Etkin ve Verimli Toparlanma İçin Depremden Etkilenen Bölgenin Ekonomik Yapısının İncelenmesine İlişkin Bir Girdi-Çıktı Modeli

Öz

Türkiye, dünyanın en aktif deprem kuşaklarından birinde yer alması nedeniyle sık sık depreme maruz kalmaktadır. Ülkenin güneydoğu kesiminde meydana gelen son depremlerin ardından, etkilenen bölgelerin yerel ve bölgesel ekonomilerindeki kayıpların hızla telafi edilmesi ihtiyacı, planlı bir ekonomik kalkınmanın sağlanması için ekonomik yapının analiz edilmesini son derece önemli hale getirmektedir. Bunu göz önünde bulunduran bu çalışma, etkili ve verimli bir ekonomik toparlanma için bu yerlerin yeniden yapılandırılması sürecinde yatırım için öncelik verilmesi gereken kilit ekonomik sektörleri araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır. Bunu yaparken, Leontief'in çalışmasına dayanan statik bir açık Girdi-Çıktı (I-O) Modeli benimsenmiştir. Yerel ekonomilerin mümkün olan en kısa sürede toparlanması ve kalkınması için yatırım önceliği gerektiren kilit sektörler, Hirschman tarafından önerilen dengesiz büyüme modeline dayanan kategorik bir sınıflandırma metodolojisi kullanılarak belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Deprem
• Ekonomik Etki
• Girdi-Çıktı Modeli
• Kilit Sektörler
• İyileştirme Stratejileri

AN INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL OF THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF THE EARTHQUAKE AFFECTED REGION IN TÜRKİYE FOR EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT RECOVERY

Öz

Türkiye is frequently exposed to earthquakes due to its location in one of the most active earthquake zones in the world. Following the recent earthquakes in the southeastern part of the country, the need to quickly recover from the losses in the local and regional economies of the affected areas makes it extremely important to analyze economic structure to ensure a planned economic development. In view of this, this study aims to investigate the key economic sectors that should be prioritized for investment in the reconstruction process of these places for an effective and efficient economic recovery. In doing so, a static explicit Input-Output (I-O) Model based on Leontief's work is adopted. The key sectors that require investment priority for the recovery and development of local economies in the shortest possible time have been identified using a categorical classification methodology based on the unbalanced growth model proposed by Hirschman.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Earthquake
• Economic Impact
• Input-Output Model
• Key Sectors
• Recovery Strategies

Kaynakça

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