Analysis

Öz

In this study, the effect of post-Kyoto carbon tax in the case of emissions liabilities of Turkey examined with General Equilibrium Analysis. Analysis carried out with the input-output table latest published by TUIK (2002) based on the in energy-intensive and non-energy intensive sectors are aggregated. As a result of the analysis it was found that carbon taxes was negative impact on GDP

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Energy Sector,Carbon Tax,General Equilibrium Analsis,Turkey,GAMS

Türkiye'de Enerji Yoğun Sektörler Üzerine Uygulanan Karbon Vergilerinin Refah Üzerindeki Etkileri: Genel Denge Analizi

Öz

Çalışmada, Kyoto sonrası dönemde olası emisyon yükümlülüğü durumunda Türkiye’nin uygulayacağı karbon vergilerinin etkisi Genel Denge Analizi ile incelenmiştir. Analiz TUİK tarafından yayınlanan en son 2002 yılı Girdi-Çıktı tablosu baz alınarak enerji yoğun olan ve enerji yoğun olmayan sektörlerin toplulaştırılarak yapılmıştır. Analiz sonucunda karbon vergilerinin GSYİH üzerinde negatif etkisinin olduğu görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Enerji Sektörü,Karbon Vergisi,Genel Denge Analizi,Türkiye,GAMS

Kaynakça

1. Arrow, K. J. (1974), “General Economic Equilibrium: Purpose, Analytic Techniques, Collective Choice,” The American Economic Review, June 1974, 253-272.
2. Arrow, K. J, G. Debreu (1954), “Existence of An Equilibrium for A Competitive Economy,” Econometrica 22, 265-290.
3. Aydın, L. (2007), “Enerji Politikalarının Türkiye Ekonomisi Üzerine Etkileri: Türkiye İçin Genel Denge Analizi”, Ankara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bil. Ens. Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Ankara, 8-13.
4. Böhringer, C. (1998), “The Synthesis of Bottom-up and Top-down in Energy Policy Modeling”, Energy Economics, 20(3), 233-248.
5. Bulutay, T. (1979), Genel Denge Kuramı, Ankara: Ankara Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Yayınları No:434.
6. Derviş, K., J. De Melo ve S. Robinson (1982), General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
7. Gale, D. (1955) “The Law of Supply And Demand,” Mathematica Scandivica, Vol: 3, ss: 155-169.
8. Jorgenson, D. and P. Wilcoxen (1990), “Environmental Regulation and Us Economic Growth”, The Rand Journal of Economics, 21(2), 314-340.

9. Koutsoyiannis, A. (1997), Modern Mikro İktisat, Gazi Kitabevi, Çev: Muzaffer Sarımeşeli, Ankara.
10. Köse, A. H. ve E. Yeldan (1996), “Çok Sektörlü Hesaplanabilir Genel Denge Modellerinin Veri Tabanı Üzerine Notlar: Türkiye 1990 Sosyal Hesaplamalar Matrisi”, ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, 23(1), 59-60.
11. Mas-Colell, A., M. Whinston, and J. Green (1995), Microeconomic Theory, Oxford Univer-Sity Press New York.
12. McKenzie, L. (1954) “On Equilibrium in Graham’s Model of World Trade And Other Competitive Systems,” Econometrica, 22, 147-161.
13. McKitrick, R. (1998), “The Econometric Critique of Computable General Equilibrium Mod-Eling: The Role of Functional Forms”, Economic Modelling, 15(4), 543-573.
14. Neumann, J. V. (1946) “A Model of General Economic Equilibrium,” Review of Economic Studies, Vol: 13, ss: 1-9.
15. Norton, B., R. Costanza, and R. Bishop (1998), “The Evolution of Preferences:: Why Sovereign' preferences May Not Lead to Sustainable Policies and What to Do About It”, Ecological Economics, 24(2-3), 193-211.
16. Panagariya, A. and R. Duttagupta R (2001) “The Gains From Preferential Trade Liberalization In The CGE Models”, Regionalism and Globalization: Theory Andpractice, 39.
17. Rivers, N. (2011), “Modelling Climate Change Policy: Adderssing the Challanges of Policy Effectiveness and Political Acceptability”, Simon Fraser University, Ph. D. Thesis, 29 March 2011, 20-42.
18. Rutherford, T. (1995), “Extension of Gams for Complementarity Problems Arising in Applied Economic Analysis”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 19(8), 1299-1324.
19. Sayan, S. (1994), “An Analysis of the Effect of Changes in Saving Rates Using Neoclasical CGE Models:Lessons From Analytical Solutions To Simple Two-Sector Models with Endogenous Interset Rates”, Bilkent University Discussion Paper, No:94-11, 1-16.
20. Scarf, H. (1990), “Mathematical Programming and Economic Theory,” Cowles Foundation Paper, 763, 377-385.
21. Sue-Wing, I. (2004), “Computable General Equilibrium Models And Their Use İn Economy-Wide Policy Analysis”, Technical Report 6, MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change.
22. Ünlükaplan, İ. (2006), “Kamu Borçlanması ve Nesiller Arası Yük Sorunu”, Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bil. Ens. Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Adana, 37-69.
23. Wald, A. (1951) “On Some Systems of Equations of Mathematical Economics,” Econometrica, Volume: 19(4), ss.368-403.
24. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/AltKategori.do?ust_id=16, (Erişim: 03.010.2012).