Araştırma Makalesi

Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis

Cilt: 13 Sayı: 3 31 Aralık 2020
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Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis

Öz

Accurate and timely prediction of fruits production plays a significant role in the agriculture industry. Therefore, it is very important to predict of citrus fruits production. In this study, prediction the production amount of different citrus fruits for a city of Turkey (Adana) is aimed. Orange, mandarin and bigarade are included as citrus products and the production amounts of ten years are used as dataset. Artificial neural network (ANN) and linear regression analysis are performed for predicting the production amounts. A feed forward neural network is proposed with regarding some inputs such as districts of Adana, product types, product specific plant area, average yield per tree, number of fruitless trees, number of fruit trees, total number of trees, population, inflation rate, total fruit area, temperature, average rainfall. The obtained results in which the R2 values are greater than 0.98 for all datasets show us that the proposed method can predict the production amount accurately regarding the input parameters.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Alp, M. and Cığızoğlu, K. (2004). “Farklı yapay sinir aği metotları ile yağış-akiş ilişkisinin modellenmesi”. İTÜ Dergisi/ D Mühendislik 3(1), 80-88.
  2. Baş, N. (2006). “Yapay sinir ağları yaklaşımı ve bir uygulama.” Mimar sinan güzel sanatlar üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul.
  3. Çolak, C., Çolak, C.M., and Atıcı, M.A. (2005). “Ateroskloroz’un tahmini için bir yapay sinir ağı”, Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası , 58, 159-162.
  4. Elizondo, D.A., McClendon, R.W., Hoongenboom, G. (1994). “Neural network models for predicting flowering and physiological maturity of soybean”. Transactions of the ASABE 37, 981–988
  5. Fiona, M. R., Thomas, S., Maria, I. J., and Hannah, B. (2019). “Identification Of Ripe And Unripe Citrus Fruits Using Artificial Neural Network”. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1362(1), 012033.
  6. Grossberg, S. (1988). “Nonlinear neural networks: principles. Mechanisms, and architectures”, Neural Networks 1(1), 17-61.
  7. Ho, S.L., Xie, M., and Goh, T.N. (2002). “A comparative study of neural network and box-jenkins arima modeling in time series prediction”, Comput. Ind. Eng. 42, 371-375.
  8. Kisi, Ö. (2004). “Multi-layer perceptrons with Levenberg-Marquardt training algorithm for suspended sediment concentration prediction and estimation / Prévision et estimation de la concentration en matières en suspension avec des perceptrons multi-couches et l’algorithme d’apprentissage de Levenberg-Marquardt,” Hydrological Sciences Journal, 49(6),1025-1040.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Mühendislik

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

31 Aralık 2020

Gönderilme Tarihi

24 Ocak 2020

Kabul Tarihi

27 Ekim 2020

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2020 Cilt: 13 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA
Göçmen, E., & Kuvvetli, Y. (2020). Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology, 13(3), 972-983. https://doi.org/10.18185/erzifbed.679531
AMA
1.Göçmen E, Kuvvetli Y. Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology. 2020;13(3):972-983. doi:10.18185/erzifbed.679531
Chicago
Göçmen, Elifcan, ve Yusuf Kuvvetli. 2020. “Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis”. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology 13 (3): 972-83. https://doi.org/10.18185/erzifbed.679531.
EndNote
Göçmen E, Kuvvetli Y (01 Aralık 2020) Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology 13 3 972–983.
IEEE
[1]E. Göçmen ve Y. Kuvvetli, “Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis”, Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology, c. 13, sy 3, ss. 972–983, Ara. 2020, doi: 10.18185/erzifbed.679531.
ISNAD
Göçmen, Elifcan - Kuvvetli, Yusuf. “Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis”. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology 13/3 (01 Aralık 2020): 972-983. https://doi.org/10.18185/erzifbed.679531.
JAMA
1.Göçmen E, Kuvvetli Y. Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology. 2020;13:972–983.
MLA
Göçmen, Elifcan, ve Yusuf Kuvvetli. “Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis”. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology, c. 13, sy 3, Aralık 2020, ss. 972-83, doi:10.18185/erzifbed.679531.
Vancouver
1.Elifcan Göçmen, Yusuf Kuvvetli. Prediction of Citrus Fruits Production using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear Regression Analysis. Erzincan University Journal of Science and Technology. 01 Aralık 2020;13(3):972-83. doi:10.18185/erzifbed.679531

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