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COVID-19 Pandemisinin Dış Ticaret Üzerine Etkisi: İstatiksel Bir Yaklaşım

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 280 - 295, 10.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.828451

Öz

COVID-19, küresel ölçekte yaşanan insani bir krizdir. COVID-19 salgınının küresel ekonomide eşi görülmemiş bir zararı olmuştur. Dünya genelinde üretim ve tüketim daralmıştır. COVID-19'un hem iktisadi yapıyı hem de uluslararası ticaret modellerini etkilemesi kimseyi şaşırtmayacaktır. Politika önerilerinden önce sorunu ve hasarı tespit etmek ise önemlidir. Bu bağlamda bu çalışmada COVID-19 pandemisinin yarattığı ticaret sorunları gösterilmek amaçlanmıştır. İstatisksel bir yöntemle dış ticaret üzerindeki etki açıklanmaya çalışılmıştır. Yapılan değerlendirmelerde Türkiye gibi ithalata bağımlı ülkelerin, pandemi sürecinden olumsuz etkileneceği ve daha sıkı politika kümeleri uygulaması gerektiği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Atkeson, A. (2020). What Will be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the Us? Rough Estımates of Disease Scenarios, Nber Working Paper Series, Staff Report, 1-28.
  • Cannon, B. (2020). COVID-19 in Latin America: Uneven Responses, Uneven Impacts, Shared Challenges. in Cannon C. (Author) & Carmody P., McCann G., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses ,105-114)
  • Eren, A. A. ve Odabaş, Y. (2019). “Türkiye Varlık Fonu Bağlamında Ulusal Varlık Fonları Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme”, Fiscaoeconomia, Vol.3(1), 134-159
  • Espitia, A., Rocha, N., Ruta, M., (2020). “COVID-19 and Food Protectionism: The Impact of the Pandemic and Export Restrictions on World Food Markets”, Policy Research Working Papers. 1-28
  • Fernandes, N. (2020). “Economic Effects of Coronavirus Outbreak (COVID-19) on the World Economy” IESE Business School Paper, 1-33
  • Gökten, K. (2012), “Çin Yüzyılını Anlamak, Afyon Savaşlarından Bugüne Çin’in Dönüşümü”, Ankara: Notabene Yay.
  • Hansen, A.(2020). “Slow Stagnation, Sudden Revolution?: Post-COVID-19 Prospects for Political Change in Russia and Belarus”, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) , 1-4
  • Hatuel-Radoshitzky, M., Heistein, A., Bernes, T., Brozus, L., Greco, E., Sasnal, P., . . . Caballero-Anthony, M. (2020). Challenges of Global Governance Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic (pp. 10-12, Rep.). Council on Foreign Relations.
  • http://www.china.org.cn/business/2020-10/14/content_76803597.htm erişim tarihi 16.10.2020
  • http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/COVID-19-and-international-trade-issues-and-actions-494da2fa/ erişim tarihi 19.10.2020
  • https://fred.stlouisfed.org/ erişim tarihi 16.10.2020
  • https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/china-imports-exports-hit-record-highs-in-third-quarter, erişim tarihi: 14.10.2020
  • Konukman, A. ve Şimşek, O. (2017) “Ulusal Varlık Fonları ve Türkiye Uygulaması”, Çalışma ve Toplum Dergisi, (4), 1913-1944.
  • Le Pere, G. (2020). (Rep.). South African Institute of International Affairs
  • McCann, G., & Matenga, C. (2020). COVID-19 and Global Inequality. In Cannon C. (Author) & McCann G., Carmody P., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses (pp. 161-172). Bristol: Bristol University Press. doi:10.2307/j.ctv18gfz7c.22
  • McCloskey, S. (2020). Development Education, COVID-19 and Neoliberalism. In Cannon C. (Author) & Carmody P., McCann G., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses (pp. 39-48). Bristol: Bristol University Press.
  • Nicola M. Vd. (2020). The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19): A review, Int J Surg. 2020 Jun; 78: 185–193.
  • Roloff, R. (2020). “COVID-19 and No One's World: What Impact for the European Union?” Connections, 19(2), 25-36
  • https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/ditcinf2020d4_en.pdf. Erişim tar: 03.11.2020
  • Yüksel, Engin, et al. Pandemic or Pandemonium?: COVID-19 and Conflict in the Middle East. Clingendael Institute,

The COVID 19 Pandemic’s Affect on International Trade: A Statistical Approach

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 280 - 295, 10.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.828451

Öz

COVID-19 is a humanitarian crisis on a global scale. The COVID-19 pandemic have an unprecented disruption to the global economy. Production and consumption are decreased across the globe. The fact that COVID-19 is affecting both economic structure and international trade patterns should not surprise any one.
Before making policy recommendations, it is important to identificate the problem and the damage assessment. In this context, in this paper it is aimed to show the problems about trade which were generated by COVID-19. The effect on the foreign trade has been explained with a statistical method. We evaluate in this paper that the countries which were depended much on imports such as Turkey will be adversely affected by the pandemic and they need to set out more stringent policy sets. 

Kaynakça

  • Atkeson, A. (2020). What Will be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the Us? Rough Estımates of Disease Scenarios, Nber Working Paper Series, Staff Report, 1-28.
  • Cannon, B. (2020). COVID-19 in Latin America: Uneven Responses, Uneven Impacts, Shared Challenges. in Cannon C. (Author) & Carmody P., McCann G., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses ,105-114)
  • Eren, A. A. ve Odabaş, Y. (2019). “Türkiye Varlık Fonu Bağlamında Ulusal Varlık Fonları Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme”, Fiscaoeconomia, Vol.3(1), 134-159
  • Espitia, A., Rocha, N., Ruta, M., (2020). “COVID-19 and Food Protectionism: The Impact of the Pandemic and Export Restrictions on World Food Markets”, Policy Research Working Papers. 1-28
  • Fernandes, N. (2020). “Economic Effects of Coronavirus Outbreak (COVID-19) on the World Economy” IESE Business School Paper, 1-33
  • Gökten, K. (2012), “Çin Yüzyılını Anlamak, Afyon Savaşlarından Bugüne Çin’in Dönüşümü”, Ankara: Notabene Yay.
  • Hansen, A.(2020). “Slow Stagnation, Sudden Revolution?: Post-COVID-19 Prospects for Political Change in Russia and Belarus”, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) , 1-4
  • Hatuel-Radoshitzky, M., Heistein, A., Bernes, T., Brozus, L., Greco, E., Sasnal, P., . . . Caballero-Anthony, M. (2020). Challenges of Global Governance Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic (pp. 10-12, Rep.). Council on Foreign Relations.
  • http://www.china.org.cn/business/2020-10/14/content_76803597.htm erişim tarihi 16.10.2020
  • http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/COVID-19-and-international-trade-issues-and-actions-494da2fa/ erişim tarihi 19.10.2020
  • https://fred.stlouisfed.org/ erişim tarihi 16.10.2020
  • https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/china-imports-exports-hit-record-highs-in-third-quarter, erişim tarihi: 14.10.2020
  • Konukman, A. ve Şimşek, O. (2017) “Ulusal Varlık Fonları ve Türkiye Uygulaması”, Çalışma ve Toplum Dergisi, (4), 1913-1944.
  • Le Pere, G. (2020). (Rep.). South African Institute of International Affairs
  • McCann, G., & Matenga, C. (2020). COVID-19 and Global Inequality. In Cannon C. (Author) & McCann G., Carmody P., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses (pp. 161-172). Bristol: Bristol University Press. doi:10.2307/j.ctv18gfz7c.22
  • McCloskey, S. (2020). Development Education, COVID-19 and Neoliberalism. In Cannon C. (Author) & Carmody P., McCann G., Colleran C., & O’Halloran C. (Eds.), COVID-19 in the Global South: Impacts and Responses (pp. 39-48). Bristol: Bristol University Press.
  • Nicola M. Vd. (2020). The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19): A review, Int J Surg. 2020 Jun; 78: 185–193.
  • Roloff, R. (2020). “COVID-19 and No One's World: What Impact for the European Union?” Connections, 19(2), 25-36
  • https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/ditcinf2020d4_en.pdf. Erişim tar: 03.11.2020
  • Yüksel, Engin, et al. Pandemic or Pandemonium?: COVID-19 and Conflict in the Middle East. Clingendael Institute,
Toplam 20 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Uğur Yıldırım 0000-0002-3542-7835

Yayımlanma Tarihi 10 Ocak 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Yıldırım, U. (2021). COVID-19 Pandemisinin Dış Ticaret Üzerine Etkisi: İstatiksel Bir Yaklaşım. Fiscaoeconomia, 5(1), 280-295. https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.828451

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