Araştırma Makalesi
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Çin’in Enerji Arz Güvenliği Ekseninde Orta Asya’nın Jeopolitik Rolü

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2, 95 - 109, 31.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.62425/jirs.1814433
https://izlik.org/JA43CE83PL

Öz

Çin’in hızla artan enerji talebi ve sınırlı iç kaynakları, ülkeyi enerji arzını çeşitlendirme ve tedarik güvenliğini sağlama stratejilerini geliştirmeye yönlendirmiştir. Orta Asya, zengin petrol ve doğalgaz rezervleri ile Çin’e kara üzerinden doğrudan erişim imkânı sunması nedeniyle kritik bir bölge olarak öne çıkmaktadır. Bölgedeki altyapı projeleri, enerji iş birlikleri ve uzun vadeli anlaşmalar, Çin’in enerji güvenliğini güçlendirmenin yanı sıra ekonomik ve diplomatik etki kapasitesini artırmaktadır. Bu çalışma, Çin’in küresel enerji stratejisinde Orta Asya’nın stratejik rolünü ve bölgedeki jeopolitik dinamiklerin Çin’in enerji güvenliği, tedarik çeşitliliği ve bölgesel etki kapasitesi üzerindeki etkilerini bütüncül bir çerçevede incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Araştırmanın temel sorusu, Çin’in küresel enerji stratejisinde Orta Asya’nın neden stratejik bir konuma sahip olduğu ve bölgedeki jeopolitik faktörlerin Çin’in enerji politikalarını nasıl şekillendirdiğidir. Çalışmada Orta Asya’nın jeopolitik istikrarı, coğrafi konumu ve enerji kaynaklarının Çin’in stratejik hedefleri üzerindeki etkisi analiz edilmiştir. Bulgular, Orta Asya’nın Çin için yalnızca enerji arzı sağlamakla kalmayıp, Pekin’in bölgesel ve küresel güç projeksiyonunu destekleyen merkezi bir konumda olduğunu göstermektedir. Sonuç olarak, Orta Asya Çin’in enerji stratejisinde kritik bir rol oynamakta ve bölgedeki jeopolitik dinamikler, Çin’in enerji güvenliği ve bölgesel etki kapasitesinin şekillenmesinde belirleyici bir faktör olarak ortaya çıkmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Ali Hasanov, (2012). Jeopolitik, Babıali Yayınevi.
  • Belmadi, S. (2023). Maritime straits and energy supply security: Malacca Strait and its impact on China's energy security – A geostrategic outlook. Journal of Literature and Humanities, 6(2), 93-108.
  • Cannon, B. J., & Rossiter, A. (2025). Rethinking and arresting Eurasian hegemony: The centrality of Central Asia to Indo-Pacific strategies. International Affairs, 101(4), 1193–1212. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiaf064
  • Chen, Sai & Ding, Yueting & Nie, Rui. (2020). Resilience of China's oil import system under external shocks: A system dynamics simulation analysis. Energy Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111795
  • Chen, X. H., Tee, K., Elnahass, M., & Ahmed, R. (2023). Assessing the environmental impacts of renewable energy sources: A case study on air pollution and carbon emissions in China. Journal of Environmental Management, 345, 118525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118525 Chen, X., & Fazilov, F. (2018). Re-centering Central Asia: China’s “New Great Game” in the old Eurasian Heartland. Palgrave Communications, 4, 71. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-018-0125-5
  • Demiray, M., & İşcan, İ. H. (2008). ULUSLARARASI SİSTEMDE GÜVENLİK KAVRAMININ DEĞİŞİMİ EKONOMİK VE JEOPOLİTİK ARKA PLANI. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(21).
  • Donnellon-May, G. (2023, December 13). Beijing digs in for the Central Asia–China gas pipeline. Lowy Institute., https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/beijing-digs-central-asia-china-gas-pipeline, Accessed on:12.09.2025
  • Duhon, H., & Richards, T. (2025). SPE Delta section: A study of the role of oil in World War II and its strategic impact. Journal of Petroleum Technology, 77(02), 48-53. 10.2118/0225-0048-JPT
  • Gross, S. (2019). What Iran’s 1979 revolution meant for US and global oil markets. Brookings Institution. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-irans-1979-revolution-meant-for-us-and-global-oil-markets/, Accessed on:17.09.2025
  • Hayward, David. L. O. (2009, June 18). China's oil supply dependence. Energy Security (ENSEC). http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=197:chinas-oil-supply-dependence&catid=96:content&Itemid=345 , Accessed on:17.09.2025
  • Khan, K. H., Omidi, A., & Alkan, A. (2024). A Comparative Analysis of the Gas Pipeline Geopolitics of China and India in the Central Asia Republics. India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, 80(3), 400-420. https://doi.org/10.1177/09749284241264062 Klinke, I. (2018). Geopolitics and the political right: Lessons from Germany. International Affairs, 94(3), 495–514. https://www.jstor.org/stable/48767842 Kumar, S., & Chatnani, N. N. (2018). Achieving energy security through cross border investments: China’s energy infrastructure investments across Russia & Central Asia and lessons for India. Academy of Strategic Management Journal, 17(4), 1–13.
  • LaBelle, M.C. (2023) Energy as a weapon of war: Lessons from 50 years of energy interdependence. Global Policy, 14, 531–547. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13235
  • Lilli, E., (2018). Debating US Military Strategy in the Persian Gulf: What is the Way Forward?. Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional, 61(1), e002. https://doi.org/10.1590/0034-7329201800102
  • Liu, N. (2020). The rise of China and conservation of marine living resources in the polar regions. Marine Policy, 121, 104181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2020.104181
  • Lundén, T. (2022). The geopolitics of territorial relativity: Poland seen by Rudolf Kjellén. Miscellanea Geographica, 26(3), 136– 148. https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2022-0011
  • Ma, X., & Andrews‐Speed, P. (2006). The Overseas Activities of China’s National Oil Companies: Rationale and Outlook.
  • Minerals & Energy - Raw Materials Report, 21(1), 17–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/14041040500504343
  • Madiyev, O. (2017). Why have China and Russia become Uzbekistan’s biggest energy partners? Exploring the role of exogenous and endogenous factors. Cambridge Journal of Eurasian Studies, 1 https://doi.org/10.22261/QYJ7IT
  • Manić, E., & Stepić, M. (2015). Geopolitical and geoeconomical causes of the First World War. Serbian Political Thought, 7(1), 5–26.
  • Mat, B., & Khalid, A. (2024). China’s energy security strategy in Central Asia: A BRI and green energy perspective (2019–2024). China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies, 10(2), 155–185. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2377740024500076
  • Meidan, M. (2016). The structure of China’s oil industry: Past trends and future prospects (OIES Paper WPM 66). Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. https://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/The-structure-of-Chinas-oil-industry-past-trends-and-future-prospects-WPM-66.pdf
  • Munir, S. A. (2023) Oil and Geopolitics in the Middle East: An Analysis. Global Political Review, VIII(IV), 36-46. https://doi.org/10.31703/gpr.2023(VIII-IV).05
  • Nurdavletova, S. M., Yesdauletova, A. M., & Yesdauletov, A. O. (2023). Kazakh-Chinese cooperation in energy sphere. In RAIS Conference Proceedings (August 3–4, 2023). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8310139
  • Novikau, A. (2023). Energy security in security studies: A systematic review of twenty years of literature. Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, 17(1), 34–64. https://doi.org/10.51870/PDDC2102
  • Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe. (2022, March 9). Advancing energy security in Central Asia (Study).Office of the Co-ordinator of OSCE Economic and Environmental Activities. https://oceea.osce.org/sites/default/files/f/documents/8/8/513787_0.pdf
  • Papyan, Artyom. (2025). Oil, Power, and Law: Energy Security as a Driver of U.S. Foreign Policy in the Middle East. MSI Journal of Economics and Business Management (MSIJEBM), 2(8), 1–24. 10.5281/zenodo.16694435
  • Peyrouse, S. (2008). Chinese economic presence in Kazakhstan: China’s resolve and Central Asia’s apprehension. China Perspectives, (3), 34–49. https://doi.org/10.4000/chinaperspectives.4053
  • Pirani, S. (2019). Central Asian gas: Prospects for the 2020s. Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/central-asian-gas-prospects-for-the-2020s/
  • Raimondi, Pier Paolo (2019). Central Asia Oil and Gas Industry - The External Powers’ Energy Interests in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, Working Paper, No. 006.2019, https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/211165
  • Sevim, C. (2012). KÜRESEL ENERJİ JEOPOLİTİĞİ VE ENERJİ GÜVENLİĞİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, 7(26), 4378-4391. https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.90260
  • Topalidis, G. T., Kartalis, N. N., Velentzas, J. R., & Sidiropoulou, C. G. (2024). New developments in geopolitics: A reassessment of theories after 2023. Social Sciences, 13(2), 109. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci13020109
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2018, November 28). Japan has restarted five nuclear power reactors in 2018. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=37633 , Accessed on: 25.09.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2023, July 7). Country Analysis Brief: Japan. U.S. Department of Energy. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/japan/japan.pdf, Accessed on: 28.09.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2025, May 19). China Country Analysis Brief. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/China/pdf/China-2025, Accessed on: 04.10.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2025, May 19). China. https://www.eia.gov/international/overview/country/CHN, Accessed on: 09.10.2025
  • Wang, Z. (2015). Securing energy flows from Central Asia to China and the relevance of the Energy Charter Treaty to China.
  • Energy Charter Secretariat. https://www.energycharter.org/fileadmin/DocumentsMedia/Thematic/China_and_the_ECT_2015_en.pdf
  • World Nuclear Association. (2025, August 5). Nuclear power in Japan. library/country-profiles/countries-g-n/japan-nuclear-power https://world-nuclear.org/information-, Accessed on: 15.10.2025
  • Xie, Z. (2014). China’s Rising Maritime Strategy: Implications for its Territorial Disputes. Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies, 3(2), 111–124. https://doi.org/10.1080/24761028.2014.11869077
  • Xinhua News Agency. (2024, November 19). China–Central Asia gas pipeline transports over 500 billion cubic meters of natural gas https://english.www.gov.cn/archive/statistics/202411/19/content_WS673bd780c6d0868f4e8ed270.html, Accessed on: 24.10.2025
  • Yang, F., & Wang, D. (2015). Challenges and countermeasures of China’s energy security (Dissertation). https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-20547
  • Van de Graaf, T. (2019) A New World: The geopolitics of the energy transformation. Available from https://biblio.ugent.be/publication/8588274.
  • Zhang, P. (2015). New development of China’s energy strategy, Institute of Energy Economics, Japan. https://eneken.ieej.or.jp/data/6145.pdf
  • Zhiltsov, S. (2015). The great oil and gas road: First results and prospects. Central Asia & the Caucasus, 16(1), 69–79.

The Geopolitical Role of Central Asia in China’s Energy Supply Security Axis

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2, 95 - 109, 31.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.62425/jirs.1814433
https://izlik.org/JA43CE83PL

Öz

China’s rapidly increasing energy demand and limited domestic resources have prompted the country to develop strategies to diversify energy supply and ensure secure procurement. Central Asia emerges as a critical region due to its abundant oil and natural gas reserves and its direct overland access to China. Infrastructure projects, energy partnerships, and long-term agreements in the region not only strengthen China’s energy security but also enhance its economic and diplomatic influence. This study aims to examine the strategic role of Central Asia in China’s global energy strategy and to assess the impact of regional geopolitical dynamics on China’s energy security, supply diversification, and regional influence in a comprehensive framework. The main research question is why Central Asia holds a strategic position in China’s global energy strategy and how geopolitical factors in the region shape China’s energy policies. The study analyzes the geopolitical stability, geographical position, and energy resources of Central Asia in relation to China’s strategic objectives. The findings indicate that Central Asia not only provides an energy supply to China but also occupies a central position supporting Beijing’s regional and global power projection. Consequently, Central Asia plays a critical role in China’s energy strategy, and regional geopolitical dynamics are decisive factors shaping China’s energy security and regional influence.

Kaynakça

  • Ali Hasanov, (2012). Jeopolitik, Babıali Yayınevi.
  • Belmadi, S. (2023). Maritime straits and energy supply security: Malacca Strait and its impact on China's energy security – A geostrategic outlook. Journal of Literature and Humanities, 6(2), 93-108.
  • Cannon, B. J., & Rossiter, A. (2025). Rethinking and arresting Eurasian hegemony: The centrality of Central Asia to Indo-Pacific strategies. International Affairs, 101(4), 1193–1212. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiaf064
  • Chen, Sai & Ding, Yueting & Nie, Rui. (2020). Resilience of China's oil import system under external shocks: A system dynamics simulation analysis. Energy Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111795
  • Chen, X. H., Tee, K., Elnahass, M., & Ahmed, R. (2023). Assessing the environmental impacts of renewable energy sources: A case study on air pollution and carbon emissions in China. Journal of Environmental Management, 345, 118525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118525 Chen, X., & Fazilov, F. (2018). Re-centering Central Asia: China’s “New Great Game” in the old Eurasian Heartland. Palgrave Communications, 4, 71. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-018-0125-5
  • Demiray, M., & İşcan, İ. H. (2008). ULUSLARARASI SİSTEMDE GÜVENLİK KAVRAMININ DEĞİŞİMİ EKONOMİK VE JEOPOLİTİK ARKA PLANI. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(21).
  • Donnellon-May, G. (2023, December 13). Beijing digs in for the Central Asia–China gas pipeline. Lowy Institute., https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/beijing-digs-central-asia-china-gas-pipeline, Accessed on:12.09.2025
  • Duhon, H., & Richards, T. (2025). SPE Delta section: A study of the role of oil in World War II and its strategic impact. Journal of Petroleum Technology, 77(02), 48-53. 10.2118/0225-0048-JPT
  • Gross, S. (2019). What Iran’s 1979 revolution meant for US and global oil markets. Brookings Institution. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-irans-1979-revolution-meant-for-us-and-global-oil-markets/, Accessed on:17.09.2025
  • Hayward, David. L. O. (2009, June 18). China's oil supply dependence. Energy Security (ENSEC). http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=197:chinas-oil-supply-dependence&catid=96:content&Itemid=345 , Accessed on:17.09.2025
  • Khan, K. H., Omidi, A., & Alkan, A. (2024). A Comparative Analysis of the Gas Pipeline Geopolitics of China and India in the Central Asia Republics. India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, 80(3), 400-420. https://doi.org/10.1177/09749284241264062 Klinke, I. (2018). Geopolitics and the political right: Lessons from Germany. International Affairs, 94(3), 495–514. https://www.jstor.org/stable/48767842 Kumar, S., & Chatnani, N. N. (2018). Achieving energy security through cross border investments: China’s energy infrastructure investments across Russia & Central Asia and lessons for India. Academy of Strategic Management Journal, 17(4), 1–13.
  • LaBelle, M.C. (2023) Energy as a weapon of war: Lessons from 50 years of energy interdependence. Global Policy, 14, 531–547. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13235
  • Lilli, E., (2018). Debating US Military Strategy in the Persian Gulf: What is the Way Forward?. Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional, 61(1), e002. https://doi.org/10.1590/0034-7329201800102
  • Liu, N. (2020). The rise of China and conservation of marine living resources in the polar regions. Marine Policy, 121, 104181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2020.104181
  • Lundén, T. (2022). The geopolitics of territorial relativity: Poland seen by Rudolf Kjellén. Miscellanea Geographica, 26(3), 136– 148. https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2022-0011
  • Ma, X., & Andrews‐Speed, P. (2006). The Overseas Activities of China’s National Oil Companies: Rationale and Outlook.
  • Minerals & Energy - Raw Materials Report, 21(1), 17–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/14041040500504343
  • Madiyev, O. (2017). Why have China and Russia become Uzbekistan’s biggest energy partners? Exploring the role of exogenous and endogenous factors. Cambridge Journal of Eurasian Studies, 1 https://doi.org/10.22261/QYJ7IT
  • Manić, E., & Stepić, M. (2015). Geopolitical and geoeconomical causes of the First World War. Serbian Political Thought, 7(1), 5–26.
  • Mat, B., & Khalid, A. (2024). China’s energy security strategy in Central Asia: A BRI and green energy perspective (2019–2024). China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies, 10(2), 155–185. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2377740024500076
  • Meidan, M. (2016). The structure of China’s oil industry: Past trends and future prospects (OIES Paper WPM 66). Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. https://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/The-structure-of-Chinas-oil-industry-past-trends-and-future-prospects-WPM-66.pdf
  • Munir, S. A. (2023) Oil and Geopolitics in the Middle East: An Analysis. Global Political Review, VIII(IV), 36-46. https://doi.org/10.31703/gpr.2023(VIII-IV).05
  • Nurdavletova, S. M., Yesdauletova, A. M., & Yesdauletov, A. O. (2023). Kazakh-Chinese cooperation in energy sphere. In RAIS Conference Proceedings (August 3–4, 2023). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8310139
  • Novikau, A. (2023). Energy security in security studies: A systematic review of twenty years of literature. Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, 17(1), 34–64. https://doi.org/10.51870/PDDC2102
  • Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe. (2022, March 9). Advancing energy security in Central Asia (Study).Office of the Co-ordinator of OSCE Economic and Environmental Activities. https://oceea.osce.org/sites/default/files/f/documents/8/8/513787_0.pdf
  • Papyan, Artyom. (2025). Oil, Power, and Law: Energy Security as a Driver of U.S. Foreign Policy in the Middle East. MSI Journal of Economics and Business Management (MSIJEBM), 2(8), 1–24. 10.5281/zenodo.16694435
  • Peyrouse, S. (2008). Chinese economic presence in Kazakhstan: China’s resolve and Central Asia’s apprehension. China Perspectives, (3), 34–49. https://doi.org/10.4000/chinaperspectives.4053
  • Pirani, S. (2019). Central Asian gas: Prospects for the 2020s. Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/central-asian-gas-prospects-for-the-2020s/
  • Raimondi, Pier Paolo (2019). Central Asia Oil and Gas Industry - The External Powers’ Energy Interests in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, Working Paper, No. 006.2019, https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/211165
  • Sevim, C. (2012). KÜRESEL ENERJİ JEOPOLİTİĞİ VE ENERJİ GÜVENLİĞİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, 7(26), 4378-4391. https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.90260
  • Topalidis, G. T., Kartalis, N. N., Velentzas, J. R., & Sidiropoulou, C. G. (2024). New developments in geopolitics: A reassessment of theories after 2023. Social Sciences, 13(2), 109. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci13020109
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2018, November 28). Japan has restarted five nuclear power reactors in 2018. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=37633 , Accessed on: 25.09.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2023, July 7). Country Analysis Brief: Japan. U.S. Department of Energy. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/japan/japan.pdf, Accessed on: 28.09.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2025, May 19). China Country Analysis Brief. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/China/pdf/China-2025, Accessed on: 04.10.2025
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2025, May 19). China. https://www.eia.gov/international/overview/country/CHN, Accessed on: 09.10.2025
  • Wang, Z. (2015). Securing energy flows from Central Asia to China and the relevance of the Energy Charter Treaty to China.
  • Energy Charter Secretariat. https://www.energycharter.org/fileadmin/DocumentsMedia/Thematic/China_and_the_ECT_2015_en.pdf
  • World Nuclear Association. (2025, August 5). Nuclear power in Japan. library/country-profiles/countries-g-n/japan-nuclear-power https://world-nuclear.org/information-, Accessed on: 15.10.2025
  • Xie, Z. (2014). China’s Rising Maritime Strategy: Implications for its Territorial Disputes. Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies, 3(2), 111–124. https://doi.org/10.1080/24761028.2014.11869077
  • Xinhua News Agency. (2024, November 19). China–Central Asia gas pipeline transports over 500 billion cubic meters of natural gas https://english.www.gov.cn/archive/statistics/202411/19/content_WS673bd780c6d0868f4e8ed270.html, Accessed on: 24.10.2025
  • Yang, F., & Wang, D. (2015). Challenges and countermeasures of China’s energy security (Dissertation). https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-20547
  • Van de Graaf, T. (2019) A New World: The geopolitics of the energy transformation. Available from https://biblio.ugent.be/publication/8588274.
  • Zhang, P. (2015). New development of China’s energy strategy, Institute of Energy Economics, Japan. https://eneken.ieej.or.jp/data/6145.pdf
  • Zhiltsov, S. (2015). The great oil and gas road: First results and prospects. Central Asia & the Caucasus, 16(1), 69–79.
Toplam 44 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Bölgesel Çalışmalar
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Soner Hamzaçebi

Coşkun Topal 0000-0002-3627-6805

Gönderilme Tarihi 31 Ekim 2025
Kabul Tarihi 28 Aralık 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2025
DOI https://doi.org/10.62425/jirs.1814433
IZ https://izlik.org/JA43CE83PL
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Hamzaçebi, S., & Topal, C. (2025). The Geopolitical Role of Central Asia in China’s Energy Supply Security Axis. Uluslararası İlişkiler Çalışmaları Dergisi, 5(2), 95-109. https://doi.org/10.62425/jirs.1814433

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