HİNDİSTAN’IN GÜNEY KAFKASYA POLİTİKASI

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 2, 635 - 657, 31.12.2025

Esma Özdaşlı , Emrah Kaya

https://doi.org/10.54282/inijoss.1743539

Öz

Küresel sistemin şekillenmeye devam ettiği 21. yüzyılda Hindistan, yükselen bir güç olarak ön plana çıkmaktadır. Artmaya devam eden siyasi, ekonomik ve askeri kapasitesi sayesinde Hindistan, dünyanın çeşitli bölgelerinde varlık göstermeye ve farklı projeleri hayata geçirmeye çalışmaktadır. Bu bağlamda Hindistan’ın son dönemde yöneldiği alanlardan biri Güney Kafkasya’dır. Hindistan için Güney Kafkasya; Uluslararası Kuzey-Güney Ulaştırma Hattı, Azerbaycan’ı bölgesel etkisini dengeleme ve Pakistan ile Çin’le rekabet edebilmek açısından önemlidir. Hindistan'ın kimlik, çıkar, jeopolitik ve koridor beklentileri ve algıları politikalarını şekillendirmektedir. Dahası Hindistan’ın Güney Kafkasya politikasını Çin ile Pakistan gibi aktörler de etkilemektedir. Hindistan, Güney Kafkasya’da Ermenistan’la güçlü ilişkiler kurmayı ve bu ülkenin geçiş güzergâhı olmasını istemektedir. Hindistan, Gürcistan’la görece daha zayıf ilişkilere sahiptir. Hindistan'ın bölgede en önemli kazanımları Azerbaycan’la kuracağı ilişkilerden elde etme potansiyeli bulunmaktadır. Ancak Bakü'nün Keşmir politikası nedeniyle Azerbaycan’la gergin ilişkiler sürdüren Hindistan, Karabağ konusunda da Ermenistan yanlısı bir tutum izlemektedir. Bu çalışmada Hindistan’ın Güney Kafkasya politikası incelenmekte ve Hindistan’ı dış politikasında Güney Kafkasya’nın önemine odaklanılmaktadır. Çalışmanın amacı Hindistan’ın söz konusu bölgeye yönelik nasıl bir politika izlediği ve bölgeye hangi hedeflerle yöneldiğini tespit etmektir. Hindistan, bu bağlamda Güney Kafkasya’da maliyetli bir dış politika tercihi yapmaktadır. Keşmir konusunun Hindistan’ın dış politikasında öncelik taşıdığı ve Yeni Delhi’nin bölgesel çıkarlarının önüne geçtiği anlaşılmaktadır. Bu noktada Hindistan’ın Güney Kafkasya’da fırsat maliyeti rasyonel bir şekilde değerlendiremediği söylenebilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Hindistan , Güney Kafkasya , Azerbaycan , Ermenistan , Gürcistan

INDIA’S SOUTH CAUCASUS POLICY

Öz

As the global system continues to take shape, India stands out as a rising power in the 21st century. Thanks to its continuously growing political, economic, and military capabilities, India is striving to establish a presence in various regions of the world and implement diverse projects. In this context, one area India has recently focused on is the South Caucasus. For India, the South Caucasus is important for the International North-South Transport Corridor, balancing Azerbaijan’s regional influence, and being able to compete with Pakistan and China. India’s identity, interests, geopolitical expectations, and perceptions shape its policies. Furthermore, India’s South Caucasus policy is influenced by other actors, such as China and Pakistan. In the South Caucasus, India aims to establish strong relations with Armenia and position it as a transit route. India has relatively weaker relations with Georgia. India has the potential to obtain its most significant gains in the region through the relations it establishes with Azerbaijan. However, due to Baku’s policy on Kashmir, India maintains tense relations with Azerbaijan and pursues a pro-Armenia stance regarding the Karabakh issue. This study analyzes India’s South Caucasus policy and focuses on the importance of the South Caucasus in India's foreign policy. The study aims to determine the nature of India’s policy towards the region and its objectives. In this context, India is pursuing a costly foreign policy choice in the South Caucasus. It appears that the Kashmir issue holds priority in Indian foreign policy and takes precedence over New Delhi’s regional interests. At this point, it can be said that India has not adequately evaluate to rationally assess the opportunity cost in the South Caucasus.

Anahtar Kelimeler

India , South Caucasus , Azerbaijan , Armenia , Georgia

Kaynakça

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