Demand Forecast Analysis for Bagel Sales in the Food Industry

Öz

Food has become the solution for every living person, including plants and animals, to protect their health, sustain their lives and ensure their development. Consuming balanced and sufficient amounts of food is a necessity for the continuity of life. Therefore, all the processes of these food changes, starting from the lowest stage (agriculture, animal husbandry, fisheries), through activities such as production, execution and maintenance, to the final processes, constitute the food sector. The commercial value of this sector was 680 billion dollars in 1995 and 1.5 trillion dollars in 2018. Production and consumption play a big role in the fact that the volume of the food industry has more than doubled in a few years. The unification and easier expansion of a global transportation network has made a positive contribution to the food industry, as it does everywhere else. The purpose of this programming is to enable artificial intelligence to easily predict the annual sales amounts of a company that produces, supplies and sells bagels and the bagel demand for the next month. The research was carried out using the estimated artificial intelligence methods, LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) Neural Network and CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) Neural Network system. MSE (Mean Squared Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the prediction results. LSTM and CNN artificial intelligence methods have been tested in software and almost the same accuracy results are seen in both methods. Therefore, the change in the results of accurate estimation of the amount that can be sold will have a positive impact on profitability, competition with the market and sustainability.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• demand forecasting
• artificial intelligence
• food industry
• software

Gıda Sektöründe Simit Satışlarına Yönelik Talep Tahmin Analizi

Öz

For all living things, including plants and animals, food has become the means of ensuring their growth, survival, and protection of health. Life requires eating enough food in a balanced manner in order to continue. As a result, the food industry is made up of all these food-related operations, from the lowest stages (fisheries, agriculture, and animal husbandry) to the final stages (production, execution, and maintenance). In 1995, this industry was valued at 680 billion dollars, while in 2018, it was valued at 1.5 trillion dollars. A major factor in the food industry's recent more than twofold growth in size is production and consumption. Like everything else, the food business has benefited from the unification and simpler extension of a worldwide transportation network. The goal of this programming is to make it possible for artificial intelligence to anticipate with ease both the demand for bagels for the upcoming month and the annual sales amounts of a company that manufactures, supplies, and sells bagels. The CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) and LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) neural networks were used in the research as estimates of artificial intelligence. The prediction findings' accuracy was assessed using the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Software tests of the artificial intelligence techniques CNN and LSTM have shown nearly identical accuracy results. As a result, improvements in the findings of the precise estimation of the amount that may be sold will benefit sustainability, profitability, and market competition.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• talep tahmini
• yapay zeka
• gıda sektörü
• yazılım

Kaynakça

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