Gelir Eşitsizliğinin Dış Borca Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği

Öz

Gelir eşitsizliği ve dış borç sorunu gelişmekte olan ülkeler için önem arz eden makroekonomik sorunların başında gelmekte ve birbiriyle ilişkili olduğu ifade edilmektedir. Bu çalışmada gelir eşitsizliğinin dış borçlar üzerindeki olası etkisi araştırılmıştır. Bu amaçla Türkiye ekonomisi ele alınmış ve 1989-2019 dönemi incelenmiştir. Çalışmada ARDL yöntemi kullanılmış ve uzun dönemde gelir eşitsizliğinin dış borçlar üzerindeki etkisinin anlamsız olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca kısa dönemde de dış borçlar üzerinde gelir eşitsizliğinin bir etkisinin bulunmadığı belirlenmiştir. Çalışmada Hacker ve Hatemi (2010) nedensellik testine de başvurulmuş ve dış borç ile gelir eşitsizliği arasında bir nedensellik ilişkisine rastlanmamıştır. Bu durumda Türkiye’de gelir eşitsizliğinin ve dış borçların birbirinden etkilenmediği sonucuna varılabilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Dış borç
• gelir eşitsizliği
• Türkiye

The Effect of Income Inequality on External Debt: The Case of Türkiye

Öz

Income inequality and external debt are among the most important macroeconomic problems for developing countries, and it is stated that they are interrelated. In this study, the possible impacts of income inequality on external debt were investigated. For this purpose, the Turkish economy was discussed and examined during the period 1989-2019. In the study, the ARDL method was used, and it was determined that in the long-run, the effect of income inequality on external debt is insignificant. In addition, it was also determined that income inequality has no effect on external debt in the short run. In the study, Hacker and Hatemi (2010) causality test was also applied, and the results showed that there is no causal relationship between external debt and income inequality. In this case, it can be concluded that income inequality and external debt are not affected by each other in Türkiye.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• External debt
• income inequality
• Türkiye

Kaynakça

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