TÜRKİYE’NİN SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR EKONOMİK BÜYÜMESİNDE TARIM, KENTLEŞME VE YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİNİN ETKİSİ: ARDL SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 2, 400 - 415, 29.12.2019

Mustafa Köseoğlu , Hüseyin Ünal

https://doi.org/10.17218/hititsosbil.590338

Cited By: 7

Öz

Bu çalışma Türkiye’de 1990-2016 dönemi için tarım, kentleşme ve
yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerini ARDL
sınır testi ile araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır. ARDL sınır testi sonuçlarına göre
tarım, kentleşme ve yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasında
eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin olduğu ortaya konulmuştur. Eşbütünleşme bulguları;
tarım, kentleşme ve yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin ekonomik büyümeyi uzun
dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediğini göstermektedir. Ayrıca seriler arasındaki
zamana bağlı dinamik ilişkileri incelemek için hata düzeltme modeli (ECM)
kullanılmıştır. Uygulanan ECM analiz sonucunda hata düzeltme teriminin
katsayısı negatif ve %1 anlamlılık düzeyinde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı
bulunmuştur. Hata düzeltme teriminin negatif ve anlamlı bir katsayıya sahip
olması, serilerde kısa dönemde meydana gelen dengeden sapmaların uzun dönem
denge seviyesine yakınsadığını ifade etmektedir.  

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yenilenebilir Enerji, Kentleşme, Tarım, ARDL Modeli

Kaynakça

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