HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ

Nevin Uzgören; Sermin Elevli

HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 4, 0 - , 19.02.2013

Öz

Herhangi bir güvenilirlik analizi yapılmadan önce, verilerin bağımsız ve benzer dağılmış (bbd) olupolmadıklarını kontrol etmek amacıyla trend testleri yapılmalıdır. Veri setinde trendin varlığı tespit edildiğitakdirde, Arızalar Arası Süre(AAS)’nin zamana bağlı olarak değiştiğini kabul eden Homojen Olmayan PoissonSüreci (HOPS) trendi tanımlamakta kullanılmalıdır. Bu çalışmada, trend testleri bir çekme kepçenin (dragline)mekanik sistemine ait birbirini takip eden arıza sürelerinin bağımsız ve benzer şekilde dağılmamış olduğunugöstermiştir. Uyum iyiliği testleri, Homojen Olmayan Poisson Sürecinin özel bir durumu olan Kuvvet YasasıSüreci (KYS)’nin arıza verilerini değerlendirmede kullanılabileceğini göstermiştir. Ayrıca, KYS’ninparametreleri kullanılmak suretiyle beklenen arıza adedi, bir sonraki beklenen arıza zamanı ve farklı zamanperiyodları için güvenilirlik değerleri hesaplanmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Güvenilirlik, homojen olmayan poisson süreci, kuvvet yasası süreci

Kaynakça

Danacı M.A., Birgören B. ve Ersöz S., “Weibull
Parametreleri ve Yüzdelikleri İçin Güven Aralığı
Tahmin Algoritmaları”, Gazi Üniv. Müh. Mim.
Fak. Der., cilt 24, no1, 119-128, 2009.
Wang P. and Coit D. W., “Repairable Systems
Reliability Trend Tests and Evaluation”, Annual
Reliability and Maintainability Symposium,
pp.416-421, 2005.
Rao K.R.M. and Prasad P.V.N., “Graphical
Methods for Reliability of Repairable Equipment
and Maintenance Planning”, Annual Reliability
and Maintainability Symposium, pp.123-128,
-
Chen, Z., “Bayesian and Emprical Bayes
Approaches to Power Law Process and
Microarray”, Ph. D. Thesis,
http://etd.fcla.edu/SF/SFE0000430/DISSER~1.pd
f, 2004.
Kumar, U., “Availability Studies of Load-Haul-
Dump Machines”, Proceedings of the 21th
APCOM Symposium, Las Vegas, pp. 323-335,
-
Kumar, D. and Vagenas, N., Performance
Evaluation of A Load-Haul-Dump Vehicle, CIM
Bulletin, 86(974), pp. 39-42, 1993.
Paraszczak, J. and Perreault, J.F., “Reliability of
Diesel Powered Load-Haul-Dump Machines in
an Underground Quebec Mine”, CIM Bulletin,
(978), pp. 123-127, 1994.
Hall, R.A. and Daneshmend, L.K., “Reliability
and Maintainability Models for Mobile
Underground Haulage Equipment”, CIM
Bulletin, 96(1072), pp.159-165, 2003a.
Hall, R.A. and Daneshmend, L.K., “Reliability
Modeling of Surface Mining Equipment: Data
Gathering and Analysis Methodologies”,
International Journal of Surface Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 17(3), pp.139-
, 2003b.
Lhorente B., Lugtigheid D., Knights P.F. and
Santana A., “A Model for Optimal Armature
Maintenance in Electric Haul Truck Wheel
Motors: A Case Study”, Reliability Engineering
and System Safety, vol.84, pp. 209-218, 2004.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability
characteristics Based Maintenance Scheduling: A
Case Study of a Crushing Plant”, International
Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 3,
No.3, pp. 319-328, 2007.
Elevli S., Uzgören N. and Taksuk M.,
“Maintainability Analysis of Mechanical Systems
of Electric Cable Shovels”, Journal of Scientific
& Industrial Research, 67(4), pp. 267-271,
-
Gupta S., Maiti J., Kumar R. and Kumar U., “A
Control Chart Guided Maintenance Policy
Selection”, International Journal of Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 23(3), pp. 216-
, 2009.
Vayenas N. and Wu X., Maintenance and
Reliability Analysis of A Fleet of Load-Haul-
Dump Vehicles in an Underground Hard Rock
Mine, International Journal of Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 23(3), pp. 227-
, 2009.
Kumar, U. and Klefsjö, B., “Reliability Analysis
of Hydraulic Systems of LHD Machines Using
The Power Law Process Model”, Reliability
Engineering and System Safety, vol. 35, pp.
-224, 1992.
Majumdar S.K., “Study on Reliability Modeling
of A Hydraulic Excavator System”, Quality and
Reliability Engineering International, vol.11,
pp. 49-63, 1995.
Pulcini G., “Modeling The Failure Data of A
Repairable Equipment With Bathtub Type Failure
Intensity”, Reliability Engineering and System
Safety, vol. 71, pp. 209-218, 2001.
Louit D.M., Pascual R. and Jardine A.K.S., “A
Practical Procedure for The Selection of Time-
To-Failure Models Based on The Assessment of
Trends in Maintenance Data”, Reliability
Engineering & System Safety, 94(10), pp. 1618-
, 2009.
Samanta, B., Sarkar, B. and Mukherjee, S.K.,
“Reliability Analysis of Shovel Machines Used in
An Open Cast Coal Mine”, Mineral Resources
Engineering, 10(2), pp. 219-231, 2001.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability and
Maintainability Analysis of Crushing Plants in
Jajarm Bauxite Mine of Iran”, Proceedings of
the Annual Reliability and Maintainability
Symposium, pp. 109-115, 2005.
Vagenas, N., Runciman, N. and Clement, S.R.,
“A Methodology for Maintenance Analysis of
Mining Equipment”, International Journal of
Surface Mining, Reclamation and
Environment, vol.11, pp. 33-40, 1997.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability Analysis
of Mining Equipment: A Case Study of A
Crushing Plant At The Jajarm Bauxite Mine of
Iran”, Journal of Reliability Engineering and
System Safety, Vol. 93, No.4, pp. 647-653, 2008.
Rothbart H A., "Reliability", Mechanical
Design& Systems Handbook, McGraw-Hill Inc.
p. 20.1-20.12, 1986.
Jones R B., Risk Based Management: A
Reliability Centered Approach, Gulf Publishing
Company. p. 26-68, 1995.
Ryan K.J., “Some Flexible Families of Intensities
for Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process Models
and Their Bayes Inference”, Qual. Reliab.
Engng. Int. 19, 171–181, 2003.
DOD, “Department of Defense Guide For
Achieving Reliability, Availability, and
Maintainability”,
http://www.acq.osd.mil/sse/docs/RAM_Guide_08
pdf, 2005.
Özmen A., Zaman Serisi analizinde Box Jenkins
Yöntemi ve Banka Mevduat Tahmininde
Uygulama Denemesi, T.C. Anadolu Üniversitesi
Yayınları No:201, Eskişehir, 1986.
Gujarati D. N., Temel Ekonometri, Literatür
Yayıncılık, İstanbul, 1999,
Cirrone G.A.P., Donadio S., Guatelli S., Mantero
A., Mascialino B., Parlati S., Pia M.G., Pfeiffer
A., Ribon A. And Viarengo P., “A Goodness-of-
Fit Statistical Toolkit”, IEEE Transactions on
Nuclear Science, Vol.51, No.5, pp. 2056-2063,
-
Du J., “Evaluation of Equipment Reliability,
Availability, Maintainability in an OilSands
Processing Plant”, M.Sc. Thesis, The University
of British Columbia, 2008.
Gaudoin O., Yang B. and Xie M., “A simple
Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Power-Law Process
Based on the Duane Plot”, IEEE Transaction on
Reliability, Vol.52, No.1, pp. 69-74, 2003.
Xie M., Yang B. And Gaudoin O., éRegression
Goodness-Of-Fit Test for Software Reliability
Model Validation,
http://www.chillarege.com/fastabstracts/issre200
/2001107.pdf, 2001.

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 4, 0 - , 19.02.2013

Nevin Uzgören Sermin Elevli

Öz

Kaynakça

Danacı M.A., Birgören B. ve Ersöz S., “Weibull
Parametreleri ve Yüzdelikleri İçin Güven Aralığı
Tahmin Algoritmaları”, Gazi Üniv. Müh. Mim.
Fak. Der., cilt 24, no1, 119-128, 2009.
Wang P. and Coit D. W., “Repairable Systems
Reliability Trend Tests and Evaluation”, Annual
Reliability and Maintainability Symposium,
pp.416-421, 2005.
Rao K.R.M. and Prasad P.V.N., “Graphical
Methods for Reliability of Repairable Equipment
and Maintenance Planning”, Annual Reliability
and Maintainability Symposium, pp.123-128,
-
Chen, Z., “Bayesian and Emprical Bayes
Approaches to Power Law Process and
Microarray”, Ph. D. Thesis,
http://etd.fcla.edu/SF/SFE0000430/DISSER~1.pd
f, 2004.
Kumar, U., “Availability Studies of Load-Haul-
Dump Machines”, Proceedings of the 21th
APCOM Symposium, Las Vegas, pp. 323-335,
-
Kumar, D. and Vagenas, N., Performance
Evaluation of A Load-Haul-Dump Vehicle, CIM
Bulletin, 86(974), pp. 39-42, 1993.
Paraszczak, J. and Perreault, J.F., “Reliability of
Diesel Powered Load-Haul-Dump Machines in
an Underground Quebec Mine”, CIM Bulletin,
(978), pp. 123-127, 1994.
Hall, R.A. and Daneshmend, L.K., “Reliability
and Maintainability Models for Mobile
Underground Haulage Equipment”, CIM
Bulletin, 96(1072), pp.159-165, 2003a.
Hall, R.A. and Daneshmend, L.K., “Reliability
Modeling of Surface Mining Equipment: Data
Gathering and Analysis Methodologies”,
International Journal of Surface Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 17(3), pp.139-
, 2003b.
Lhorente B., Lugtigheid D., Knights P.F. and
Santana A., “A Model for Optimal Armature
Maintenance in Electric Haul Truck Wheel
Motors: A Case Study”, Reliability Engineering
and System Safety, vol.84, pp. 209-218, 2004.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability
characteristics Based Maintenance Scheduling: A
Case Study of a Crushing Plant”, International
Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 3,
No.3, pp. 319-328, 2007.
Elevli S., Uzgören N. and Taksuk M.,
“Maintainability Analysis of Mechanical Systems
of Electric Cable Shovels”, Journal of Scientific
& Industrial Research, 67(4), pp. 267-271,
-
Gupta S., Maiti J., Kumar R. and Kumar U., “A
Control Chart Guided Maintenance Policy
Selection”, International Journal of Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 23(3), pp. 216-
, 2009.
Vayenas N. and Wu X., Maintenance and
Reliability Analysis of A Fleet of Load-Haul-
Dump Vehicles in an Underground Hard Rock
Mine, International Journal of Mining,
Reclamation and Environment, 23(3), pp. 227-
, 2009.
Kumar, U. and Klefsjö, B., “Reliability Analysis
of Hydraulic Systems of LHD Machines Using
The Power Law Process Model”, Reliability
Engineering and System Safety, vol. 35, pp.
-224, 1992.
Majumdar S.K., “Study on Reliability Modeling
of A Hydraulic Excavator System”, Quality and
Reliability Engineering International, vol.11,
pp. 49-63, 1995.
Pulcini G., “Modeling The Failure Data of A
Repairable Equipment With Bathtub Type Failure
Intensity”, Reliability Engineering and System
Safety, vol. 71, pp. 209-218, 2001.
Louit D.M., Pascual R. and Jardine A.K.S., “A
Practical Procedure for The Selection of Time-
To-Failure Models Based on The Assessment of
Trends in Maintenance Data”, Reliability
Engineering & System Safety, 94(10), pp. 1618-
, 2009.
Samanta, B., Sarkar, B. and Mukherjee, S.K.,
“Reliability Analysis of Shovel Machines Used in
An Open Cast Coal Mine”, Mineral Resources
Engineering, 10(2), pp. 219-231, 2001.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability and
Maintainability Analysis of Crushing Plants in
Jajarm Bauxite Mine of Iran”, Proceedings of
the Annual Reliability and Maintainability
Symposium, pp. 109-115, 2005.
Vagenas, N., Runciman, N. and Clement, S.R.,
“A Methodology for Maintenance Analysis of
Mining Equipment”, International Journal of
Surface Mining, Reclamation and
Environment, vol.11, pp. 33-40, 1997.
Barabady J. and Kumar U., “Reliability Analysis
of Mining Equipment: A Case Study of A
Crushing Plant At The Jajarm Bauxite Mine of
Iran”, Journal of Reliability Engineering and
System Safety, Vol. 93, No.4, pp. 647-653, 2008.
Rothbart H A., "Reliability", Mechanical
Design& Systems Handbook, McGraw-Hill Inc.
p. 20.1-20.12, 1986.
Jones R B., Risk Based Management: A
Reliability Centered Approach, Gulf Publishing
Company. p. 26-68, 1995.
Ryan K.J., “Some Flexible Families of Intensities
for Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process Models
and Their Bayes Inference”, Qual. Reliab.
Engng. Int. 19, 171–181, 2003.
DOD, “Department of Defense Guide For
Achieving Reliability, Availability, and
Maintainability”,
http://www.acq.osd.mil/sse/docs/RAM_Guide_08
pdf, 2005.
Özmen A., Zaman Serisi analizinde Box Jenkins
Yöntemi ve Banka Mevduat Tahmininde
Uygulama Denemesi, T.C. Anadolu Üniversitesi
Yayınları No:201, Eskişehir, 1986.
Gujarati D. N., Temel Ekonometri, Literatür
Yayıncılık, İstanbul, 1999,
Cirrone G.A.P., Donadio S., Guatelli S., Mantero
A., Mascialino B., Parlati S., Pia M.G., Pfeiffer
A., Ribon A. And Viarengo P., “A Goodness-of-
Fit Statistical Toolkit”, IEEE Transactions on
Nuclear Science, Vol.51, No.5, pp. 2056-2063,
-
Du J., “Evaluation of Equipment Reliability,
Availability, Maintainability in an OilSands
Processing Plant”, M.Sc. Thesis, The University
of British Columbia, 2008.
Gaudoin O., Yang B. and Xie M., “A simple
Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Power-Law Process
Based on the Duane Plot”, IEEE Transaction on
Reliability, Vol.52, No.1, pp. 69-74, 2003.
Xie M., Yang B. And Gaudoin O., éRegression
Goodness-Of-Fit Test for Software Reliability
Model Validation,
http://www.chillarege.com/fastabstracts/issre200
/2001107.pdf, 2001.

Toplam 143 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil	Türkçe
Bölüm	Makaleler
Yazarlar	Nevin Uzgören Bu kişi benim Sermin Elevli Bu kişi benim
Yayımlanma Tarihi	19 Şubat 2013
Gönderilme Tarihi	19 Şubat 2013
Yayımlandığı Sayı	Yıl 2010 Cilt: 25 Sayı: 4

Kaynak Göster

APA	Uzgören, N., & Elevli, S. (2013). HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, 25(4).
AMA	Uzgören N, Elevli S. HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ. GUMMFD. Mart 2013;25(4).
Chicago	Uzgören, Nevin, ve Sermin Elevli. “HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ”. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 25, sy. 4 (Mart 2013).
EndNote	Uzgören N, Elevli S (01 Mart 2013) HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 25 4
IEEE	N. Uzgören ve S. Elevli, “HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ”, GUMMFD, c. 25, sy. 4, 2013.
ISNAD	Uzgören, Nevin - Elevli, Sermin. “HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ”. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 25/4 (Mart 2013).
JAMA	Uzgören N, Elevli S. HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ. GUMMFD. 2013;25.
MLA	Uzgören, Nevin ve Sermin Elevli. “HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ”. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 25, sy. 4, 2013.
Vancouver	Uzgören N, Elevli S. HOMOJEN OLMAYAN POISSON SÜRECİ: BİR MADEN MAKİNESİNİN GÜVENİLİRLİK ANALİZİ. GUMMFD. 2013;25(4).

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