Araştırma Makalesi

STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION

Cilt: 20 Sayı: 4 31 Ekim 2018
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STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION

Öz

The aim of this study is to determine asymmetric causal relationship between Turkish economy and freight rates in the ISTFIX region by separating the positive and negative shocks in the variables. Therefore, asymmetric causality test developed by Hatemi-J is used. Unlike other studies, some stock market variables in Turkey are selected as economic indicators and included in the analysis. Selected stock market variables are BIST 100, BIST Industrial and BIST Transportation indices. The data set used in the study consists of 558 observations on a weekly basis covering the dates between 1st January 2018 and 10th September 2018. As a result of the study, while causal relationships are expected between both negative and positive shocks, only negative shocks in all three stock exchanges are found to cause negative shocks in the ISTFIX index. This results suggest that negative news in the economy is felt directly in the maritime market, but the impact of positive news is not immediately reflected. Furthermore, it is thought that the producers refrain from ordering more raw materials when they encounter negative shocks in the market and negatively affect the demand for sea transportation, which also causes to decrease in the freight rates. These results also indicate that the stock values in Turkey may be a leading indicator for the freight market in the ISTFIX region.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Adaramola, A. O. (2011). The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Stock Prices in Nigeria. Developing Country Studies, 1(2), 1-14.
  2. Ake, B. (2010). The Role of Stock Market Development in Economic Growth: Evidence from Some Euronext Countries. International Journal of Financial Research, 1(1),14-20.
  3. Ali, I., Rehman, K. U., Yilmaz, A. K., Khan, M. A., & Afzal, H. (2010). Causal Relationship Between Macro-Economic Indicators and Stock Exchange Prices in Pakistan. African Journal of Business Management, 4(3), 312-319.
  4. Aylward, A., & Glen, J. (2000). Some International Evidence on Stock Prices as Leading Indicators of Economic Activity. Applied Financial Economics, 10(1), 1-14.
  5. Bildirici, M. E., & Turkmen, C. (2015). Nonlinear Causality Between Oil and Precious Metals. Resources Policy, 46, 202-211.
  6. Bornozis, N. (2006). Dry Bulk Shipping: The Engine of Global Trade. White Paper.
  7. Chaudhuri, K., & Smiles, S. (2004). Stock Market and Aggregate Economic Activity: Evidence from Australia. Applied Financial Economics, 14(2), 121-129.
  8. Chistè, C., & Van Vuuren, G. (2014). Investigating The Cyclical Behavior of the Dry Bulk Shipping Market. Maritime Policy & Management, 41(1), 1-19.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

-

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

31 Ekim 2018

Gönderilme Tarihi

24 Eylül 2018

Kabul Tarihi

15 Ekim 2018

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2018 Cilt: 20 Sayı: 4

Kaynak Göster

APA
Başer, S. Ö., & Açık, A. (2018). STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 20(4), 77-88. https://doi.org/10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354
AMA
1.Başer SÖ, Açık A. STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018;20(4):77-88. doi:10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354
Chicago
Başer, Sadık Özlen, ve Abdullah Açık. 2018. “STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION”. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 20 (4): 77-88. https://doi.org/10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354.
EndNote
Başer SÖ, Açık A (01 Ekim 2018) STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 20 4 77–88.
IEEE
[1]S. Ö. Başer ve A. Açık, “STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION”, Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 20, sy 4, ss. 77–88, Eki. 2018, doi: 10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354.
ISNAD
Başer, Sadık Özlen - Açık, Abdullah. “STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION”. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 20/4 (01 Ekim 2018): 77-88. https://doi.org/10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354.
JAMA
1.Başer SÖ, Açık A. STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018;20:77–88.
MLA
Başer, Sadık Özlen, ve Abdullah Açık. “STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION”. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 20, sy 4, Ekim 2018, ss. 77-88, doi:10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354.
Vancouver
1.Sadık Özlen Başer, Abdullah Açık. STOCK MARKET AS AN INDICATOR OF MARITIME TRANSPORT DEMAND: AN EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY AND ISTFIX REGION. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 01 Ekim 2018;20(4):77-88. doi:10.21180/iibfdkastamonu.463354