Effects of Terror on Tourism Activities in BRICS and MINT Countries

Öz

In the globalized world economy, economic events that bring about uncertainties have an impact on all countries. Tourism has been gaining importance in the world economy with its rapid development and significant contributions to the economy. In the meantime, increasing terror events all around the world have been affecting tourism mobility. This study aims to investigate the effects of terror events occurred in recent years on the tourist arrivals in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) countries. For this aim, bootstrap causality test based on SUR model, which was suggested by Konya (2006), was employed to data from the period 2002-2013. According to the empirical results, a unidirectional causality from tourism to terror was found only in Mexico

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Terrorism,Tourism,BRICS,MINT

Terörün BRICS ve MINT Ülkelerindeki Turizm Faaliyetleri Üzerine Etkisi

Öz

Küreselleşen dünya ekonomisinde, ekonomik açıdan belirsizliklere sebep olacak olaylar bütün ülkeleri etkilemektedir. Son yıllarda dünya ekonomisi içerisinde hızlı gelişimi ve ekonomilere olan katkısı sebebiyle turizm ülkeler açısından büyük önem kazanmıştır. Bununla birlikte, tüm dünyada artış eğiliminde olan terör olayları turizm hareketliliğini etkilemektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, son yıllarda yaşanan terör olaylarının BRICS (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin ve Güney Afrika) ve MINT (Meksika, Endonezya, Nijerya ve Türkiye) ülkelerini ziyaret eden turist sayısına olan etkilerini incelemektir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda, 2002-2013 dönemi inceleme konusu yapılmıştır. Ekonometrik yöntem olarak, Konya (2006) tarafından önerilen SUR modeline dayalı bootstrap nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçlarına göre, ele alınan BRICS ve MINT ülkelerinden yalnızca Meksika’da turizmden terörizme doğru nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Terörizm,Turizm,BRICS,MINT

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