The Positivity of Peace Intra-and Inter-State: Strategizing the Balance of Peace-State in Multi-Level Conflict Management Approach

Öz

Bu çalışmada devlet-içi ve devletler-arası çatışmaların analizinde tutarlı bir çatışma yönetimi yaklaşımı elde etmek için, gerçek yaşamda koşulların karmaşıklığı da göz önünde bulundurularak iki hipergame modeli geliştirilmiştir. Amaç ulus-içi ve uluslar-arasında, savaş yerine barışı sağlamak için Uluslararası İlişkiler ve medya alanındaki teorileri kullanarak bileşik bir diplomatik-stratejik yaklaşım geliştirmektir. Bu amaca yönelik olarak çalışmada, ulusal-bölgesel ve küresel planda devlet-içi ve devletler-arasında çatışmalarda kazan-kazan formülüne dayalı dengeli, pozitif barışa ulaştıracak bir modelleme elde etmek amacıyla teorik-metodolojik bir temel olarak hipergame teorisi kullanılmıştır. Makalede yer alan denklemlerle, çalışmanın stratejik olarak uygulanabilir olduğu ve çalışmanın temel dengesinin (Pozitif Barış İçin Hipergame Oyun Modelinin ), (Barışın Küresel Hegemonyasına Karşı Savaşın Gerçekçi Hegemonyasının Kaçınılmazlığı) ikili formülüne eş değer olduğu ortaya konulmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Hiper Oyun Teorisi
• Post-Yapısalcılık
• Kültür Endüstrisi
• İnşacılık
• Nash Dengesi

The Positivity of Peace Intra-and Inter-State: Strategizing the Balance of Peace-State in Multi-Level Conflict Management Approach

Öz

This study develops two hypergame-models of intra-and inter-state conflicts within one coherent conflict management approach, modeling conflicts while considering the complexity of real-world circumstances. The aim is to apply theories of IR and media fields, composing a merged diplomatic-strategic approach for achieving peace rather than war within and inter-nations. Using the hypergame theory as a theoretical-methodological basis for modeling, we stand firmly at some equilibria positions, specifying the modality of achieving positive peace as a “win-win” formula nationally, regionally, and globally, thence strategizing a balance of peace-state of intra-and-inter-state conflicts. It can be argued that this study’s (Positivity of Peace Hypergame Model)’s fundamental equilibrium is equivalently equal to the dual formula of (Global Hegemony of Peace Versus Realist Hegemony of War’s Inevitability) as proved strategically, applicably through our provided equations. Also, a (Balance of Peace-State Hypergame Model)’s equilibria of intra-state conflicts occur at the (Mini-Maximum Equilibrium) and (Nash Equilibrium) positions. Simultaneously, this model’s solution points of the inter-state conflicts are achieved parallelly with the occurrence of three Nash equilibria, where the success of a peace process might be “limited, normal, or multiplied” as given within its relevant equations.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Hypergame Theory
• Post-structuralism
• Culture Industry
• Constructivism
• Nash Equilibrium

Kaynakça

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