Madde ömrü tahmininde çok amaçlı programlama tabanlı bir yaklaşım: Weibull dağılımı uygulaması

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 37 Sayı: 4, 1783 - 1792, 28.02.2022

Emre Koçak H. Hasan Örkcü

https://doi.org/10.17341/gazimmfd.918607

Öz

Weibull dağılımı, hata oranları ve sistem güvenilirliği gibi çeşitli alanlarda yaygın olarak kullanılmaktadır. Geniş uygulaması nedeniyle, Weibull dağılımı için en iyi parametre tahmin yöntemini belirlemek çok önemlidir. En bilinen parametre tahmin yöntemleri en küçük kareler (EKK), ağırlıklı en küçük kareler (AEKK) ve en çok olabilirlik (EÇO) olmasına rağmen, bu yöntemler farklı özelliklere sahiptir ve farklı tahmin sonuçları verebilir. Bu yöntemlerin birlikte değerlendirilerek daha iyi tahmin sonuçları elde edilmesinin amaçlandığı bu çalışmada, çok amaçlı programlama yaklaşımının kullanılması önerilmektedir. Oluşturulan çok amaçlı programlama tahmin modelini çözmek için çok amaçlı bir sezgisel yaklaşım olan baskın sıralı genetik algoritma II yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Önerilen yaklaşımın uygulanabilirliğini göstermek için Kevlar 49 / Epoksi veri seti kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre en iyi parametre tahmin sonuçları, EÇO yönteminin tek ve birlikte değerlendirildiği durumlar olan EKK-EÇO ve AEKK-EÇO çok amaçlı tahmin modelleri vermiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Weibull dağılımı, Pareto optimal çözümler, NSGA-II

Kaynakça

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