İbrahim Anlaşmaları Sonrası Arap Yarımadasının Jeopolitik Analizi ve Türk Büyük Stratejisinin İmkânları/Kısıtları

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 39, 489 - 519, 27.09.2021

Ceyhun Çiçekçi

https://doi.org/10.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1001264

Öz

Son yıllarda Arap yarımadası devletleri bölgesel ve küresel politikada hiç olmadığı kadar büyük bir rol oynamaya başladılar. Özellikle Suudi Arabistan, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ve Bahreyn kendileriyle Türkiye arasında köklü bir jeopolitik rekabet yaratan bölgesel çatışmalara ulusal çıkarlarını gerçekleştirebilmek için dâhil oldular. Bugün, Türk dış ve güvenlik politikasındaki belki de en önemli sorun, Orta Doğu ve Doğu Akdeniz’deki Arap muhalefetidir. Bu soruna optimum bir cevap üretmek temelde Arap yarımadası devletlerinin jeopolitik bir tavırla yeniden değerlendirilmelerini gerektirir. Mackinder, Spykman ve Mahan’ın yeniden ölçeklendirilen teorilerine referansla bu çalışma, Arap yarımadası devletlerini klasik jeopolitiğin kavramlarına yerleştirmektedir. Bunu yaparak bu çalışma, son zamanlarda ortaya çıkan jeopolitik meydan okumaların üstesinden gelebilmesi için Türk tarafına birkaç münasip politika önerisi üretmektedir. Son olarak Türkiye’deki büyük strateji tartışmalarına özel bir referansla, olası Türk büyük stratejisinin imkânları ve kısıtları keşfedilecektir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Klasik Jeopolitik, Büyük Strateji, Türkiye, Arap Yarımadası, İbrahim Anlaşmaları

The Geopolitical Analysis of Arabian Peninsula and the Opportunities/Limits of Turkish Grand Strategy in the Aftermath of Abraham Accords

Öz

In recent years, Arabian peninsula states have started to play a bigger role in regional and global politics than ever before. Particularly Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain were involving the regional conflicts to realize their national interests, which created a radical geopolitical rivalry between them and Turkey. Today, maybe the most important problem in Turkish foreign and security policy is the Arabian opposition in the Middle East and East Mediterranean. Improving an optimum response to this problem basically needs a reevaluation of the Arabian peninsula states in a geopolitical manner. With reference to the rescaled theories of Mackinder, Spykman, and Mahan, this study places the Arabian peninsula states in the concepts of the classical geopolitics. By doing so, this study produces a few policy recommendations to Turkish side to deal with the recently emerged geopolitical challenges. Lastly, with a special reference to grand strategy debates in Turkey, the opportunities and limits of possible Turkish grand strategy will be explored.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Classical Geopolitics, Grand Strategy, Turkey, Arabian Peninsula, Abraham Records

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