Migration and Economic Growth Relationship: An Analysis Based on Selected OECD Countries

Yıl 2017, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 4, 491 - 502, 01.12.2017

Abdullah Göv Zerrin Dürrü

Öz

Migration flows, which vary according to the level of development of the imigrating and emigrating country have direct or indirect effects on employment and economic growth in the municipial countries. In this study, 2000-2016 period annual data of selected 7 OECD membership countries were used to determine the relationship between economic growth and migration. As an immigration agent (IMG); the foreign-born population employment rate (%) as a percentage of the immigrant population that subsequently went to the target country born in the foreign country, the annual growth rate per capita gross domestic product per capita gdp growth rate,%) data have used for for the 7 countries panel data set in the analysis of the economic growth and migration relation through the panel causality test developed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012). Both the two variables are included in the analysis as percent. As a result, to be from IMG to GDP, it has a one-direct panel Granger causality relationship between IMG and GDP

Anahtar Kelimeler

Migration, Economic Growth, Panel Unit Root, Panel Causality

Göç ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Seçilmiş OECD Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz

Öz

Göç veren ve göç alan ülkenin gelişmişlik düzeyine göre çeşitlilik gösteren göç akımları göçe taraf ülkelerde istihdam ve ekonomik büyüme üzerinde doğrudan ya da dolaylı etkiler yaratmaktadır. Bu çalışmada ekonomik büyüme ve göç olgusu arasındaki ilişkiyi tespit etmede seçilmiş 7 OECD üyesi ülkenin 2000-2016 dönemi yıllık verileri kullanılmıştır. Ekonomik büyüme ve göç ilişkisine yönelik Dumitrescu ve Hurlin (2012) tarafından geliştirilen panel nedensellik testi üzerinden yapılan analizde 7 ülkeden oluşan panel veri seti için göç değişkeni olarak(IMG); yabancı ülkede doğmuş hedef ülkeye sonradan giden göçmen populasyonun %’si olarak yabancı ülke doğumluların istihdam oranı (%), ekonomik büyüme değişkeni olarak(GDP) da, kişi başı gayri safi yurtiçi hasıladaki yıllık büyüme oranı dataları kullanılmıştır. Sonuç olarak, IMG’den GDP’ye olmak üzere IMG ve GDP arasında tek yönlü bir panel Granger nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu sonucu elde edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Göç, Ekonomik Büyüme, Panel Birim Kök, Panel Nedensellik

Kaynakça

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