Ev sahibi avantajı ve maç sonuçları arasındaki ilişki: seyirci büyüklüğünün rolü

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 1, 41 - 50

Abdullah Yiğit Güngör

https://doi.org/10.70053/esas.1641098

Öz

Bu çalışma ev sahibi avantajı ile maç sonuçları arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda; seyirci büyüklüğünün galibiyet, beraberlik, mağlubiyet ve gol sayıları ile ilişkisi incelenmiştir. Ayrıca, maç lokasyonu çerçevesini doğrulamak için seyirci büyüklüğünün galibiyetler üzerindeki etkisinde atılan gollerin aracılık rolü test edilmiştir. Çalışmanın araştırma tasarımı, nicel araştırma tasarımları arasından kesitsel, ilişkisel ve nedenseldir. İlk olarak, değişkenler arasındaki ilişki araştırılmıştır. Bu amaçla tanımlayıcı istatistikler ve korelasyon kullanılmıştır. Ardından, atılan gol sayısının aracı etkisi Genel Doğrusal Model ile test edilmiştir. Çalışmanın örneklemi 2023-2024 sezonu için Premier Lig (İngiltere), La Liga (İspanya), Serie A (İtalya), Bundesliga (Almanya), Ligue 1 (Fransa), Primeira Liga (Portekiz), Eredivisie (Hollanda) ve Süper Lig (Türkiye) takımlarından oluşmaktadır. Pearson korelasyon analizi, seyirci sayısının galibiyet, beraberlik, mağlubiyet, atılan gol ve yenilen gol sayısı ile anlamlı bir ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. GLM aracılık analizi, seyirci büyüklüğünün kısmi olarak atılan gol sayısı yoluyla galibiyet sayısını artırdığını göstermektedir. Bu çalışma, Avrupa'nın en değerli futbol liglerinde maç lokasyonu çerçevesini desteklemektedir. Sonuç olarak, seyirci büyüklüğü futbolda maç sonuçlarını etkileyen ev sahibi avantajının önemli bir belirleyicisidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Seyirci etkisi, seyirci büyüklüğü, ev sahibi avantajı, maç lokasyonu, maç sonucu.

The relationship between home advantage and match results: the role of crowd size

Öz

This study aims to investigate the relationship between home advantage and match results. In line with this purpose; the relationship of crowd size with the number of wins, draws, losses, and goals was examined. Additionally, the mediator role of goals scored was tested for the effect of crowd size on wins to validate the game location framework. The research design of the study is cross-sectional, correlational, and causal among quantitative research designs. First, the relationship between variables was investigated. For this purpose, descriptive statistics and correlation were used. Then, the mediation effect of the number of goals scored was tested via the General Linear Model (GLM). The sample of study includes Premier League (England), La Liga (Spain), Serie A (Italy), Bundesliga (Germany), Ligue 1 (France), Primeira Liga (Portugal), Eredivisie (Netherlands), and Süper Lig (Türkiye) for the season of 2023-2024. Pearson’s correlation analysis shows that crowd size has a significant relationship with the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals conceded. GLM mediation analysis shows that crowd size increases the number of wins via number of goals scored in partial. This study supports the game location framework in the most valuable soccer leagues in Europe. As a consequence, crowd size is an important determinant of home advantage in soccer that affects the match results.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Crowd effect crowd size, home advantage, game location, match result.

Kaynakça

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