Dış Borç ve Askeri Harcamalar İlişkisi: Seçilmiş Orta Doğu Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Çalışma

Öz

Bu çalışma seçilmiş 5 Orta Doğu ülkesinin (İran, Lübnan, Mısır, Türkiye ve Ürdün) özelinde dış borçlar ve askeri harcamalar ilişkisini, 1990-2019 dönemi için yıllık veri seti kullanarak ampirik olarak analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Dış borçlar ve askeri harcamalar arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi Kónya’nın (2006) Bootstrap panel Granger nedensellik analizinden istifade edilerek araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonucuna göre Türkiye için dış borçtan askeri harcamalara doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu; İran ve Mısır için çift yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Lübnan ve Ürdün için ise böyle bir ilişkinin olmadığı görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Dış Borçlar
• Askeri Harcamalar
• Bootstrap Panel Granger Nedensellik Analizi
• Orta Doğu Ülkeleri

The Relation of External Debt and Military Expenditures: An Econometric Study on Selected Middle East Countries

Öz

This study aims to analyze empirically the nexus among, external debt and military expenditures in the context of selected 5 Middle East countries (Iran, Lebanon, Egypt, Turkey and Jordan) by using annual data set for the period 1990-2019. The causality relationship between external debt and military expenditures has been investigated by utilizing Kónya's (2006) Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. The results of the analysis was determined there exists a one-way causality running from external debt to military expenditures for Turkey; two-way causality relation for Iran and Egypt. But there is no such relationship for Lebanon and Jordan.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• External Debt
• Military Expenditures
• Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis
• Middle East Countries

Kaynakça

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