TURİZM SEKTÖRÜ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKI İLİŞKİ : OECD’ye DAHİL 7 BATI AVRUPA ÜLKELERİ ÜZERİNDEN PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışma, OECD bünyesine dahil olan yedi Batı Avrupa ülkesi: Almanya, Avusturya, Belçika, Fransa, Hollanda, İrlanda, Birleşik Krallık’da ekonomik büyüme ve turizm gelişimi arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektedir. Çalışmada kullanılacak veriler 1988-2015 yılları arasını, 27 yıllık bir süreci kapsamaktadır. Araştırmanın amacı, ekonomik büyüme ve turizm gelişimi arasındaki uzun vadeli ilişkiyi, kişi başına düşen turizm’den gelen gerçek gelirleri, kişi başına düşen uluslararası turist sayısı, gerçek etkili döviz kuru ve kişi başına reel GSYİH ‘yı çok değişkenli bir modelde araştırmaktır. Yapılan literatür taramalarında turizm sektörü ve ekonomik büyüme arasındakı ilişkinin çalışmada kullanılan panel veri setiyle araştırılmadığı kanaatine varılmıştır. Bölgesel olarak OECD ülkeleri arasında Batı Avrupa ile ilgili yapılan araştırmaların da yok denilecek kadar olması, araştırmanın motivasyonuna destek niteliğindedir. Araştırmada heterojen panel eşbütünleşme tekniği kullanılmıştır. Bu hedef doğrultusunda panel verileri kullanılarak panel eşbütünleşmesi ve tamamen değiştirilmiş normal en küçük kareler (FMOLS) testleri yapılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Turizm
• Turizm gelişimi
• ekenomik büyüme
• panel veri analizi
• Batı Avrupa
• FMOLS.

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TOURISM SECTOR AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS ON 7 WEST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES INCLUDING THE OECD

Öz

This study examines the relationship between economic growth and tourism development in seven Western European countries included in OECD: Germany, Austria, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the United Kingdom. The data to be used in the study covers a period of 27 years between 1988-2015. The aim of the research is to investigate the long-term relationship between economic growth and tourism development, real income from per capita tourism, the number of international tourists per capita, real effective exchange rate and real GDP per capita in a multivariate model. It was concluded that the relationship between the tourism sector and economic growth was not explored with the panel data set used in the study. The fact that the researches on Western Europe among OECD countries regionally are negligible also support the motivation of the research. In the research, heterogeneous panel cointegration technique was used. In line with this goal, panel cointegration and completely modified normal least squares (FMOLS) tests were performed using panel data.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Tourism
• tourısm development
• economic growth
• panel data analysis
• Western Europe
• FMOLS.

Kaynakça

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