Alternatif ve Nükleer Enerji Tüketimi ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: Fransa Örneği

Yıl 2019, , 302 - 313, 31.12.2019

Salih Özdemir

https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.587832

Öz

Enerji
tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi anlamak, hedeflenen
sürdürülebilir ekonomik büyümenin devamlılığını sağlamak adına önemli bir
husustur. Enerjinin ekonomik kalkınmadaki önemi hem yenilenebilir hem de
tükenebilir enerji kaynaklarının sürdürülebilirliğini sağlama çabası, enerji
tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik bağlantısının ampirik olarak
incelenmesini tetiklemiştir. Bu amaçla çalışmada Fransa ekonomisinin 1970-2015
döneminde alternatif ve nükleer enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki
nedensellik ve eşbütünleşme ilişkisi incelenmektedir. Johansen eşbütünleşme
testi sonucuna göre serilerin uzun dönemde birlikte hareket ettikleri tespit
edilmiştir. Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi sonucunda ise alternatif ve nükleer
enerji tüketiminden ekonomik büyümeye doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin
varlığı tespit edilmiştir. Fransa ekonomisi için ulaşılan bu sonuç
sürdürülebilir büyüme için gerekli olan enerji tüketiminin zorunluluğunu ortaya
koymaktadır. Enerji tüketiminde meydana gelen azalmanın büyümeyi azalttığını
ifade eden büyüme hipotezini destekleyen bu bulgu sonucunda politika
yapıcıların alternatif ve nükleer enerji tüketimini azaltmaya yönelik
uygulayacakları enerji tasarrufu politikalarının ekonomik büyümeye olumsuz
etkilerinin olacağını açıkça işaret etmektedir.  

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik büyüme, Alternatif Enenerji Tüketimi, Nükleer Enerji, Nedensellik

The Causality Relationship between Alternative and Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from France

Öz

Understanding the relationship between energy
consumption and economic growth is an important issue to ensure the persistence
of the targeted sustainable economic growth. The importance of energy in
economic development and sustaining renewable and consumable energy sources is
triggered the empirical examination of causal relation between energy
consumption and economic growth. To this end this study examines the causality
and cointegration relationship between alternative and nuclear energy
consumption and economic growth for the period 1970-2015 in France. The
Johansen cointegration results indicate that the variables are cointegrated in
the long-run. The Toda-Yamamoto causality results, on the other hand, indicate
unidirectional causality running from alternative and nuclear energy to
economic growth. This result reveals the necessity of energy consumption for
sustainable growth in France. As a result of this finding, which supports the
growth hypothesis that decrease in energy consumption decreases growth, it is
clear that the energy saving policies implemented by policy makers to reduce
nuclear energy consumption will have negative effects on economic growth in
France.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, Alternative Energy Consumption, Nuclear Energy, Causality

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