Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar Türkiye’de Çevre Kalitesi Üzerinde Etkili mi? Asimetrik ARDL Yöntemi ile Bir Yaklaşım

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 17, 30 - 46, 27.02.2022

Serhat Çamkaya İbrahim Halil Polat Ümmügülsüm Polat

https://doi.org/10.25204/iktisad.1023839

Öz

Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde doğrudan yabancı yatırımların sağladığı ekonomik avantajlar ve çevre kalitesi açısından dezavantajların olup olmadığı konusunda literatürde tartışmalar bulunmaktadır. Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi çerçevesinde incelenen bu tartışmalar birçok ampirik çalışmaya konu olmuştur. Bu çalışma, Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi çerçevesinde Türkiye için karbon emisyonları, ekonomik büyüme, enerji kullanım miktarı, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve ticarete açıklık arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmayı ve söz konusu hipotezin Türkiye'de geçerli olup olmadığını test etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Çalışmada hipotezin Türkiye'deki geçerliliği 1970-2018 yıllarına ait veriler kullanılarak NARDL yöntemi ile test edilmiştir. Bulgular, Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezinin uzun vadede Türkiye için geçerli olduğunu doğrulamaktadır. Büyüme ve enerji kullanımındaki olumsuz şokların karbon emisyonlarını azalttığı, enerji kullanımı ve ticarete açıklığa yönelik pozitif şokların ise uzun vadede karbon emisyonlarını artırdığı belirlenmiştir. Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezinin kısa vadede geçerli olmadığına ilişkin bulgular da çalışmadan elde edilen diğer bulgular arasındadır. Ayrıca kısa dönemde büyüme ve ticarete açıklıktaki negatif şok ile enerji kullanım miktarındaki negatif ve pozitif şokun anlamlı olduğu tespit edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Çevresel Kalite, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi, NARDL Yöntemi.

Are Foreign Direct Investments Effective on Environmental Quality in Turkey? An Approach with Non-Linear ARDL Method

Öz

There are discussions in the literature on whether there are disadvantages in terms of environmental quality and the economic advantages provided by foreign direct investments in developing countries. These discussions, which were studied within the framework of the Pollution Haven Hypothesis, have been the subject of many empirical studies. This study aims to investigate the relationship between carbon emissions, economic growth, amount of energy use, foreign direct investments, and trade openness for Turkey within the Pollution Haven Hypothesis framework and test whether the hypothesis mentioned above is valid in Turkey. In the study, the validity of the hypothesis in Turkey was tested using the NARDL method between 1970 and 2018. The findings validate that the Pollution Haven Hypothesis is valid for Turkey in the long term. It was also determined that negative shocks in growth and energy use reduce carbon emissions, while positive shocks in energy use and trade openness increase carbon emissions in the long term. The findings that the Pollution Haven Hypothesis is not valid in the short term are among the other findings obtained from the study. Also, it was determined that the negative shock in growth and trade openness and negative and positive shock in the amount of energy use are significant in the short term.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Environmental Quality, Foreign Direct Investments, Pollution Haven Hypothesis, NARDL Method

Kaynakça

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