Çok katmanlı algılayıcı ağı, uzun kısa süreli bellek ağı ve regresyon yöntemleri ile tarımsal kurutma tahmini

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 4, 1188 - 1206, 15.10.2022

İlyas Kacar , Cem Korkmaz

https://doi.org/10.17714/gumusfenbil.1110463

Cited By: 4

Öz

Tarımın önemli bir parçası olan gübrenin üretiminde kullanılan işlemlerden biri de kurutma işlemidir. Uygun kurutma parametrelerinin belirlenebilmesi, hem ürün kalitesi hem de üretim verimliliği açısından önemlidir. Kurutma işlem parametrelerinin belirlenmesinde regresyon yöntemleri sıklıkla kullanılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada regresyon yönteminin yanı sıra yapay sinir ağı, uzun kısa süreli bellek gibi makine öğrenme teknikleri de incelenmiştir. Modellemeler için %5 azot, %10 fosfor karışımından oluşan ticari bir organomineral gübrenin 70˚C, 75˚C ve 80˚C sıcaklıklarda kurutulması işleminden elde edilen veriler kullanılmıştır. Modellerden elde edilen sonuçlar ile deneysel sonuçlar kıyaslanmıştır. Her bir modelin tahmin performansları sunulmuştur. Uygun kurutma parametrelerini yakalamak, ürünün kurutma verimi açısından önemlidir. İlave olarak, kurutma simülasyonlarında, başarılı sonuçlar elde edilmesinde, model seçimi önemli rol oynamaktadır. Netice olarak, yapay sinir ağı ile oluşturulan modelin tahmin performansının diğerlerine göre daha başarılı olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Regresyonlar, mevcut verinin modellenmesinde verimli iken, ileriye yönelik tahminlerde başarılı olamamaktadırlar. Ayrıca kurutma verisi içerisindeki tepe ve çukurları tahmin etmede de yetersiz kalmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Çok katmanlı algılayıcı ağı, Makine öğrenmesi, Organik gübre, Regresyon, Tarımsal kurutma, Uzun kısa süreli bellek

Teşekkür

Dergi yönetimine bu çalışmamızın dergimizde yayınlanması için göstereceği gayret, ilgi ve alakaya şimdiden teşekkür ederiz

Prediction of agricultural drying using multi-layer perceptron network, long short term memory network and regression methods

Öz

One of the processes used in the production of fertilizers, which has become an important part of agriculture, is the drying process. Determination of proper drying parameters is important both in terms of product quality and production efficiency. Regression methods are used to determine the drying process parameters frequently. In this study, in addition to the regression method, machine learning techniques are also examined such as artificial neural network, long short term memory method. The data obtained from the drying process of a commercial organomineral fertilizer consisting of a mixture of 5% nitrogen and 10% phosphorus at 70˚C, 75˚C, and 80˚C were used for modelling. The simulation results obtained from the models of the methods and the data obtained from the experiments were compared. The predictions and performances of each model were presented. Determination the appropriate drying parameters is It is important for the drying efficiency of the product. In addition, model selection plays an important role in obtaining successful results in drying simulations. As a result, it has been observed that the prediction performance of the model created with the artificial neural network is more successful than the others. While regressions are efficient in modelling existing data, they are not successful in predicting. Moreover, it is not enough to predict the peak and pits in the drying data.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Multi layer perceptron network, Machine learning, Organic fertilizer, Regression, Agricultural drying, Long short time memory

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