Araştırma Makalesi
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EFFECT OF INFLATION UNCERTAINTY ON CREDIT VOLUME

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 79, 1370 - 1384, 01.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.17755/esosder.713423

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Akerlof, G. (1970),"The Market for Lemons":Quality Uncertanity and the market Mechanism",The Quartely Journal of Economics,Vol.84,No:3,pp:488-500. Artan, S (2008), ‘Türkiye’de Enflasyon, Enflasyon Belirsizliği ve Büyüme’, Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi, Cilt 1, Sayı:1. Ball, L. (1992), "Why Does High Inflation Raise Inflation Uncertanity?", Journal of Monetary Economics. Vol.29. Junr 1992. pp. 411-428. Barro, R.J. (1996), "Inflation and Growth", Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, May-June 1996. Blanchard, O., Fischer J.S. (1989), "Lectures on Macroeconomics", The MIT Press. Baum, C.F., Çağlayan, M., Özkan N. (2005), "The Secands Moments Matter: The Response of Bank Lending Behavior to Macroeconomic Uncertanity", Boston Collage Working Papers in Economics.521. Burch, S. Werneke, D. (1975), “The Stock of Consumer Durables, Inflation, and Personal Saving Decisions”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 57(2): 141-154. Davis, G., Kanago B. (1996), "On Measuring The Effect of Inflation Uncertanity on Real GNP Growth", Oxford Economics Paper, Vol.48. p.163-145. Deaton, A. (1977), “Involuntary Saving through Unanticipated Inflation”, American Economic Reviews, 67: 899-910. Den Haan, W. J. (1990), “The Optimal Inflation Path in a Sidrauski-type Model with Uncertainty”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 25: 389-409 Dickey, D. A., Fuller W. A. (1979), “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Series with a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74:. 427-431. Fischer, S. (1993), "The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth" Journal of Monetary Ecomomics,Vol. 32. No.3.p.485-512. Friedman, M. (1977), "Nobel Lecture: Inflation and Unemployment", The Journal of Political Economy, Vol.85, No.3 (Jun.1977), pp. 451-472. Grier, K.B., Perry, M.J., (2000), "The effect of Real and Nominal Uncertanity on Inflation and Output Growth: Some Garch-M Evidence", Journal of applied econometrics.Vol:15.pp.45-58. Hainz, Christa (2001), "Bank Competation and Credit Markets in Transition Economies", August 22, 2001 Draft. p:4. Hasanov, M. (2008),"Enflasyon Belirsizliğinin Üretim Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği", Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi,9 (2), 191-206. Holland. S. (1986). "Wage Indexation and The Effect on Inflation Uncertanity on Employment:An Ampirical Analysis",American Ecomomic Review,Vol.76. No.I.p.235-243. Holland, A.S. (1988) Indexation and the effect of inflation uncertainty on real GNP. Journal of Business, vol. 61, pp. 473–484. Howard, D. H. (1977), “Personal Saving Behavior and the rate of Inflation”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 547-554. Jaffee, D., Russell T. (1976), "Imperfect Information, Uncertanity and Credit Rationing", Quarterly Journal of Economics.Vol:90. Issue 4. p. 651-666. Landskroner, Y. Ruthenberg, D. (1985), "Optimal Bank Behavior Under Uncertain Inflation",The Journal of Finance.Vol.XL, No:4. Leff N. H., Sato K. (1988), “A Simultaneous Equations Model of Savings in Developing Countries”, Journal of Political Economy, 83(6): 1217-1228. Markowitz, H. (1952), "Portfolio Selection", The Journal of Finance, 7(1):77-91. MacKinnon, J. .G. (1996), “Numerical Distribution Functions for Unit Root and Cointegration Tests”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 601-618. Miller M. H. (1992), “Financial innovation: achievements and prospects” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 4, 4–12. Mishkin, S.F. (1992), "Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets", The Lehigh Press, Third Edition. Mishkin, S.F. (1998), "International Capital Movements, Financial Volality annd Financial Instability",NBER Working Paper, No:6390. Mishkin, S.F. (2011), “Monetary Policy Strategy:Lessons from the Crisis”, NBER Working Paper, No:16755. Mullineaux, D.J. (1980). Unemployment, industrial production and inflation uncertainty in the United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 62, pp.163-169. Okun, M.J. (1971), "The Mirage of Steady Inflation", Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 2:1971. Pesaran, H. M., Yongcheol S., Richard S. (2001), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. Stockman, J.(1981), “Anticipated Inflation and Capital Stock in a cash-in advance economy”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 8: 387-393. Yiğit, T. M. (2009). Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Credit Markets: A Disequilibrium Approach. St. Louis University, 2, 3. Erisim 2009, www.bilkent.edu.tr/~tyigit/papers/uncertain.doc Wachtel, P. (1977),“Inflation, Uncertainty, and Saving Behavior since the Mid-1950s”, Explorations Econ., 4: 558- 78.

ENFLASYON BELİRSİZLİĞİNİN KREDİ HACMİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 79, 1370 - 1384, 01.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.17755/esosder.713423

Öz

Ekonomide enflasyon yüksekliği kadar enflasyon belirsizliği de diğer bütün sektörlerde olduğu gibi bankacılık sektörünü olumsuz etkilemektedir. Enflasyon belirsizliğinin kredi piyasasında risk oluşturmakta ve piyasa aksaklığı yaratarak kredi hacmini düşürmektedir. Çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde enflasyon belirsizliğinin banka kredi hacmi üzerindeki olası etkisini araştırılmıştır. Bu amaçla ARDL yöntemine dayalı sınır testi kullanılarak enflasyon belirsizliği ile kredi hacmi arasındaki uzun dönem ilişki incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, iki değişken arasında uzun dönemli ilişki olduğunu ve Türkiye ekonomisinde enflasyon belirsizliğinin kredi hacmini olumsuz etkilediğini göstermiştir.

Kaynakça

  • Akerlof, G. (1970),"The Market for Lemons":Quality Uncertanity and the market Mechanism",The Quartely Journal of Economics,Vol.84,No:3,pp:488-500. Artan, S (2008), ‘Türkiye’de Enflasyon, Enflasyon Belirsizliği ve Büyüme’, Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi, Cilt 1, Sayı:1. Ball, L. (1992), "Why Does High Inflation Raise Inflation Uncertanity?", Journal of Monetary Economics. Vol.29. Junr 1992. pp. 411-428. Barro, R.J. (1996), "Inflation and Growth", Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, May-June 1996. Blanchard, O., Fischer J.S. (1989), "Lectures on Macroeconomics", The MIT Press. Baum, C.F., Çağlayan, M., Özkan N. (2005), "The Secands Moments Matter: The Response of Bank Lending Behavior to Macroeconomic Uncertanity", Boston Collage Working Papers in Economics.521. Burch, S. Werneke, D. (1975), “The Stock of Consumer Durables, Inflation, and Personal Saving Decisions”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 57(2): 141-154. Davis, G., Kanago B. (1996), "On Measuring The Effect of Inflation Uncertanity on Real GNP Growth", Oxford Economics Paper, Vol.48. p.163-145. Deaton, A. (1977), “Involuntary Saving through Unanticipated Inflation”, American Economic Reviews, 67: 899-910. Den Haan, W. J. (1990), “The Optimal Inflation Path in a Sidrauski-type Model with Uncertainty”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 25: 389-409 Dickey, D. A., Fuller W. A. (1979), “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Series with a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74:. 427-431. Fischer, S. (1993), "The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth" Journal of Monetary Ecomomics,Vol. 32. No.3.p.485-512. Friedman, M. (1977), "Nobel Lecture: Inflation and Unemployment", The Journal of Political Economy, Vol.85, No.3 (Jun.1977), pp. 451-472. Grier, K.B., Perry, M.J., (2000), "The effect of Real and Nominal Uncertanity on Inflation and Output Growth: Some Garch-M Evidence", Journal of applied econometrics.Vol:15.pp.45-58. Hainz, Christa (2001), "Bank Competation and Credit Markets in Transition Economies", August 22, 2001 Draft. p:4. Hasanov, M. (2008),"Enflasyon Belirsizliğinin Üretim Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği", Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi,9 (2), 191-206. Holland. S. (1986). "Wage Indexation and The Effect on Inflation Uncertanity on Employment:An Ampirical Analysis",American Ecomomic Review,Vol.76. No.I.p.235-243. Holland, A.S. (1988) Indexation and the effect of inflation uncertainty on real GNP. Journal of Business, vol. 61, pp. 473–484. Howard, D. H. (1977), “Personal Saving Behavior and the rate of Inflation”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 547-554. Jaffee, D., Russell T. (1976), "Imperfect Information, Uncertanity and Credit Rationing", Quarterly Journal of Economics.Vol:90. Issue 4. p. 651-666. Landskroner, Y. Ruthenberg, D. (1985), "Optimal Bank Behavior Under Uncertain Inflation",The Journal of Finance.Vol.XL, No:4. Leff N. H., Sato K. (1988), “A Simultaneous Equations Model of Savings in Developing Countries”, Journal of Political Economy, 83(6): 1217-1228. Markowitz, H. (1952), "Portfolio Selection", The Journal of Finance, 7(1):77-91. MacKinnon, J. .G. (1996), “Numerical Distribution Functions for Unit Root and Cointegration Tests”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 601-618. Miller M. H. (1992), “Financial innovation: achievements and prospects” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 4, 4–12. Mishkin, S.F. (1992), "Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets", The Lehigh Press, Third Edition. Mishkin, S.F. (1998), "International Capital Movements, Financial Volality annd Financial Instability",NBER Working Paper, No:6390. Mishkin, S.F. (2011), “Monetary Policy Strategy:Lessons from the Crisis”, NBER Working Paper, No:16755. Mullineaux, D.J. (1980). Unemployment, industrial production and inflation uncertainty in the United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 62, pp.163-169. Okun, M.J. (1971), "The Mirage of Steady Inflation", Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 2:1971. Pesaran, H. M., Yongcheol S., Richard S. (2001), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. Stockman, J.(1981), “Anticipated Inflation and Capital Stock in a cash-in advance economy”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 8: 387-393. Yiğit, T. M. (2009). Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Credit Markets: A Disequilibrium Approach. St. Louis University, 2, 3. Erisim 2009, www.bilkent.edu.tr/~tyigit/papers/uncertain.doc Wachtel, P. (1977),“Inflation, Uncertainty, and Saving Behavior since the Mid-1950s”, Explorations Econ., 4: 558- 78.
Toplam 1 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Seray Erkan 0000-0002-4760-3998

Servet Ceylan 0000-0001-7475-8322

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Temmuz 2021
Gönderilme Tarihi 2 Nisan 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 20 Sayı: 79

Kaynak Göster

APA Erkan, S., & Ceylan, S. (2021). ENFLASYON BELİRSİZLİĞİNİN KREDİ HACMİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ. Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 20(79), 1370-1384. https://doi.org/10.17755/esosder.713423

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Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi (Electronic Journal of Social Sciences), Creative Commons Atıf-GayriTicari 4.0 Uluslararası Lisansı ile lisanslanmıştır.

ESBD Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi (Electronic Journal of Social Sciences), Türk Patent ve Marka Kurumu tarafından tescil edilmiştir. Marka No:2011/119849.