ESTIMATION OF IMPORT DEMAND FUNCTION FOR TURKEY (1970-2016)

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1, 127 - 139, 24.06.2019

Can Apaydın Aslı Seda Kurt

https://doi.org/10.24889/ifede.414919

Öz

The aim of this study is to estimate import
demand function for Turkey with ARDL bound testing method and by means of
elasticities. Time series that are used in this study are import, gross
domestic product and real effective exchange rate, which are obtained from
database of the OECD and FRED. These series are annual that includes between
1970 and 2016. At the end of the study, cointegration have been determined
among import, gross domestic product and real effective exchange rate. Besides,
as it is expected, income elasticity of import have been calculated as positive
(0.872) and real exchange rate elasticity of import as negative (-0.629).

Anahtar Kelimeler

ARDL Bound Test, Cointegration, Import Demand Function

TÜRKİYE İÇİN İTHALAT TALEP FONKSİYONU TAHMİNİ (1970-2016)

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye için ithalat talep fonksiyonunu ARDL sınır
testi yöntemiyle ve esneklikler yardımıyla tahmin emektir. Çalışmada kullanılan
zaman serileri OECD ve FRED veri tabanlarından edinilen ithalat, reel gayrisafi
yurtiçi hasıla ve reel efektif döviz kurudur. Bu seriler 1970-2016 arasını
kapsayan yıllık serilerdir. Çalışmanın sonunda ithalat, reel gayrisafi yurtiçi
hasıla ve reel efektif döviz kuru arasında eş bütünleşme saptanmıştır. Ayrıca
ithalatın gelir esnekliği beklenildiği gibi pozitif (0,872) ve reel döviz kuru
esnekliği de negatif (-0,629) hesaplanmıştır.  

Anahtar Kelimeler

ARDL Sınır Testi, Eş Bütünleşme, İthalat Talep Fonksiyonu

Kaynakça

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