SAVAŞLARIN GEÇERLİLİĞİNİ YİTİRMESİ VE DEĞİŞEN KARAKTERİ TARTIŞMASINA YENİDEN BAKIŞ: EKOLLER, ARGÜMANLAR & ELEŞTİRİLER

Öz

Bu çalışma, devletler arası savaşların geçerliliğini yitirmesi ve yeni savaşlar paradigması üzerine olan tartışmaları incelemektedir. Soğuk Savaş'ın sona ermesinden bu yana barış ve çatışma çalışmaları, devletler arası savaşların değişen özelliklerini ve olası gerilemelerini araştırmaktadır. Bazı akademisyenler; ekonomik, sosyal ve politik ilerlemeler ile teknolojik gelişmeler nedeniyle (büyük) devletler arası savaşların geçerliliğini yitirdiğini savunmaktadır. Diğerleri ise şiddetin özelleştirilmesi ve demilitarizasyonu, asimetri ve kimlik yönelimi ile karakterize edilen devlet içi savaşların artan yaygınlığına dikkat çekmektedir. Bu tartışma, “eski savaşlar” ve “yeni savaşlar” arasındaki ikiliğe odaklanarak bu savaşların ekonomik boyutunu ve post-Clausewitzyen doğasını vurgulamaktadır. Yeni savaşlar paradigmasının eleştirilerine uygun olarak Ukrayna, Filistin ve Etiyopya'daki son çatışmalar, devletler arası savaşların devam eden önemini ve Clausewitzyen savaşın çağdaş çatışmalardaki kalıcı etkisini vurgulamaktadır. Bu çalışma, yeni savaşlar paradigmasının kökenlerinin izini sürerek devletler arası savaşların ve Clausewitzyen savaşın geleceğine kapsamlı bir inceleme sunmakta ve bunların çağdaş çatışmalarda olduğu kadar uluslararası politikada da önemli unsurlar olarak kalmaya devam ettiği sonucuna varmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Clausewitzyen Harp
• Devletler Arasi Savaslar
• Yeni Savaslar
• Savasin Gecerliligini Yitirmesi
• Ukrayna Savasi

REVISITING THE DEBATE ON THE OBSOLESCENCE & CHANGING CHARACTER OF WARS: SCHOOLS, ARGUMENTS & CRITIQUES

Öz

This study examines the debate on the obsolescence of interstate wars and the new wars paradigm. Since the end of the Cold War, peace and conflict studies have explored the evolving characteristics and potential decline of interstate wars. Some scholars argue that (major) interstate wars have become obsolete due to economic, social, and political progress and technological advances. Others highlight the increasing prevalence of intrastate wars characterized by privatization and demilitarization of violence, asymmetry, and identity orientation. This debate centers on the dichotomy between “old wars” and “new wars,” emphasizing their economic dimension and post-Clausewitzian nature. In accordance with the critiques of the new wars paradigm, the recent conflicts in Ukraine, Palestine, and Ethiopia underscore the continued relevance of interstate wars and the enduring significance of Clausewitzian warfare in contemporary conflicts. By tracing the origins of the new wars paradigm, this study provides a comprehensive examination of the future of interstate wars and Clausewitzian warfare, concluding that these remain significant in contemporary conflicts as well as international politics.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Clausewitzian Warfare
• Interstate Wars
• New Wars
• Obsolescence of War
• Ukrainian War

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