THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A SUSTAINABLE RELATIONSHIP?
Öz
In this study, the relationship between growth in the construction sector and economic growth in Turkey which is one of the developing countries is examined. Total Construction Turnover Index and Gross Domestic Product data between 2005/Q1 and 2017/Q4 periods were accessed from the official website of the Turkish Statistical Institute. Structural breaks were also taken into consideration due to the crises encountered in the construction sector and economy in the period under review. In order to determine the stationarity of the variables, one and two-break Lee-Strazicich unit root tests were used in addition to the conventional unit root tests. In this period, where significant breaks were determined, the long-run relationship between the variables was investigated by Hatemi-J two unkown structural breaks cointegration analysis. According to this, considering two significant breaks in the periods of 2009/Q4 and 2013/Q3, a long-run relationship was determined between growth in the construction sector and economic growth. Then, the Wald coefficient test was performed to identify whether this determined relationship was sustainable.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Alhowaish, A. K. (2015). "Causality between the construction sector and economic growth: the case of Saudi Arabia." International Real Estate Review, 18(1), 131-147.
- Aschauer, D. A. (1989). Is public expenditure productive?. Journal of Monetary Economics, 23, 177-200.
- Banaitienė, N., Banaitis, A., Laučys, M. (2015). Foreign direct investment and growth: analysis of the construction sector in the Baltic States. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management 21(6), 813-826.
- Eurostat (2012), https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/publications/statistical-reports
- Giang, D.T.H., Pheng, L.S. (2011). Role of construction in economic development: Review of key concepts in the past 40 years. Habitat International, 35(1), 118-125.
- Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of econometrics, 70(1), 99-126.
- Gruneberg, S. L. (1997). Construction economics: An introduction. Basingstoke:Macmillan.
- Hatemi-J, A. (2008). Tests for cointegration with two unknown regime shifts with an application to financial market integration, Empir Econ, 35, 497–505.
Ayrıntılar
Birincil Dil
İngilizce
Konular
-
Bölüm
Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar
Sultan Kuzu Yıldırım
*
Türkiye
Yayımlanma Tarihi
4 Eylül 2019
Gönderilme Tarihi
25 Mart 2019
Kabul Tarihi
18 Temmuz 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı
Yıl 2019 Cilt: 15 Sayı: 1