OECD Ülkelerinde CO2 Emisyonu, Elektrik Tüketimi ve Büyüme İlişkisi

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 45, 115 - 141, 20.07.2015

Suzan Ergün Melike Atay Polat

https://doi.org/10.18070/euiibfd.89737

Cited By: 27

Öz

 Bu çalışmada, 1980-2010 yılları arasında OECD ülkelerinde CO₂ emisyonu, elektrik tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasında ilişki olup olmadığı analiz edilmiştir. Panel eşbütünleşme testleri sonucunda 30 OECD ülkesinde CO₂ emisyonu, Gayri Safi Yurtiçi Hasıla (GSYH) ve elektrik tüketimi arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır. Uzun dönem tahminciler 30 OECD ülkesinin çoğunluğunda elektrik tüketimi ve CO₂ emisyonu arasında istatistiki olarak anlamlı bir ilişkinin olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca, CO₂ emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme arasında doğrusal olmayan bir ilişkinin varlığını ifade eden Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi (ÇKE) hipotezini destekleyen sonuçlara ulaşılmıştır. Son olarak Panel Vektör Hata Düzeltme Modeli (VECM) sonuçları 30 OECD ülkesinde kısa dönemde GSYH ile CO₂ emisyonu arasında tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi olduğu ve GSYH ile elektrik tüketimi arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma, Enerji, Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi, Panel Birim Kök, Eşbütünleşme ve Panel VECM.

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