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Vergi yapısı ve ekonomik büyüme: G7 ülkeleri örneği

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1, 94 - 114, 18.02.2022
https://doi.org/10.30855/gjeb.2022.8.1.007

Öz

Vergi yapısı ile ekonomik büyüme birbirlerini karşılıklı olarak etkileyen iki önemli değişkendir. Vergi türleri, bileşimi ve milli gelir içerisindeki payı ülkelerin gelişmişlik düzeylerine göre değişmekle birlikte, ekonomik gelişme üzerinde bir etki yaratabilmektedir. Bu nedenle ülkeler ekonomik büyüme hedefini gerçekleştirebilmek için vergi yoluyla ekonomik büyüme üzerinde olumlu etki yaratma çabası içindedir. Buradan hareketle ortaya çıkan bu çalışmada, en gelişmiş yedi ülke olarak ifade edilen G7 ülkelerinde 1990-2018 yılları arasında vergi yapısı ve vergi yükü ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki panel veri analizi yardımıyla araştırılmıştır. Yapılan analizler sonucunda vergi türleri ile ekonomik büyüme arasında uzun dönemli ilişki bulunmuştur. Vergi yükü ile ekonomik büyüme arasında ise uzun dönemli ilişkiye rastlanılmamıştır. Nedensellik analizi sonucunda gelir üzerinden alınan vergilerin ekonomik büyümeyi negatif, servet ve harcama üzerinden alınan vergilerin pozitif etkilediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Acosta-Ormaechea, S. ve Yoo, J. (2012). Tax composition and growth: a broad cross-country perspective. IMF Working Paper, No: 12/257.
  • Adkisson, R. V. ve Mohammed, M. (2014). Tax structure and state economic growth during the Great Recession. The Social Science Journal, 51(1), 79-89.
  • Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J. ve Philippopoulos, A. (2011). Tax structure, growth, and welfare in the UK. Oxford Economic Papers, 64(2012), 237-258.
  • Arnold, J. M. (2008). Do tax structures affect aggregate economic growth? emprical evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Working Paper, No: 2008(51).
  • Ataç, B. (2013). Maliye Politikası (10. baskı). Ankara: Turhan Kitabevi.
  • Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 103–125.
  • Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443.
  • Bleaney, M., Gemmell, N. and Kneller, R. (2001). Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation, and growth over the long run. Canadian Journal of Economics, 34(1), 36-57.
  • Branson, J. ve Lovell, C. K. (2001). A growth maximising tax structure for New Zealand. International Tax and Public Finance, 8(2), 129-146.
  • Breusch, T. S. ve Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Bujang, I., Hakim, T. A. ve Ahmad, I. (2013). Tax structure and economic indicators in developing and high-income OECD countries: panel cointegration analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 7, 164-173.
  • Connolly, s. ve Munro, A. (1999). Economics of the public sector. England: Pearson Education Limited.
  • Çevik, S. ve Oh, C. G. (2013). Tax structure and economic growth: a panel data from OECD countries. Regional Industry Review, 36(1), 31-54.
  • Durkaya, M. ve Ceylan, S. (2006). Vergi gelirleri ve ekonomik büyüme. Maliye Dergisi, 150, 79-89.
  • Ecevit, E., Yücel, A. G. ve Yücel, Ö. (2006). Are some taxes better than others for economic growth? An ardl approach for Turkey. The Empirical Economics Letters, 15(11), 1129-1136.
  • Fölster, S. ve Henrekson, M. (2001). Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries. European Economic Review, 45(8), 1501-1520.
  • Gemmell, N., Kneller, R. ve Sanz, I. (2014). The growth effects of tax rates in the OECD. Canadian Journal of Economics, 47(4), 1217-1255.
  • Gober, J. R. ve Burns, J. O. (1997). The relationship between tax structures and economic indicators. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 6(1), 1-24.
  • Harberger, A. (1964). Taxation, resource allocation, and welfare. NBER and The Brookings Institution (Ed.), The role of direct and indirect taxes in the federal reserve system içinde (25-80. ss.). Princeton University Press.
  • Karras, G. (1999). Taxes and growth: testing the neoclassical and endogenous growth models. Contemporary Economic Policy, 17(2), 177-188.
  • Keho, Y. (2011). Tax structure and economic growth in cote d’ivoire: are some taxes better than others?. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 1(4), 226-235.
  • King, R. G. ve Rebelo, S. (1990). Public policy and economic growth: developing neoclassical implications. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5-2), 126-150.
  • Kizito, E. U. (2014). The nexus between tax structure and economic growth in Nigeria: a prognosis. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 4(1), 113-138.
  • Kneller, R., Bleaney, M. F. ve Gemmell, N. (1999). Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Public Economics, 74(2), 171-190.
  • Koch, S. F., Schoeman, N. J. ve Van Tonder, J. J. (2005). Economic growth and the structure of taxes in South Africa: 1960 – 2002. South African Journal of Economics, 73(2), 190-210.
  • Koester, R. B. ve Kormendi, R. C. (1989). Taxation, aggregate activity and economic growth: cross-country evidence on some supply-side hypotheses. Economic Inquiry, 27(3), 367-386.
  • Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(2006), 978-992.
  • Krusell, P., Quadrini, V. ve Rios-Rull, J. V. (1996). Are consumption taxes really better than income taxes?. Journal of Monetary Economics, 37(3), 475-503.
  • Lee, Y. ve Gordon, R. H. (2005), tax structure and economic growth. Journal of Public Economics, 89(5), 1027-1043.
  • Mamatzakis, E. C. (2005). The dynamic responses of growth to tax structure for Greece. Applied Economics Letters, 12(3), 177-180.
  • Mangır, F. ve Ertuğrul, H. M. (2012). Vergi yükü ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 1988-2011 Türkiye örneği. Maliye Dergisi, 162, 256-265.
  • Marsden, K. (1983). Links between taxes and economic growth: some empirical evidence on some supply side hypothesis. World Bank Staff Working Papers, No: 605.
  • McNabb K. ve LeMay-Boucher, P. (2014). Tax structures, economic growth and development. ICTD Working Paper 22.
  • Mdanat, M. F., Shotar, M., Samawi, G., Mulot, J., Arabiyat, T. S. ve Alzyadat, M. A. (2018). Tax structure and economic growth in Jordan, 1980-2015. EuroMed Journal of Business, 13(1), 102-127.
  • Mendoza, E. G., Milesi-Ferretti, G. M. ve Asea, P. (1997). On the ineffectiveness of tax policy in altering long-run growth: Harberger's superneutrality conjecture. Journal of Public Economics, 66(1), 99-126.
  • Muduli, D. K. ve Manık, N. (2020). Tax structure and economic growth in general category states in India: A panel auto regressive distributed lag approach. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 27(2), 225-240.
  • Nguyen, M. L. T., Hang, N. P. T., Bui, T. N. ve Tran, H. X. (2020). Interrelation of tax structure and economic growth: a case study. Journal Of Security And Sustainability Issues, 9(4), 1177-1187.
  • OECD Revenue Statistics. (2020, 15 Ağustos). Erişim adresi https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-revenue.htm#indicator-chart
  • Öztürk, N. (2014). Maliye Politikası (2. Baskı). Bursa: Ekin Basım Yayın.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967-1012.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H. ve Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2008), 50–93.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A. ve Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
  • Sağdıç, E. N. ve Aydın, D. (2021). Dolaylı ve dolaysız vergiler ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi: Türkiye örneği (2006-2018), International Journal of Public Finance, 6(1), 21-46.
  • Siverekli Demircan, E. (2003). Vergilendirmenin ekonomik büyüme ve kalkınmaya etkisi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 21, 97-116.
  • Skinner, J. (1988). Taxation and output growth in Africa, international economics department. World Bank Working Paper Series, No: 73.
  • Songur, M. ve Yüksel, C. (2018). Vergi yapısı ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi: Türkiye örneği. Finans, Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 643, 47-70.
  • Stoilova, D. (2017). Tax structure and economic growth: Evidencefrom the European Union. Contaduría y Administración, 62(2017), 1041–1057.
  • Swamy, P. A. V. B. (1970). Efficient inference in a random coefficient regression model. Econometrica, 38(2), 311-323.
  • Şen, H. ve Sağbaş, İ. (2016). Vergi teorisi ve politikası. Ankara: Kalkan Matbaacılık.
  • Taha, R., Nanthakumar, L. ve Colombage, S. R. (2011). The effect of economic growth on taxation revenue: the case of a newly industrialized country. International Review of Business Research Papers, 7(1), 319-329.
  • Todaro, M. P. ve Smith, S. C. (2014). Economic development (12th ed.). Harlow: Pearson.
  • Tokatlıoğlu, M. ve Selen, U. (2019). Maliye Politikası (2. baskı). Bursa: Ekin Basım Yayın.
  • Topal, M. H. (2017). Vergi yapısının ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi: OECD ülkelerinden ampirik bir kanıt. Siyaset, Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi, 5(3), 183-206.
  • Tosun, M. S. ve Abizadeh, S. (2005). Economic growth and tax components: an analysis of tax changes in OECD. Applied Economics, 37(19), 2251-2263.
  • Turhan, S. (1993). Vergi teorisi ve politikası. İstanbul: Filiz Kitabevi.
  • Ünlükaplan, İ. ve Arısoy, İ. (2011). Vergi yükü ve yapısı ile iktisadi büyüme arasındaki dinamik etkileşimler üzerine uygulamalı bir analiz. ODTÜ İktisadi Gelişme Dergisi, 38(1), 71-100.
  • Westerlund, J. ve Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(2007), 185-190.
  • Wet, A. H., Schoeman, N. J. ve Koch, S. F. (2005). The South African tax mix and economic growth. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 8(2), 201-210.
  • Widmalm, F. (2001). Tax structure and growth: are some taxes better than others?. Public Choice, 107(3-4), 199-219.
  • Xing, J. (2011). Does tax structure affect economic growth? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Centre for Business Taxation, Oxford University, Working Paper, No: 11/20.
  • Xing, J. (2012). Tax structure and growth: how robust is the empirical evidence?. Economics Letters, 117(1), 379-382.

Tax structure and economic growth: The case of G7 countries

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1, 94 - 114, 18.02.2022
https://doi.org/10.30855/gjeb.2022.8.1.007

Öz

Tax structure and economic growth are two important variables that mutually affect each other. Although tax types, composition and share in national income vary according to the level of development of countries, they can have an impact on economic development. For this reason, countries are in an effort to create a positive effect on economic growth through taxes in order to achieve their economic growth target. In this study, the tax structure and the relationship between tax burden and economic growth in the G7 countries, which are expressed as the seven most developed countries, were investigated with panel data analysis. As a result of the analysis, a long-term relationship was found between tax types and economic growth. No long-term relationship was found between tax burden and economic growth. As a result of the causality analysis, it was concluded that taxes on income affect economic growth negatively, while taxes on wealth and expenditure positively affect economic growth.

Kaynakça

  • Acosta-Ormaechea, S. ve Yoo, J. (2012). Tax composition and growth: a broad cross-country perspective. IMF Working Paper, No: 12/257.
  • Adkisson, R. V. ve Mohammed, M. (2014). Tax structure and state economic growth during the Great Recession. The Social Science Journal, 51(1), 79-89.
  • Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J. ve Philippopoulos, A. (2011). Tax structure, growth, and welfare in the UK. Oxford Economic Papers, 64(2012), 237-258.
  • Arnold, J. M. (2008). Do tax structures affect aggregate economic growth? emprical evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Working Paper, No: 2008(51).
  • Ataç, B. (2013). Maliye Politikası (10. baskı). Ankara: Turhan Kitabevi.
  • Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 103–125.
  • Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443.
  • Bleaney, M., Gemmell, N. and Kneller, R. (2001). Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation, and growth over the long run. Canadian Journal of Economics, 34(1), 36-57.
  • Branson, J. ve Lovell, C. K. (2001). A growth maximising tax structure for New Zealand. International Tax and Public Finance, 8(2), 129-146.
  • Breusch, T. S. ve Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Bujang, I., Hakim, T. A. ve Ahmad, I. (2013). Tax structure and economic indicators in developing and high-income OECD countries: panel cointegration analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 7, 164-173.
  • Connolly, s. ve Munro, A. (1999). Economics of the public sector. England: Pearson Education Limited.
  • Çevik, S. ve Oh, C. G. (2013). Tax structure and economic growth: a panel data from OECD countries. Regional Industry Review, 36(1), 31-54.
  • Durkaya, M. ve Ceylan, S. (2006). Vergi gelirleri ve ekonomik büyüme. Maliye Dergisi, 150, 79-89.
  • Ecevit, E., Yücel, A. G. ve Yücel, Ö. (2006). Are some taxes better than others for economic growth? An ardl approach for Turkey. The Empirical Economics Letters, 15(11), 1129-1136.
  • Fölster, S. ve Henrekson, M. (2001). Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries. European Economic Review, 45(8), 1501-1520.
  • Gemmell, N., Kneller, R. ve Sanz, I. (2014). The growth effects of tax rates in the OECD. Canadian Journal of Economics, 47(4), 1217-1255.
  • Gober, J. R. ve Burns, J. O. (1997). The relationship between tax structures and economic indicators. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 6(1), 1-24.
  • Harberger, A. (1964). Taxation, resource allocation, and welfare. NBER and The Brookings Institution (Ed.), The role of direct and indirect taxes in the federal reserve system içinde (25-80. ss.). Princeton University Press.
  • Karras, G. (1999). Taxes and growth: testing the neoclassical and endogenous growth models. Contemporary Economic Policy, 17(2), 177-188.
  • Keho, Y. (2011). Tax structure and economic growth in cote d’ivoire: are some taxes better than others?. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 1(4), 226-235.
  • King, R. G. ve Rebelo, S. (1990). Public policy and economic growth: developing neoclassical implications. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5-2), 126-150.
  • Kizito, E. U. (2014). The nexus between tax structure and economic growth in Nigeria: a prognosis. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 4(1), 113-138.
  • Kneller, R., Bleaney, M. F. ve Gemmell, N. (1999). Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Public Economics, 74(2), 171-190.
  • Koch, S. F., Schoeman, N. J. ve Van Tonder, J. J. (2005). Economic growth and the structure of taxes in South Africa: 1960 – 2002. South African Journal of Economics, 73(2), 190-210.
  • Koester, R. B. ve Kormendi, R. C. (1989). Taxation, aggregate activity and economic growth: cross-country evidence on some supply-side hypotheses. Economic Inquiry, 27(3), 367-386.
  • Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(2006), 978-992.
  • Krusell, P., Quadrini, V. ve Rios-Rull, J. V. (1996). Are consumption taxes really better than income taxes?. Journal of Monetary Economics, 37(3), 475-503.
  • Lee, Y. ve Gordon, R. H. (2005), tax structure and economic growth. Journal of Public Economics, 89(5), 1027-1043.
  • Mamatzakis, E. C. (2005). The dynamic responses of growth to tax structure for Greece. Applied Economics Letters, 12(3), 177-180.
  • Mangır, F. ve Ertuğrul, H. M. (2012). Vergi yükü ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 1988-2011 Türkiye örneği. Maliye Dergisi, 162, 256-265.
  • Marsden, K. (1983). Links between taxes and economic growth: some empirical evidence on some supply side hypothesis. World Bank Staff Working Papers, No: 605.
  • McNabb K. ve LeMay-Boucher, P. (2014). Tax structures, economic growth and development. ICTD Working Paper 22.
  • Mdanat, M. F., Shotar, M., Samawi, G., Mulot, J., Arabiyat, T. S. ve Alzyadat, M. A. (2018). Tax structure and economic growth in Jordan, 1980-2015. EuroMed Journal of Business, 13(1), 102-127.
  • Mendoza, E. G., Milesi-Ferretti, G. M. ve Asea, P. (1997). On the ineffectiveness of tax policy in altering long-run growth: Harberger's superneutrality conjecture. Journal of Public Economics, 66(1), 99-126.
  • Muduli, D. K. ve Manık, N. (2020). Tax structure and economic growth in general category states in India: A panel auto regressive distributed lag approach. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 27(2), 225-240.
  • Nguyen, M. L. T., Hang, N. P. T., Bui, T. N. ve Tran, H. X. (2020). Interrelation of tax structure and economic growth: a case study. Journal Of Security And Sustainability Issues, 9(4), 1177-1187.
  • OECD Revenue Statistics. (2020, 15 Ağustos). Erişim adresi https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-revenue.htm#indicator-chart
  • Öztürk, N. (2014). Maliye Politikası (2. Baskı). Bursa: Ekin Basım Yayın.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967-1012.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H. ve Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2008), 50–93.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A. ve Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
  • Sağdıç, E. N. ve Aydın, D. (2021). Dolaylı ve dolaysız vergiler ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi: Türkiye örneği (2006-2018), International Journal of Public Finance, 6(1), 21-46.
  • Siverekli Demircan, E. (2003). Vergilendirmenin ekonomik büyüme ve kalkınmaya etkisi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 21, 97-116.
  • Skinner, J. (1988). Taxation and output growth in Africa, international economics department. World Bank Working Paper Series, No: 73.
  • Songur, M. ve Yüksel, C. (2018). Vergi yapısı ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi: Türkiye örneği. Finans, Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 643, 47-70.
  • Stoilova, D. (2017). Tax structure and economic growth: Evidencefrom the European Union. Contaduría y Administración, 62(2017), 1041–1057.
  • Swamy, P. A. V. B. (1970). Efficient inference in a random coefficient regression model. Econometrica, 38(2), 311-323.
  • Şen, H. ve Sağbaş, İ. (2016). Vergi teorisi ve politikası. Ankara: Kalkan Matbaacılık.
  • Taha, R., Nanthakumar, L. ve Colombage, S. R. (2011). The effect of economic growth on taxation revenue: the case of a newly industrialized country. International Review of Business Research Papers, 7(1), 319-329.
  • Todaro, M. P. ve Smith, S. C. (2014). Economic development (12th ed.). Harlow: Pearson.
  • Tokatlıoğlu, M. ve Selen, U. (2019). Maliye Politikası (2. baskı). Bursa: Ekin Basım Yayın.
  • Topal, M. H. (2017). Vergi yapısının ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi: OECD ülkelerinden ampirik bir kanıt. Siyaset, Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi, 5(3), 183-206.
  • Tosun, M. S. ve Abizadeh, S. (2005). Economic growth and tax components: an analysis of tax changes in OECD. Applied Economics, 37(19), 2251-2263.
  • Turhan, S. (1993). Vergi teorisi ve politikası. İstanbul: Filiz Kitabevi.
  • Ünlükaplan, İ. ve Arısoy, İ. (2011). Vergi yükü ve yapısı ile iktisadi büyüme arasındaki dinamik etkileşimler üzerine uygulamalı bir analiz. ODTÜ İktisadi Gelişme Dergisi, 38(1), 71-100.
  • Westerlund, J. ve Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(2007), 185-190.
  • Wet, A. H., Schoeman, N. J. ve Koch, S. F. (2005). The South African tax mix and economic growth. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 8(2), 201-210.
  • Widmalm, F. (2001). Tax structure and growth: are some taxes better than others?. Public Choice, 107(3-4), 199-219.
  • Xing, J. (2011). Does tax structure affect economic growth? Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Centre for Business Taxation, Oxford University, Working Paper, No: 11/20.
  • Xing, J. (2012). Tax structure and growth: how robust is the empirical evidence?. Economics Letters, 117(1), 379-382.
Toplam 63 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Göksel Karaş 0000-0003-4091-1258

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 17 Şubat 2022
Yayımlanma Tarihi 18 Şubat 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Karaş, G. (2022). Vergi yapısı ve ekonomik büyüme: G7 ülkeleri örneği. Gazi İktisat Ve İşletme Dergisi, 8(1), 94-114. https://doi.org/10.30855/gjeb.2022.8.1.007
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