Kahramanmaraş Sanayi Performansındaki Deprem Kaynaklı Değişimlerin Gri İlişkisel Analiz ile İncelenmesi

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, 6 Şubat 2023 Kahramanmaraş depremleri sonrasında Kahramanmaraş’ın sanayi ve ekonomik kırılganlığını çok kriterli karar verme yaklaşımı çerçevesinde analiz etmektir. Çalışmada yeni kurulan şirket sayısı, kapanan şirket sayısı, ihracat, ithalat, istihdam ve elektrik tüketimi gibi kriterler kullanılarak deprem öncesi dönem, depremin gerçekleştiği yıl ve deprem sonrası toparlanma süreci karşılaştırmalı olarak değerlendirilmiştir. Araştırmada Gri İlişkisel Analiz (GİA) yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın bulguları, depremin etkisiyle 2023 yılında ihracat, istihdam ve elektrik tüketimi gibi göstergelerde önemli düşüşlerin meydana geldiğini göstermektedir. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, 2022 yılı en yüksek performansın sergilendiği yıl, 2023 yılı ise en düşük performans düzeyinin görüldüğü yıl olarak belirlenmiştir. 2024 ve 2025 yıllarında özellikle istihdam ve yeni kurulan şirket sayısında gözlenen artışlar, sanayi sektörünün bir toparlanma sürecine girdiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Bununla birlikte, ihracat, ithalat ve elektrik tüketimi göstergelerinin henüz deprem öncesi seviyelere ulaşamadığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu çalışma, afet sonrası bölgesel sanayi performansının değerlendirilmesine katkı sağlamakta ve politika yapıcılar ile karar vericilere veri temelli çıkarımlar sunmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Afet Ekonomisi
• Ekonomik Kırılganlık
• Sanayi Performansı
• Çok Kriterli Karar Verme
• Gri İlişkisel Analiz

Investigation of Earthquake Induced Changes in the Industrial Performance of Kahramanmaraş Using Grey Relational Analysis

Öz

The aim of this study is to analyze the industrial and economic vulnerability of Kahramanmaraş after the February 6, 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes within the framework of a multi-criteria decision-making approach. This study uses criteria such as the number of newly established companies, the number of closed companies, exports, imports, employment, and electricity consumption; the pre-earthquake period, the earthquake year, and the post-earthquake recovery process are evaluated comparatively. Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) method was used in this research. The findings of the study indicate that significant declines were observed in indicators such as exports, employment, and electricity consumption in 2023 coinciding with the earthquake period. According to the analysis results, 2022 was identified as the year with the highest performance, whereas 2023 was determined to be the year with the lowest performance level. In 2024 and 2025, the increases observed especially in employment and the number of newly established companies reveal that the industry has entered a recovery process. However, it was determined that the export, import, and electricity consumption indicators have not yet reached pre-earthquake levels.  In conclusion, this study contributes to the evaluation of post-disaster regional 

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Disaster Economics
• Economic Vulnerability
• Industrial Performance
• Multi Criteria Decision Making
• Grey Relational Analysis

Kaynakça

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