Economic Growth and Trade Deficit in Turkey
Öz
Current account deficit not only in Turkey, is located between the main
macroeconomic problem in many developed and developing countries. High rates of
economic growth with current account deficits observed in Turkey's economy has
been the main subject of economic debate. Growth series based on many years of
Turkey's current account deficit, it is seen that there is an interaction
between the growth deficit. In this study, it said relations between Turkey and
the 1983- 2017 period related to GDP and current account has been examined
through VAR analysis using data from the balance. As a result of the study,
two-way causality relationship was determined between the two variables. In
addition, it was concluded that the current account deficit affected the economic
growth negatively and economic growth led to an increase in the current account
deficit. As a result of the action
and reaction analysis, it was concluded that the current account deficit
negatively affected the economic growth and economic growth led to an increase
in the current account deficit.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Bayraktutan, Y., & Demirtaş, I. (2011). Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde cari açığın belirleyicileri: Panel ve veri analizi. Kocaeli Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi (22), 1-28.
- Calderon, C., Chong, A., & Loayza, N. (2000). Determinants of current account deficits in developing conutries. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 2398, 1-37.
- Domınguez, K. M. E. (2005). Economics perspective in Singapore. (15.12.2011), http//www.personalumich.edu/kathrynd/SIngapore.
- Charemza, W. W., & Derek, D. F. ( 1992). New Directions in Econometric Practise General to Spesific Modelling, Cointegration and Vector Autoregressions, England: Edward Elgar Pub.
- Debelle, G., Faruqee, H. (1996). What Determines the Current Account?, IMF Working Paper, 58, 1-35.
- Enders, W. (1995). AppliedEconometric Time Series, New York: John Wiley&Sons.
- Erbaykal, E. (2007). Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ve döviz kuru cari açık üzerinde etkili midir? Bir nedensellik analizi. ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 6, 81–88.
- Erkılıç, S. (2006). Türkiye’de cari açığın belirleyicileri.(Uzmanlık yeterlilik tezi). Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası İstatistik Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara.
Ayrıntılar
Birincil Dil
İngilizce
Konular
Eğitim Üzerine Çalışmalar
Bölüm
Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar
Aydoğan Durmuş
*
Türkiye
Yayımlanma Tarihi
20 Mayıs 2019
Gönderilme Tarihi
21 Ocak 2019
Kabul Tarihi
26 Mart 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı
Yıl 2019 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1