Araştırma Makalesi
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Inflation Targeting Regime: Selected Developed Country Examples

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 40 Sayı: 3, 652 - 672, 16.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1630541

Öz

Since the Reserve Bank of New Zealand first adopted inflation targeting in 1989, this regime has spread worldwide and has been implemented not only by numerous industrialized countries but also by developing economies. Inflation targeting is a monetary policy regime in which central banks guide their policies by aiming for a specific inflation rate. The primary objective of this regime is to ensure price stability and maintain economic stability by managing inflation expectations. This study examines the theoretical framework of the inflation targeting regime and its implementation in different countries. Its main purpose is to determine whether the adoption of inflation targeting has been effective in reducing inflation rates and to assess the impact of this regime by analyzing the first four developed countries that adopted it: New Zealand, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Sweden. The findings of the study indicate that the implementation of the inflation targeting regime has successfully curbed high inflation rates in these countries and that the regime has proven to be sustainable.

Kaynakça

  • Bank of Canada (2021). Joint Statement of the Government of Canada and the Bank of Canada on the Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Joint-Statement-of-the-Government-of-Canada-and-the-Bank-of-Canada-on-the-Renewal-of-the-Monetary-Policy-Framework.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (26 October 2022). Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 50 basis points, continues quantitative tightening. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/10/fad-press-release-2022-10-26/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (25 October 2023). Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/10/fad-press-release-2023-10-25/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (23 October 2024). Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¾%. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/10/fad-press-release-2024-10-23/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of England (19 December 2024). Monetary Policy Summary, December 2024. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2024/december-2024, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Bank of England (03 November 2022). Monetary Policy Summary. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2022/november-2022, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Bank of England (02 November 2023). Monetary Policy Summary. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2023/november-2023, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Batini, N., & Laxton, D. (2006). Under what conditions can inflation targeting be adopted?: The experience of emerging markets. Documentos de Trabajo (Banco Central de Chile), Central Bank of Chile Working Papers No. 406
  • Beaudry, P., & Ruge‐Murcia, F. (2017). Canadian inflation targeting. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 50(5), 1556-1572.
  • Bylund, E., Iversen, J., & Vredin, A. (2024). Monetary policy in Sweden after the end of Bretton Woods. Sveriges Riksbank. Sverıges Riksbank Working Paper Series No.429.
  • Carter, T. J., Mendes, R. R., & Schembri, L. (2018). Credibility, flexibility and renewal: The evolution of inflation targeting in Canada. Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper.
  • Croce, E., & Khan, M. S. (2000). Monetary regimes and inflation targeting. Finance & Development, 37(3), 48-51.
  • DEİK (2024). İsveç Bilgi Notu. https://www.deik.org.tr/uploads/isvec-bilgi-notu-temmuz-2024.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 29.01.2025
  • Dodge, D. (2002). Inflation targeting in Canada: Experience and lessons. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 13(2), 113-124.
  • Eğilmez, M. (22 Eylül 2017). Niceliksel genişlemeden niceliksel sıkılaştırmaya. https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2017/09/niceliksel-gevsemeden-niceliksel.html, Erişim Tarihi: 16.01.2025
  • Fırat, M. (2021). İskandinav ülkelerinde ekonomik kriz dönemlerinde uygulanan maliye politikaları. International Journal of Socıal Humanıtıes Scıences Research, 8(65), 58-67.
  • Güngör, K. (2017). Thatcher’ın temel maliye-ekonomi politikaları ve Birleşik Krallık’taki etkileri. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 18(2), 1-20.
  • IMF, (2025). Inflation rate, average consumer prices, https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PCPIPCH@WEO, Erişim Tarihi: 27.01.2025
  • Jahan, S. (2012). Inflation targeting: Holding the line. Finance & Development, 4, 72-73.
  • Kara, A. H., & Orak, M. (2008). Enflasyon hedeflemesi. ekonomik tartışmalar konferansı. https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/6d56677c-1a8e-4a26-a4be-e4935b9a8533/kara_orak.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=ROOTWORKSPACE-6d56677c-1a8e-4a26-a4be-e4935b9a8533-m3fBal-, Erişim Tarihi: 16.01.2025
  • Kamber, G., Karagedikli, O., & Smith, C. (2015). Applying an ınflation-targeting lens to macroprodential policy" ınstitutions". International Journal of Central Banking, 11(1): 395-429.
  • Kendall, R., & Ng, T. (2013). The 2012 Policy Targets Agreement: an evolution in flexible inflation targeting in New Zealand. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, 76(4), 3-12.
  • Lin, S., & Ye, H. (2009). Does inflation targeting make a difference in developing countries?. Journal of Development economics, 89(1), 118-123.
  • Little, J. S., & Romano, T. F. (2009). Inflation targeting—central Bank practice overseas. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Public Policy Brief, No.1.
  • Masson, P. R., Savastano, M. A. ve Sharma, S., (1997), The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries. IMF Working Paper No.130. Washington, DC.
  • McCallum, B. T. (1996). Inflation Targeting in Canada, New Zealand, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and in General. Nber Working Paper Series, Working Paper No.5579, Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • McDermott, J., & Williams, R. (2018). Inflation targeting in New Zealand: an experience in evolution. Central bank frameworks: Evolution or revolution, 7-24.
  • Mishkin, F.S., (2004). Can inflation targeting work in emerging market countries? NBER, Working Paper No. 10646, Cambridge, MA.
  • Mishkin, F. S. (2000). Inflation targeting in emerging-market countries. The American Economic Review, 90 (2), 105-109.
  • Mishkin, F. S., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference?. NBER, Working Paper No. 12876, Cambridge, MA.
  • Monetary Policy Statement (2022). Statement of the MPC’s monetary policy strategy. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/publications/monetary-policy-statements/2022/mps-aug22/august-2022-monetary-policy-statement.pdf, 28.01.2025
  • New Zealand Parliament (19 December 2023). Reserve Bank of New Zealand (Economic Objektive) Amendment Bill. https://bills.parliament.nz/v/6/c2a1d856-adc2-4b6a-19e5-08dbfadead1f?Tab=hansard, Erişim Tarihi: 28.01.2025
  • Orphanides, A., & Wieland, V. (1999). Inflation zone targeting. European Central Bank, Working Paper No.8, Germany, Frankfurt.
  • Örnek, G. (2023). İsveç Krallığı dönemsel dış temsilcilik raporu. T.C. Ticaret Bakanlığı. https://ticaret.gov.tr/data/641da8fd13b87680cc7ab4c0/D%C3%B6nemsel%20Temsilcilik%20Raporu_2023_Ocak-Eyl%C3%, Erişim Tarihi: 25.01.2025
  • Öztürk, S. (2009). Enflasyon hedeflemesi yaklaşımı: Gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin karşılaştırmalı analizi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Dergisi, 16(1), 191-205.
  • Pétursson, Þ. G. (2004). The effects of inflation targeting on macroeconomic performance. Central Bank of Iceland Working Papers No.23.
  • RBNZ Act (16 August 2021). Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act 2021, https://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/2021/0031/latest/LMS286978.html, Erişim Tarihi: 28.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2022). In Retrospect: Monetary Policy in New Zealand 2017-22. A Review. Peer Review Commissioned by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/publications/monetary-policy-statements/2022/rafimp---in-retrospect-monetary-policy-in-new-zealand-2017-22.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2023). History of the Remit and policy targets agreement. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/about-monetary-policy/history-of-the-remit-and-policy-targets-agreement, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2024). OCR 4.25% - OCR lowered further as inflation returns to target. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2024/11/ocr-425-ocr-lowered-further-as-inflation-returns-to-target, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • Riksbank, (2023). History of the inflation target. https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/monetary-policy/the-inflation-target/history-of-the-inflation-target/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Rose, A. K. (2007). A stable international monetary system emerges: Inflation targeting is Bretton Woods, reversed. Journal of International Money and Finance, 26(5), 663-681.
  • Sidki, S. (2024). Inflation targeting in the MENA Region: The cases of Egypt, Turkey and Morocco. International Journal of Research in Economics and Finance, 1(4), 116-130.
  • Statistics Sweden, 2025. https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/prices-and-consumption/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-cpi/pong/tables-and-graphs/consumer-price-index-cpi/inflation-in-sweden/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Walsh, C. E. (2009). Inflation targeting: what have we learned?. International Finance, 12(2), 195-233.

Enflasyon Hedeflemesi Rejimi: Seçilmiş Gelişmiş Ülke Örnekleri

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 40 Sayı: 3, 652 - 672, 16.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1630541

Öz

Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası'nın 1989 yılında enflasyon hedeflemesini ilk kez benimsemesinden bu yana, enflasyon hedeflemesi dünya çapında yaygınlaşmış ve çok sayıda sanayi ülkesinin yanı sıra gelişmekte olan ekonomiler tarafından da uygulanmıştır. Enflasyon hedeflemesi; merkez bankalarının para politikasını belirli bir enflasyon oranını hedefleyerek yönlendirdiği bir rejimdir. Bu rejimde temel amaç, fiyat istikrarını sağlamak ve enflasyon beklentilerini yöneterek ekonomik istikrarı korumaktır. Enflasyon hedeflemesi rejiminin teorik çerçevesini ve farklı ülkelerdeki uygulamalarını inceleyen bu çalışmanın amacı, enflasyon hedeflemesi rejiminin benimsenmesinin ardından enflasyon oranlarını düşürmede etkili olup olmadığını anlamak ve bu rejimi benimseyen ilk dört gelişmiş ülke (Yeni Zelanda, Kanada, Birleşik Krallık ve İsveç) üzerinden rejimin etkisini değerlendirmektir. Çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlar enflasyon hedeflemesi rejiminin uygulanmasıyla birlikte söz konusu ülkelerdeki yüksek enflasyon oranlarının dizginlendiğini ve rejimin sürdürülebilir olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Bank of Canada (2021). Joint Statement of the Government of Canada and the Bank of Canada on the Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Joint-Statement-of-the-Government-of-Canada-and-the-Bank-of-Canada-on-the-Renewal-of-the-Monetary-Policy-Framework.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (26 October 2022). Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 50 basis points, continues quantitative tightening. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/10/fad-press-release-2022-10-26/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (25 October 2023). Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/10/fad-press-release-2023-10-25/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of Canada (23 October 2024). Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¾%. https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/10/fad-press-release-2024-10-23/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Bank of England (19 December 2024). Monetary Policy Summary, December 2024. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes/2024/december-2024, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Bank of England (03 November 2022). Monetary Policy Summary. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2022/november-2022, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Bank of England (02 November 2023). Monetary Policy Summary. https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2023/november-2023, Erişim Tarihi: 20.01.2025
  • Batini, N., & Laxton, D. (2006). Under what conditions can inflation targeting be adopted?: The experience of emerging markets. Documentos de Trabajo (Banco Central de Chile), Central Bank of Chile Working Papers No. 406
  • Beaudry, P., & Ruge‐Murcia, F. (2017). Canadian inflation targeting. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 50(5), 1556-1572.
  • Bylund, E., Iversen, J., & Vredin, A. (2024). Monetary policy in Sweden after the end of Bretton Woods. Sveriges Riksbank. Sverıges Riksbank Working Paper Series No.429.
  • Carter, T. J., Mendes, R. R., & Schembri, L. (2018). Credibility, flexibility and renewal: The evolution of inflation targeting in Canada. Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper.
  • Croce, E., & Khan, M. S. (2000). Monetary regimes and inflation targeting. Finance & Development, 37(3), 48-51.
  • DEİK (2024). İsveç Bilgi Notu. https://www.deik.org.tr/uploads/isvec-bilgi-notu-temmuz-2024.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 29.01.2025
  • Dodge, D. (2002). Inflation targeting in Canada: Experience and lessons. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 13(2), 113-124.
  • Eğilmez, M. (22 Eylül 2017). Niceliksel genişlemeden niceliksel sıkılaştırmaya. https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2017/09/niceliksel-gevsemeden-niceliksel.html, Erişim Tarihi: 16.01.2025
  • Fırat, M. (2021). İskandinav ülkelerinde ekonomik kriz dönemlerinde uygulanan maliye politikaları. International Journal of Socıal Humanıtıes Scıences Research, 8(65), 58-67.
  • Güngör, K. (2017). Thatcher’ın temel maliye-ekonomi politikaları ve Birleşik Krallık’taki etkileri. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 18(2), 1-20.
  • IMF, (2025). Inflation rate, average consumer prices, https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PCPIPCH@WEO, Erişim Tarihi: 27.01.2025
  • Jahan, S. (2012). Inflation targeting: Holding the line. Finance & Development, 4, 72-73.
  • Kara, A. H., & Orak, M. (2008). Enflasyon hedeflemesi. ekonomik tartışmalar konferansı. https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/6d56677c-1a8e-4a26-a4be-e4935b9a8533/kara_orak.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=ROOTWORKSPACE-6d56677c-1a8e-4a26-a4be-e4935b9a8533-m3fBal-, Erişim Tarihi: 16.01.2025
  • Kamber, G., Karagedikli, O., & Smith, C. (2015). Applying an ınflation-targeting lens to macroprodential policy" ınstitutions". International Journal of Central Banking, 11(1): 395-429.
  • Kendall, R., & Ng, T. (2013). The 2012 Policy Targets Agreement: an evolution in flexible inflation targeting in New Zealand. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, 76(4), 3-12.
  • Lin, S., & Ye, H. (2009). Does inflation targeting make a difference in developing countries?. Journal of Development economics, 89(1), 118-123.
  • Little, J. S., & Romano, T. F. (2009). Inflation targeting—central Bank practice overseas. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Public Policy Brief, No.1.
  • Masson, P. R., Savastano, M. A. ve Sharma, S., (1997), The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries. IMF Working Paper No.130. Washington, DC.
  • McCallum, B. T. (1996). Inflation Targeting in Canada, New Zealand, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and in General. Nber Working Paper Series, Working Paper No.5579, Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • McDermott, J., & Williams, R. (2018). Inflation targeting in New Zealand: an experience in evolution. Central bank frameworks: Evolution or revolution, 7-24.
  • Mishkin, F.S., (2004). Can inflation targeting work in emerging market countries? NBER, Working Paper No. 10646, Cambridge, MA.
  • Mishkin, F. S. (2000). Inflation targeting in emerging-market countries. The American Economic Review, 90 (2), 105-109.
  • Mishkin, F. S., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference?. NBER, Working Paper No. 12876, Cambridge, MA.
  • Monetary Policy Statement (2022). Statement of the MPC’s monetary policy strategy. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/publications/monetary-policy-statements/2022/mps-aug22/august-2022-monetary-policy-statement.pdf, 28.01.2025
  • New Zealand Parliament (19 December 2023). Reserve Bank of New Zealand (Economic Objektive) Amendment Bill. https://bills.parliament.nz/v/6/c2a1d856-adc2-4b6a-19e5-08dbfadead1f?Tab=hansard, Erişim Tarihi: 28.01.2025
  • Orphanides, A., & Wieland, V. (1999). Inflation zone targeting. European Central Bank, Working Paper No.8, Germany, Frankfurt.
  • Örnek, G. (2023). İsveç Krallığı dönemsel dış temsilcilik raporu. T.C. Ticaret Bakanlığı. https://ticaret.gov.tr/data/641da8fd13b87680cc7ab4c0/D%C3%B6nemsel%20Temsilcilik%20Raporu_2023_Ocak-Eyl%C3%, Erişim Tarihi: 25.01.2025
  • Öztürk, S. (2009). Enflasyon hedeflemesi yaklaşımı: Gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin karşılaştırmalı analizi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Dergisi, 16(1), 191-205.
  • Pétursson, Þ. G. (2004). The effects of inflation targeting on macroeconomic performance. Central Bank of Iceland Working Papers No.23.
  • RBNZ Act (16 August 2021). Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act 2021, https://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/2021/0031/latest/LMS286978.html, Erişim Tarihi: 28.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2022). In Retrospect: Monetary Policy in New Zealand 2017-22. A Review. Peer Review Commissioned by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/publications/monetary-policy-statements/2022/rafimp---in-retrospect-monetary-policy-in-new-zealand-2017-22.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2023). History of the Remit and policy targets agreement. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/about-monetary-policy/history-of-the-remit-and-policy-targets-agreement, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • RBNZ (2024). OCR 4.25% - OCR lowered further as inflation returns to target. https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2024/11/ocr-425-ocr-lowered-further-as-inflation-returns-to-target, Erişim Tarihi: 22.01.2025
  • Riksbank, (2023). History of the inflation target. https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/monetary-policy/the-inflation-target/history-of-the-inflation-target/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Rose, A. K. (2007). A stable international monetary system emerges: Inflation targeting is Bretton Woods, reversed. Journal of International Money and Finance, 26(5), 663-681.
  • Sidki, S. (2024). Inflation targeting in the MENA Region: The cases of Egypt, Turkey and Morocco. International Journal of Research in Economics and Finance, 1(4), 116-130.
  • Statistics Sweden, 2025. https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/prices-and-consumption/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-cpi/pong/tables-and-graphs/consumer-price-index-cpi/inflation-in-sweden/, Erişim Tarihi: 17.01.2025
  • Walsh, C. E. (2009). Inflation targeting: what have we learned?. International Finance, 12(2), 195-233.
Toplam 45 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Maliye Politikası
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Merve Yolal 0000-0001-5980-5610

Gönderilme Tarihi 31 Ocak 2025
Kabul Tarihi 22 Nisan 2025
Erken Görünüm Tarihi 14 Temmuz 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 16 Temmuz 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 40 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Yolal, M. (2025). Enflasyon Hedeflemesi Rejimi: Seçilmiş Gelişmiş Ülke Örnekleri. İzmir İktisat Dergisi, 40(3), 652-672. https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1630541

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İZMİR İKTİSAT DERGİSİ 2022 yılı 37. cilt 1. sayı ile birlikte sadece elektronik olarak yayınlanmaya başlamıştır.