Yıl 2020, Cilt 17 , Sayı 3, Sayfalar 406 - 421 2020-09-29

Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)

Mohammad Taghi SATTARİ [1] , Rasoul MİRABBASİ [2] , Hossein DOLATİ [3] , Fatemeh SHAKER SUREH [4] , Sajjad AHMAD [5]


Meeting the healthy nutrition needs of the increasing population in the arid and semi-arid climates of the different regions of the world such as Iran has become very important for the agriculture ministry and water resources managers. In this study, the system dynamics approach was used in the Vensim software environment to allocate the water of the Zonouz dam reservoir for irrigation purposes in the northwest of Iran. For this purpose, the existing surface water resources in the basin and the amounts of agricultural water and environmental water demands were determined and a water allocation plan was developed. In the first stage of the study, it was found that if the existing water resources and demands will not change, the amount of water stored in the reservoir will provide approximately 91% of irrigation water demands and approximately 99% of environmental water needs. The model created in the study was found to be sensitive to reservoir inputs and irrigation water demands. Within the scope of this study, the impact of two different scenarios that may occur as a result of climate change and irrigation management in the operation of the reservoir was evaluated. The decrease in the amount of water entering the reservoir in the first scenario and the increase in irrigation water needs in the second scenario are assumed within the next 10 years. According to the simulation results of the first scenario, irrigation water demands will not be met sufficiently with the decrease in the amount of water to be stored in the reservoir due to the decrease in the amount of water entering the reservoir in the next 10 years. According to the results of the second scenario, in the next 10 years due to possible climate change or if the cultivated area increases due to some new agricultural policies; The amount of water stored in the reservoir will not meet the irrigation demands and there will be water shortage in the system. In this case, it is necessary to make changes in irrigation water management and use new irrigation systems to save water. Based on the findings of the study, it has been observed that the impact of all types of irrigation water policies can be successfully evaluated within the scope of the system dynamics approach.

Meeting the healthy nutrition needs of the increasing population in the arid and semi-arid climates of the different regions of the world such as Iran has become very important for the agriculture ministry and water resources managers. In this study, the system dynamics approach was used in the Vensim software environment to allocate the water of the Zonouz dam reservoir for irrigation purposes in the northwest of Iran. For this purpose, the existing surface water resources in the basin and the amounts of agricultural water and environmental water demands were determined and a water allocation plan was developed. In the first stage of the study, it was found that if the existing water resources and demands will not change, the amount of water stored in the reservoir will provide approximately 91% of irrigation water demands and approximately 99% of environmental water needs. The model created in the study was found to be sensitive to reservoir inputs and irrigation water demands. Within the scope of this study, the impact of two different scenarios that may occur as a result of climate change and irrigation management in the operation of the reservoir was evaluated. The decrease in the amount of water entering the reservoir in the first scenario and the increase in irrigation water needs in the second scenario are assumed within the next 10 years. According to the simulation results of the first scenario, irrigation water demands will not be met sufficiently with the decrease in the amount of water to be stored in the reservoir due to the decrease in the amount of water entering the reservoir in the next 10 years. According to the results of the second scenario, in the next 10 years due to possible climate change or if the cultivated area increases due to some new agricultural policies; The amount of water stored in the reservoir will not meet the irrigation demands and there will be water shortage in the system. In this case, it is necessary to make changes in irrigation water management and use new irrigation systems to save water. Based on the findings of the study, it has been observed that the impact of all types of irrigation water policies can be successfully evaluated within the scope of the system dynamics approach.

Water Resources Allocation, System Dynamics, Vensim, Zonouz Dam, Iran
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Birincil Dil en
Konular Fen
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Orcid: 0000-0002-5139-2118
Yazar: Mohammad Taghi SATTARİ (Sorumlu Yazar)
Kurum: University of Tabriz, Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture
Ülke: Iran


Yazar: Rasoul MİRABBASİ
Kurum: University of Shahrekord, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Shahrekord
Ülke: Iran


Yazar: Hossein DOLATİ
Kurum: Maragheh Branch of Islamic Azad University, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Maragheh
Ülke: Iran


Orcid: 0000-0002-0431-378X
Yazar: Fatemeh SHAKER SUREH
Kurum: Tabriz University
Ülke: Iran


Orcid: 0000-0002-9903-9321
Yazar: Sajjad AHMAD
Kurum: University of Nevada, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering
Ülke: United States


Tarihler

Başvuru Tarihi : 12 Mart 2020
Kabul Tarihi : 21 Temmuz 2020
Yayımlanma Tarihi : 29 Eylül 2020

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { jotaf703167, journal = {Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi}, issn = {1302-7050}, eissn = {2146-5894}, address = {}, publisher = {Namık Kemal Üniversitesi}, year = {2020}, volume = {17}, pages = {406 - 421}, doi = {10.33462/jotaf.703167}, title = {Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)}, key = {cite}, author = {Sattari̇, Mohammad Taghi and Mi̇rabbasi̇, Rasoul and Dolati̇, Hossein and Shaker Sureh, Fatemeh and Ahmad, Sajjad} }
APA Sattari̇, M , Mi̇rabbasi̇, R , Dolati̇, H , Shaker Sureh, F , Ahmad, S . (2020). Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran) . Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi , 17 (3) , 406-421 . DOI: 10.33462/jotaf.703167
MLA Sattari̇, M , Mi̇rabbasi̇, R , Dolati̇, H , Shaker Sureh, F , Ahmad, S . "Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)" . Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 17 (2020 ): 406-421 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/jotaf/issue/56748/703167>
Chicago Sattari̇, M , Mi̇rabbasi̇, R , Dolati̇, H , Shaker Sureh, F , Ahmad, S . "Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)". Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 17 (2020 ): 406-421
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran) AU - Mohammad Taghi Sattari̇ , Rasoul Mi̇rabbasi̇ , Hossein Dolati̇ , Fatemeh Shaker Sureh , Sajjad Ahmad Y1 - 2020 PY - 2020 N1 - doi: 10.33462/jotaf.703167 DO - 10.33462/jotaf.703167 T2 - Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 406 EP - 421 VL - 17 IS - 3 SN - 1302-7050-2146-5894 M3 - doi: 10.33462/jotaf.703167 UR - https://doi.org/10.33462/jotaf.703167 Y2 - 2020 ER -
EndNote %0 Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran) %A Mohammad Taghi Sattari̇ , Rasoul Mi̇rabbasi̇ , Hossein Dolati̇ , Fatemeh Shaker Sureh , Sajjad Ahmad %T Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran) %D 2020 %J Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi %P 1302-7050-2146-5894 %V 17 %N 3 %R doi: 10.33462/jotaf.703167 %U 10.33462/jotaf.703167
ISNAD Sattari̇, Mohammad Taghi , Mi̇rabbasi̇, Rasoul , Dolati̇, Hossein , Shaker Sureh, Fatemeh , Ahmad, Sajjad . "Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)". Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 17 / 3 (Eylül 2020): 406-421 . https://doi.org/10.33462/jotaf.703167
AMA Sattari̇ M , Mi̇rabbasi̇ R , Dolati̇ H , Shaker Sureh F , Ahmad S . Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran). Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020; 17(3): 406-421.
Vancouver Sattari̇ M , Mi̇rabbasi̇ R , Dolati̇ H , Shaker Sureh F , Ahmad S . Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran). Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020; 17(3): 406-421.
IEEE M. Sattari̇ , R. Mi̇rabbasi̇ , H. Dolati̇ , F. Shaker Sureh ve S. Ahmad , "Investigating the Effect of Managing Scenarios of Flow Reduction and Increasing Irrigation Water Demand on Water Resources Allocation Using System Dynamics (Case Study: Zonouz Dam, Iran)", Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 17, sayı. 3, ss. 406-421, Eyl. 2020, doi:10.33462/jotaf.703167