YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİNİN ENERJİ GÜVENLİĞİ RİSKİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE'DEN KANITLAR

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3, 862 - 880, 30.09.2025

İbrahim Halil Polat , Serhat Çamkaya

Öz

Günümüz dünyasında enerji güvenliği hem siyasi hem de ekonomik tartışmalarda ön plana çıkmaktadır. Fakat, bu değişkenin olası, siyasi, ekonomik ve çevresel etkileri oldukça sınırlı sayıda çalışmaya konu olmuştur. Bu doğrultuda, bu çalışmanın temel amacı, Türkiye için 1980-2018 yılları arasındaki zaman serisi verilerini kullanarak yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin (REN), enerji güvenliği riski (ESR) üzerindeki etkisini incelemektedir. Çalışmada kullanılan verilerin ulaşılabilirliğe bağlı olarak incelenen dönem 1980-2018 olarak sınırlandırılmıştır. Ayrıca, ekonomik büyüme (GDP) ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımların (FDI) da ESR üzerindeki etkisi araştırılmıştır. Söz konusu etkiler öncelikle ARDL yaklaşımıyla test edilmiş ve bu yaklaşımın sağlamlık sınaması FMOLS, DOLS ve CCR tahmincileriyle gerçekleştirilmiştir. Çalışmanın literatüre en önemli katkısı, uluslararası literatürde yenilenebilir enerji ile enerji güvenliği arasındaki ilişkiyi inceleyen çalışmaların sınırlı sayıda olması ve bildiğimiz kadarıyla Türkiye bağlamında bu tür ampirik bir çalışmaya rastlanılmamış olmasıdır. Sonuçlar, Türkiye’de ESR üzerinde REN ve FDI’nin negatif, GDP’nin ise pozitif etkili olduğunu göstermektedir. Bulgulardan hareketle, Türkiye’deki politikacılar yenilenebilir enerjiye daha fazla yatırım yapacak politikaları devreye sokmalıdırlar. Böylece, enerji güvenliği riski sonucunda ortaya çıkacak olumsuzluklar hafifletilmiş olur

Anahtar Kelimeler

Enerji Güvenliği Riski , Yenilenebilir Enerji , ekonometrik Model , Türkiye

Etik Beyan

YOK

Destekleyen Kurum

YOK

Teşekkür

Sayın hocam vereceğiniz emekler için şimdiden teşekkür ederiz.

THE EFFECT OF RENEWABLE ENERGY ON ENERGY SECURITY RISKS: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY

Öz

In today’s world, energy security has become a prominent topic in both political and economic discussions. However, the potential political, economic, and environmental impacts of this variable have been the subject of relatively few studies. Accordingly, the primary aim of this study is to examine the effect of renewable energy consumption (REN) on energy security risk (ESR) for Turkey, using time series data from 1980 to 2018. The period under review is limited to 1980-2018, based on data availability. Additionally, the impact of economic growth (GDP) and foreign direct investment (FDI) on ESR is also investigated. These effects were first tested with the ARDL approach, and robustness checks were conducted using FMOLS, DOLS, and CCR estimators. The study’s main contribution to the literature lies in the limited number of international studies examining the relationship between renewable energy and energy security and, to our knowledge, the absence of such an empirical study in the Turkish context. The results indicate that REN and FDI have a negative impact on ESR in Turkey, while GDP has a positive impact. Based on these findings, policymakers in Turkey should implement policies that encourage further investment in renewable energy, thus mitigating the potential adverse outcomes associated with energy security risks.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Energy Security Rısk , Renewable energy , Econometric Modeling , Turkey

Kaynakça

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